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The Royal Navy vs the SNP

Wednesday, 6th May 2009

Alex Salmond may argue that Scotland is "two thirds" of the way towards independence (though even if Salmond is correct that doesn't mean independence is necessarily imminent) but the Royal Navy doesn't seem to agree. In fact, the MoD must consider independence unlikely, otherwise why* would it be basing all of Britain's submarines at the Faslane naval base on the Clyde?

According to the latest plans, the Trafalgar class of subs will move from Devonport to Faslane by 2017 and the new Astute class submarines will also be based in Scotland.

The SNP's defence policy, of course, is a mess. The party is vehemently opposed to nuclear weapons and considers it outrageous (for reasons that remain mysterious) that the Vanguard class of nuclear submarines are currently based at Faslane. But they also welcome the transfer of the Trafalgar subs to Scotland and the promise of the extra jobs this will notionally produce. My old friend Angus Robertson, MP for Moray, was on the news tonight more or less arguing, I think, for shifting the nuclear subs to Devonport and moving the conventional* submarines to Faslane.

*OK, a conspiracy theory for the more rabid caste of Nationalist: the UK government is basing the subs in Scotland so that, along with, inter alia, 45 Commando in Arbroath, the RAF stations at Leuchars, Kinloss and Lossiemouth plus the army barracks at Fort George and elsewhere, these forces can garrison Scotland and frustrate her natural desire for independence. How much longer must Scotland be compelled to put up with the presence of troops from a foreign, occupying power? It all makes sense!

UPDATE: As several commenters chide me - correctly! - we don't have any "conventional" subs anymore. All of them are nuclear powered.

UPDATE 2: I'm actually unpersuaded that replacing Trident is a sensible allocation of already-stretched defence resources. But that's not the issue here and is, therefore, reserved for another day.


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Wilhelm

May 7th, 2009 2:38am Report this comment

I agree with you Alex, its good that an independent Scotland will have nuclear weapons, in case a foreign European country headed by Broon might try anything dirty.

JohnMcDonald

May 7th, 2009 8:56am Report this comment

Yep, and Alex Salmond has horns. Grow up.

Ronnie

May 7th, 2009 9:11am Report this comment

It's good that the Iranians will think twice about attacking Scotland because they know there will be massive retaliation.

The case against the submarine base at Faslane has always been that it is very close to Glasgow and not far from Edinburgh.

Its proximity to the most densely populated areas of Scotland, where incidentally nuclear weapons are least popular, never seemed to concern the government in Westminister. As long as the base is as far away from London as possible, they are content.

There is nothing very confusing about this Alex.

NavyLookout

May 7th, 2009 9:28am Report this comment

SNP are bonkers. An independent Scotland will be poorer either way. The UK will become weaker, everyone loses out. The Royal Navy does not have any 'conventional submarines' all are nucear powered and the only reason the 3 submarines are being moved form Plymouth to Faslane is as a favour to GB's scottish friends. The Navy is just a victim of shabby political games by Labour and the defence of the UK is too important to be left to our useless politicians.

Richard T

May 7th, 2009 9:36am Report this comment

Of course if you're paranoid, the recent news about leaks from the nukes at Faslane explains why the Britsh government wants them removed from English waters.

DevonChap

May 7th, 2009 9:37am Report this comment

Perhaps the UK government is expecting to be allowed to create an English Guantanamo Bay in Scotland after independence.
Otherwise it makes no economic sense, effectively closing down Devonport then in 5-10 years having to rebuild it all. Makes more sense to tell the Scots until they clarify their position in the Union we will not base any long term national projects there, and plan for Trident and the Astutes to be based in Plymouth.

Rhoda Klapp

May 7th, 2009 9:57am Report this comment

Sub bases are (or maybe ought to be) picked for access to deep water, and in Polaris days, access to the northern patrol areas. And of course basing in the west of Scotland had a lot to do with pork, too.

Hawkeye

May 7th, 2009 11:07am Report this comment

Why not ask the SNP, if they gain independence, what will happen to all those jobs when the navy moves out?

If they want independence then they can have it. They can have their d*mn banks back as well including the massive debts they are liable for.

It would be a massive boost to the English economy.

Big Alec

May 7th, 2009 12:34pm Report this comment

Hawkeye - isn't Northern Rock an ENGLISH bank? (Idiot)

Jeff

May 7th, 2009 1:17pm Report this comment

As someone else who is vehemently opposed to nuclear weapons perhaps I can shed some light on that mystery that has stumped you for all this time Alex.

Indeed, the SNP have been against nuclear weapons for so long I am surprised you haven't stumbled across the rationale before now, even just by accident.

Anyway, first up, who could such weapons ever realistically be fired against? They are hardly going to be used on the front lines against Al Qaeda or the Taleban. Who is left? Communist Russia? I think we've moved on from that particular problem.

Nuclear weapons is a funny sort of deterrent for an enemy who is willing to die for his/her cause.

Second, and not an altogether unrelated topic, the question of money. Figures have been bandied around in the tens of billions, even hundreds of billions but what we do know for sure is that this arsenal isn't cheap. £25bn seems to be the generally agreed cost of the new wave of nuclear weapons and I for one think that's a lot of money, particularly when we as a country don't seem to have any left.

Thirdly, there has long been a generally percieved notion that the Scottish public is anti-nuclear weapons whereas those south of the border are more in favour. Was there not a vote recently where more Scottish MPs voted against than for? Seems a funny sort of mandate for housing those same weapons in the backyard of those who don't want them.

The only valid concern regarding disposing of nuclear weapons is the jobs it will cost and the correpsonding harm Labour will face electorally.

Regarding the jobs, £25bn split 11,000 ways (adopting the more optimistic perhaps even exaggerated estimate of a nuclear weapon workforce) is £2.3m per employee. I think we'll find them all work with that sort of cash at our disposal, with change to spare.

As for Labour's electoral fortunes in and around Faslane? That shouldn't be an objective consideration but I can't help but think that it is.

Hope that helps solve the mystery Alex. Anything else, just let me know ;)

Will Yoxall

May 7th, 2009 1:18pm Report this comment

We don't have any conventional submarines, we haven't had any since 1995.

Alex Massie

May 7th, 2009 1:31pm Report this comment

Ronnie - Yes, the proximity to Glasgow has always been said to be part f the "case" against Faslane. Colour me unimpressed. It's not as though Plymouth - the most likely alternative to Faslane - is unpopulated. On the contrary, it has 250,000 people living there, while the county of Devon has a population of around a million. Not as many people as Strathclyde, but not chopped liver either.

The subs have to go somewhere and the notion - implied by many of the antis - that the government would be happy to "sacrifice" Scottish lives in the event of an accident or attack has always struck me as infantile and preposterous in equal measure.

Kittler

May 7th, 2009 1:40pm Report this comment

Hawkeye. I think the important point is, that although the submarines could move, the Faslane Base can not. Without the base the subs cannot operate. The base is not just a harbour but a very large and technically sophisticated facility, which, if it could be replicated, would take many years and many billions.

CA

May 7th, 2009 7:45pm Report this comment

Hard to see how it makes sense to have all your subs in one basket. A first strike target - and no base left for those at sea.

Ronnie

May 8th, 2009 12:30pm Report this comment

Alex, the Great Britain is an island.

Is it the case that the only location from which these vessels can sail and at which their weapons can be stored, is a few miles from major population centres including half the population of Scotland?

If your answer is yes then I conclude that you are simply being thrawn.

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