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Dave's Problem: Voters Don't Trust Politicians. Dave's Solution: Ask Them to Trust Me

Thursday, 11th February 2010

Ben Brogan's column in the Telegraph today is a rum one. His thesis is that David Cameron's job is not merely to present himself as a plausible Prime Minister in waiting but also to persuade voters that they can and should trust politicians again. So, not a tricky job then.

[W]e have lost our ability to suspend disbelief and take at face value what politicians tell us. The MPs' expenses scandal has had the purgative effect Parliament desperately needed, but the collateral damage has been a growth in cynicism and a loss of trust. And no one is suffering the consequences of that more than Mr Cameron.
His strategy has always been to avoid the gimmicks of retail politics – the easy to understand promises of giveaways and tax cuts that had until now been the bread and butter of politicians on the make. His idea – one that he reasserted convincingly in an important speech on political reform Monday – is to set out some clear principles and policies, but to keep us waiting for the detail.
He is asking us to take on trust that he will produce spending cuts on a scale necessary to make good his pledge to reduce the deficit further and faster than Labour. He is asking us to take on trust that, when he can, he will reverse Mr Brown's tax rises, beginning with the job-destroying increase in National Insurance, but moving on swiftly to the 50p rate and the raid on pension contributions.
And that's it. Those waiting to see the secret weapon that will convince them that it is not just time for a change, but time for the Tories will, I fear, be disappointed. His caution against grabbing the easy headlines governs his campaign. What we see is what we are going to get.
In other, more ordinary circumstances, I think this might be an excellent strategy. As a general rule, I think arguing the merits of a broad, thematic platform is preferable to getting bogged down in the tiny, often confusing, complicated detail of endless policy arguments. But I wonder if this is now a strategy that, thanks to the combination of the financial crisis and the expenses scandal, is out of date.

(Let us, incidentally, also ignore Brogan's charitable suggestion that the Tories now eschew the grabbing of headlines or the peddling of shiny, but ultimately cheap, gimmicks.)

Cameron spends a great deal of time, reasonably enough, reminding voters that there's much that needs to be repaired and that this is but the first half of the job. Many people will agree with this diagnosis but this too is but the half of the matter. It is not unreasonable for voters to ask for some detail on how this might be achieved. But here the Tories too often muddy the waters. The deficit, for instance, must be tackled but the NHS won't lose a penny. That's a theme and a promise wrapped up in a single gimmicky slogan.

So, according to Brogan, the answer to a widespread crisis of confidence in politics is for politicians to ask voters to trust them and for voters to believe the politicians who ask to be trusted. I'm not sure this is a winning message. At least not in times such as these. I suspect the public remember Tony Blair's I'm a pretty straight kind of guy routine and many of them now regret buying it. If that's the case, then asking them to do the same thing again is an interestingly risky idea.

It may well be that Cameron can deliver on the ideas that underpin his candidacy. But I'm not sure it's wise of Brogan to suggest, in the current climate at least, that a failure to place one's faith in politicians demonstrates the voters' failure of imagination, rather than the shortcomings of the political class. But he does suggest exactly that:

All this because we – all of us – are angry: angry at the politicians who betrayed us, and angry at the Prime Minister who bankrupted us. No wonder we are making Mr Cameron work hard. If he wants this job, in the weeks ahead he is going to have to find new reserves of patience, of humility, and of inspiration that will persuade us that after all the lies and nonsense we have endured over the past 13 years, he is worth trusting.
But if this is the case - as it may be - then the ball is indeed in Cameron's court. There's nothing wrong with making him work hard before he can become Prime Minister. Yes, Labour may have forfeited any reasonable right to a fourth term but that doesn't mean, by default, that the Tories deserve an overwhelming mandate of their own.

As I say, I think that in other times the Cameronian strategy might well be a fine one. But once you've spent so much time outlining the depth of the fiscal hole the country is in, then you cannot complain if the voters then ask Well what will you do about it? A few better, concrete, more credible answers to this question would be a good start. Of course, this carries risks of its own, but so does a strategy of simply pointing out that "Gordon is useless but you can trust me."

PS: Raising the spectre of large-scale emigration if Labour wins might be something Brogan thinks is helpful but I doubt this paragraph conjures the sort of picture he thinks it may:

Not that he wants to emigrate, by the way. Quite the contrary. Mr Cameron would rather be prime minister. But if the unthinkable were to happen, and after nearly five years of Tory reinvention, the country were to decide that in the end, if it's all the same, it would rather stick with Gordon Brown thanks very much, then few would begrudge Mr Cameron a one-way ticket to Switzerland (assuming he can find a spare seat on the flight).
Remember all the witless Hollywood celebrities who were going to leave the US if Bush won in 2004? Quite. And wasn't Paul Daniels going to leave Britain if the wrong people won? Or was it someone else. I forget. Anyway, planting the idea that Dave could be forgiven for hightailing it to Switzerland if the people, in all their foolishness, decide to spurn his ministry is a distinctly unhelpful image. As they say, the optics are all terrible. With help like this, Dave sure don't need enemies...


Filed under: 2010 Election (77 more articles) , Cameron (227 more articles) , Newspapers (382 more articles) , Spending plans (81 more articles) , Tories (273 more articles)

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John Moss

February 11th, 2010 8:47am Report this comment

Surely what Cameron is doing with things like education vouchers is explicitly saying that the Conservatives will trust the voters?

All politicians play the "trust me" card, but it is only the Conservatives who actually want politicians to have less power and the people to have more.

Rhoda Klapp

February 11th, 2010 10:26am Report this comment

If he wants me to trust him, why does he take on the persona of an oily creep?

Just asking.

Jeremy

February 11th, 2010 12:09pm Report this comment

Two points:

Dave lost the "trust" of voters like myself when he reneged on his promise to give us a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty.

Secondly, by echoing the American calls for "More Troops!" for our latest Afghan fiasco, he demonstrated that he will simply cravenly acquiesce in whatever it is the Americans might demand of him.

The result: I'm not voting for Dave.

Edward

February 11th, 2010 2:01pm Report this comment

I think the gentleman Alex means was Andrew Lloyd Webber, who said he'd quit Britain if Kinnock won in 1992.

"... And that was a party political broadcast on behalf of the Labour Party."

TomTom

February 11th, 2010 2:04pm Report this comment

Benedict Brogan ought to focus on his own credibility which is waning rapidly. He is doing his bit for Dave and will no doubt get his reward, but Cameron should look at how Merkel's Government is falling apart months after an election and their popularity is back to 2001 levels

JohnBUK

February 11th, 2010 10:51pm Report this comment

It's not just the expenses etc but the fact that a fair proportion of the population feel disenfranchised and are waiting for someone to listen and represent their views on:
Immigration
Europe
Education (Grammar Schools perhaps)
Slashing the whole Public Sector.
Euro.Ct. Human Rights (get rid of)
and on and on.
Presently none of the major parties appear to have the slightest interest in any of these. In fact we get some pathetic chancer's ploy re PR.
Sure we can split our vote between UKIP BNP et al but we know that could let the existing idiots/crooks in again by default.

St Bruno

February 12th, 2010 12:18am Report this comment

Surely it’s not the end of the world if the Tories loose the next general election or if New Labour loose, who cares?

I will never ever vote Tory again. I did once in 1979 and got the Thatcher confrontational years.
I voted Labour in 1997 and got New Labour and dear deceitful Tony Blair and Dictator I save the World Gordon Brown, what utter arrogance. I will not be voting Labour this time.

If you can find it there is a nice piece in The Economist dated April 28th 2007. Brace yourself, Britain. Until he says what he wants to do, Britons are right to be apprehensive about their next prime minister.

So it seems that history does repeat itself.

There might be a little add-on in as much as if the leader of a political party resigns from Parliament a general election ought to be called. The next in line as elected by the party should not resume the role as Prime Minister without his and the party’s agenda being tested by the people of Britain. What was he afraid of?

I read manifestos till they come out of my ears, a waste of time they are just for the moment vote catching rotten thieves, soon as they are in power, that’s the word, POWER, they do as they please and I can do sweet nothing. A referendum on the Lisbon Treaty binned on a whim . Take it or lump it! Shafted again!
I am afraid the Tory Party of today better get its act together and print a Manifesto quickly, or are they waiting to see what New Labour has for us before they can or will?
Say what you mean and mean what you say!

Maybe this is not the place to say such things about the blessed Tory Party , please forgive me , for I am lost in the two party system. Let me think who else I can vote for.

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