So the House of Representatives has, albeit narrowly, passed health care reform. Whatever one thinks of the merits of the bill that is an achievement for Pelosi and Obama in and of itself. Lord knows what kind of bill will emerge from the Senate and conference but that's a matter for another day. Will it work? Who really knows? The politics of the issue are, in some ways, irrelevant to mundane questions such as "Is this a good bill?" Almost certainly not, but you go to war with the bill you've got. And, as a smart Democratic friend on K St puts it:
Quite. Congress's approval rating liters around the 20% mark and so the GOP's determination to torpedo the bill - on any grounds - has a certain zero-sum logic to it. Denying Obama (and Pelosi) a legislative victory makes sense even if part of the price paid for that victory is making Congress a place where almost nothing happens and what does happen is uniformly terrible. This works fine as an oppposition strategy, but it's not much of a programme for government.They have to pass this unpopular bill in order to show the American public that they can be effective, and by passing a bill that no one seems to like they will help their own re-election. It would be disastrous if they didn't pass this unpopular bill, that would only show how ineffective Congress and the President are.
But yes, politically, the existence of the bill is more important - much more important - than old-fashioned considerations of its actual usefulness. It is A Bill, therefore it is Good. Even if it's actually Bad.
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Ben
November 8th, 2009 5:37pm Report this commentTruly pathetic, Alex. Would you apply the same lack of principle to poor legislation at Westminster?
SUSAN HILL
November 8th, 2009 5:37pm Report this commentEnlighten. Why is it actually bad ? ( I genuinely don`t know.)
Alex Massie
November 8th, 2009 5:48pm Report this commentBen - No. Because the differences between the UK and US political systems are such that comparisons between their respective legislative processes are pretty much pointless.
Apart from anything else, the nature of Westminster is that passing a bill, regardless of its content, is no great achievement. Things are different in Washington and so is the political imperatives behind passing health care. Failure to pass a bill, even an unpopular one, would weaken Obama. Passing a bill, even an unpopular one, helps him. That's all.
Susan: I have no idea. It might work; it might not. I don't think anyone can know. Nor, just as pressingly, does anyone really know if it will, eventually, be popular.
porkbelly
November 8th, 2009 9:46pm Report this commentIowahawk puts it best (as usual): "America Can Take Pride In This Historic, Inspirational Disaster"
Conservative Cabbie
November 9th, 2009 10:09am Report this commentAlex
Oh dear. After sticking up for you in my last comment, you hang me out to dry with this!
"Whatever one thinks of the merits of the bill that is an achievement for Pelosi and Obama in and of itself."
Of course they passed it. It would be gross misconduct if they didn't with that majority. But Pelosi lost 39 of her own people on this vote so Pelosi's only real achievement is to not quite be capable of gross misconduct.
"They have to pass this unpopular bill in order to show the American public that they can be effective"
Only to a statist & an elitist is this a good prescription for life in a Democracy
"It is A Bill, therefore it is Good. Even if it's actually Bad."
Please tell me that's irony.
Alex Massie
November 9th, 2009 11:11am Report this commentConCabbie: Well, yes, Pelosi lost some of her members. But some of them were given permission to vote against the bill because voting for it would hurt them next year. (ie, many of the Democratic No votes represent districts that voted for John McCain).
But, yes, getting the bill through the House is an achievement, regardless of whether or not one approves of the bill's substance. Presidents, of both parties, have been trying to do this for more than 40 years. And failed.
As I say, I'm not writing about the merits of the bill in terms of health care. That's well beyond my interest or pay-grade. But politically, passing the bill is important. And that remains true even if, yes, paradoxically, it proves to be a bad bill.
To put it another way: the consequences of NOT passing health care are enormous. And catastrophic. Politically, that is. (Again, I make no claims about the impact on health care itself).
The public hates Congress and thinks that Congress never does anything. So while it might seem paradoxical that passing an unpopular bill could be good for Congress, it remains the case that not passing it might be even worse.
That's all.
Conservative Cabbie
November 9th, 2009 1:36pm Report this commentAlex
I'm not sure enacting a multi-trillion dollar bill in the current environment will do anything to endear Congress to the people.
ndm
November 9th, 2009 5:26pm Report this commentI'm not sure enacting a multi-trillion dollar bill in the current environment will do anything to endear Congress to the people.
Actually, the current environment has served to remind many people just how fragile their place in the World is. Almost everyone in America has seen the spectre of unemployment and the financial catastrophe that can bring - particularly when it comes with a healthcare problem of any significance
Beefeater
November 10th, 2009 12:43am Report this commentAlex Massie at 11:11:
What a peculiar idea - that a health care bill has been waiting to be passed for 40 years.
There were no obviously catastrophic consequences for not passing it during those decades.
What might have been the political consequences for not passing it? A few Democratic losses. And the consequences for passing it? Many more Democratic losses.
ndm
November 10th, 2009 7:51am Report this commentThere were no obviously catastrophic consequences for not passing it during those decades.
Well, none other than that healthcare now consumes 16% of American GDP while providing little apparent benefit over countries that spend far less of GDP on healthcare.
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