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The Feeble Mugabe Gotcha

Thursday, 2nd September 2010

Step forward the FT's Jim Pickard:

Some sceptics have often asked why Tony Blair was happy to help rid the world of some dictators and not others. The example most often cited is that of Robert Mugabe, who could have been deposed with even less effort than Saddam Hussein.
Blair tries to justify the contradiction in his book, far from convincingly.
“You need to ask if such action is feasible and practical. People often used to say to me: If you got rid of the gangsters in Sierra Leone, Milosevic, the Taliban and Saddam, why can’t you get rid of Mugabe? The answer is: I would have loved to; but it wasn’t practical (since in his case, and for reasons I never quite understood, the surrounding African nations maintained a lingering support for him and would have opposed any action strenuously).”
What does he mean by this? That a joint US-UK (or Nato, or UN-backed) invasion would have been rebuffed as neighbouring states rose up to defend the aged dictator from the former colonialists? Does he really expect us to believe that he was intimidated by Zambia, Botswana, Mozambique and South Africa?
The statement implies that - au contraire - the invasion of Iraq was welcomed elsewhere in the Middle East. But I don’t remember celebrations in Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia and thereabouts when Baghdad fell. Do you?
None of this seems very convincing. Intervening - whether you think such interventions were wise or not - in Sierra Leone, the Balkans and Iraq but declining to intervene militarily in Zimbabwe is no more a contradiction that declining to eat a banana after you've eaten an orange even though you've repeatedly said you believe in, and like, fruit.

In any case, most of the time this question is not prompted by any genuine concern for Zimbabwe, far less by any support for the idea of toppling Mugabe. On the contrary it's an anti-war argument (or anti-Iraq war argument) dressed-up as a plea for Blair to start more, not fewer, wars. It is, then, a bogus question.

Nor, whatever else one may think of him, is Blair's response unreasonable. You may not think Saddam posed much of a threat but in 2003 plenty of people (me included) did. Chances are that you were more concerned by him then than you now pretend. No-one, whatever his ghastliness, was hreatened by Mugabe. (Apart from the poor Zimbabweans of course.) So there was never any real agitation for "dealing with" Mugabe and many of those who pretend there was, or should have been, would have been among the first to complain had Blair sent the Paras in to Harare. 

And it might have had to be the Paras, you know. Since invading a landlocked country without the assistance of Zimbabwe's neighbours would have been a tricky enterprise. Just as invading Iraq without Saudi and Kuwaiti co-operation would also have been difficult. (That's before you think of any other logistical details. Where would the troops have come from?)

All this before one considers if there was any call for the former colonial power to reoccupy Zimbabwe. It's a theoretically possible action but not a practical one. And everyone knows this.

Lord knows, there are enough grounds upon which to criticise Blair without having to revert to cheap rhetorical sniping of this sort (even on a blog!). All governments are organised hypocrisies but it's ridiculous to condemn them for their inconsistencies when, had they been consistent, you'd have condemned them for their consistency too. In other words, this sort of stuff doesn't even rise to Gotcha status. It's a Pretend Gotcha.


Filed under: Blairites (24 more articles) , Iraq (155 more articles) , War (144 more articles) , Zimbabwe (2 more articles)

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ndm

September 2nd, 2010 10:05pm Report this comment

Alex Massie writes:

-- Chances are that you were more concerned by him then than you now pretend.

No - and there is no pretence about it. It is precisely because of unexpected consequences that human-rights organizations tend not to suggest war as the answer to human-rights problems. Thre would be a lot of people alive right now had the US spent one trillion dollars on healthcare between the Nile and the Congo than warfare by the Euphrates.

Spencer Ackerman has a tragic suggestionfor the quote of the decade in Iraq:

http://tinyurl.com/289pxy9

There is a message there for those who seek to perpetuate the GWOT.

Snowman

September 2nd, 2010 10:05pm Report this comment

given Britain’s colonial past in Africa (in Rhodesia in particular), would any British politician ever contemplate kicking out Mugabe, or any other tin-pot dictator for that matter? That’s the reason for letting the Zimbabwean unwashed suffer, and not the country’s inaccessibility and stuff. Get real, Alex.

and another thing: if you ever believed that Saddam was a threat to you in the Borders you should consult a psychiatrist. A threat to the Iraqis and neighbours, certainly, to British interests, perhaps, to you and me, never.

David Bouvier

September 2nd, 2010 10:42pm Report this comment

I think it means what it says - which is that many of the surrounding countries were content for Saddam to be deposed by force. If you read the background materials not the headlines it becomes clear.

Augustus

September 2nd, 2010 10:59pm Report this comment

Obviously, there is a genuine concern for Zimbabwe, and the way Mugabe and his henchmen have ruined the economic and political structure of a once productive country, with fertile soil and enormous mining riches. But the symbolic power of the collective experience of colonialism is still very great on the continent of Africa,
and Mugabe's nativistic victim ideology still curries considerable favour. Nowhere
more than in Zimbabwe do Africans feel a heartfelt desire to 'know themselves', to recapture their own destiny, and to belong to themselves in the world. Perhaps Mugabe's genius has been ensuring that what is a legitimate desire for black liberation
can be manipulated to sanction his every ignoble move.

Baron

September 2nd, 2010 11:34pm Report this comment

what is it that fuels the fertile pseudo-liberal brain of yours?

in a recent blog you’ve opined that the stoning of adulterous women in Iraq was a personal tragedy, here you are suggesting that quashing Saddam’s rule was a ‘human rights’ issue. By the same rationale, I take it that Adolf’s gassing of the Jews falls into the same ‘uman rights’ slot. There also would be around 60 millions alive today if Winston were to give in to the Austrian corporal’s demands. Of course, they and many others would also be all speaking German, greeting each other ‘Sieg Heil’, and labour like slaves without any ‘uman rights, but that’s OK with you, is it?

maddy1

September 3rd, 2010 5:39am Report this comment

The great thing is that the Massies of this world do not have to live under black leadership. The Rhodesians were brilliant farmers, innovators but mutch too pragmatic for their own good.

Rhoda Klapp

September 3rd, 2010 9:33am Report this comment

The old principle used to be that you did not interfere in a foreign country's business absent threats to your own citizens in that country or to the nation's vital interests. There is no moral dimension, because that is the way of confusion, relativism and ultimately madness.

If only that principle had held in the Blair era.

Baron

September 3rd, 2010 10:40am Report this comment

the hastily cobbled up posting of mine at 11.34 was addressed to ndm @ 10.05.

Anonymous

September 7th, 2010 5:00am Report this comment

While a joint US-UK invasion of Zimbabwe, to kick out Mugabe would have been nice, it is not as practical as Alex makes it out to be. Although Blair’s assertion that the surrounding countries would have prevented an invasion is absurd, it still doesn’t seem practical.

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