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Osborne's Black Gold Populism

Wednesday, 30th March 2011

James is right to draw attention to the problems arising from the coalition's decision to hike taxes on oil companies. Perhps halting the fuel duty escalator was worth it but there are always costs associated with this kind of populism. Oil companies, like the banks, are friendless enterprises and so easy targets for tub-thumping or magpie politicians.

Nevertheless, some North Sea oil fields now face marginal rates of 81% while less-maure fields will be taxed at 62%. No wonder Statoil and other companies are reconsidering planned investments in the North Sea. Osborne should understand why. In 2007 he visited Aberdeen and said:

“The Treasury don’t seem to understand that the UK continental shelf [the North Sea oil and gas region] is a mature resource competing for investment in a fiercely competitive global market.
“They don’t recognise that investment in the North Sea cannot be taken for granted when there are potentially more profitable opportunities in West Africa, Mexico or Brazil. No wonder business can’t invest with confidence.
“We should aim to establish a tax regime that will stay in place for the rest of the life of North Sea oil and gas.”
Quite so. But that was then and this is now and government changes everything. So much so, in fact, that Osborne claimed yesterday that high oil prices meant high taxes would have no impact on investment at all, a notion the Press and Journal correctly deems an "astonishing forecast".

And what on earth was Osborne doing telling MPs that

“This oil and gas is not theirs, it is ours as a nation. When the price goes up substantially we are entitled as a Parliament and a Government to ask if we are getting our fair share of that.”
Well maybe it is "the people's oil" George but it's not going anywhere without the oil companies is it? Does a "fair share" mean a majority share? It seems it does. This does not seem an especially equitable situation, not least since the state bears none of the risk and benefits hugely anyway and to the tune of £9bn last year in tax, to say nothing of the more than 400,000 jobs said to be associated with the oil industry.

Still, slapping extra taxes on oil companies and denying the banks the benefits of a cut in corporation tax cut might, in a more rational media environment, put an end to the notion that the coalition is concerned with helping major companies at the expense of the poor, plain people of Britain. Not so and this government is, at least sometimes, as keen on politically palatable populism as the last one.

For that matter, it's a shame that oil revenues - a happy bonus, really - have consistently been used as patches for existing running costs and rarely, if ever, been salted away for the future.


Filed under: Britain (738 more articles) , Oil (26 more articles) , Osborne (38 more articles) , Scotland (500 more articles) , Tax (182 more articles) , Treasury (226 more articles)

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Nick

March 30th, 2011 1:57pm Report this comment

"For that matter, it's a shame that oil revenues - a happy bonus, really - have consistently been used as patches for existing running costs and rarely, if ever, been salted away for the future."

Well, in a sense the North Sea oil revenues have been salted away for the future, as they have been used to keep the national debt a couple of hundred billion below what it would have been had they not existed.

Sure, we could have a separate £200bn national oil wealth fund. But then national debt would be £1 trn rather than £800bn.

Commentator

March 30th, 2011 2:06pm Report this comment

Very true, Alex, but you don't expect any better from a Chancellor who always looks as if he has just had a good lunch in a Pall Mall club; and whose work experience outside politics consists of a summer job as a student at Selfridges? Osborne takes the weight out of the word "lightweight".

normanc

March 30th, 2011 2:36pm Report this comment

I work in the oil industry so have a vested interest but people seem to be under the misapprehension that even if oil companies do delay 'looking for oil' it will still be there in the ground for future generations to reap the harvest.

This is true but that's not the problem.

The main problem this tax brings is on mature fields, fields where, instead of the oil coming out of the ground like fizzy pop from a shaken bottle as in the good old days, you need to develop more advanced methods, such as gas injection or submersible pumps.

Upgrading old platforms to be able to do this takes tens, sometimes hundreds, of millions and rather than invest that money a lot of the small companies (and the North Sea is mainly small companies now) will simply earmark that investment for elsewhere (Australia, Argentina, Canada, etc.) and allow production to tail away until the platform is no longer viable then decommission.

So, not only do you risk losing out on the upgrade money (the vast majority of which is spent with UK engineering firms) you also run the risk of fields not producing to their potential and being mothballed before they fulfill their potential.

Sir Graphus

March 30th, 2011 2:57pm Report this comment

I also work in the oil industry, and agree entirely with what normanc says.

I understand that Aberdeen is in turmoil, just about every investment decision subject to review. Jobs will be lost while the money men think.

What with Clegg engaging in a bit of infantile anti-nuclear populism yesterday, it makes me wonder what modern politicians think governing is all about. Is it;
(a) managing newspaper headlines;
(b) running the country properly?

Jonathan Woolf

March 30th, 2011 5:14pm Report this comment

I'm sure Sir Graphus knows the answer to his question. Perhaps Osborne is trying to demonstrate to the feeble-minded left how penal tax rates destroy economic activity, jobs, wealth and ultimately reduce tax revenues. Perhaps. Surely he isn't a public-school-educated professional politician, privately rich, who has never had or had to have a real job, who governs by focus group, poll, and for tabloid headlines and cheap point-scoring?

Commentator

March 30th, 2011 5:27pm Report this comment

And remind us what Clegg brings to the energy debate: a second-class degree in sociology; a career built on backscratching and nepotism; and an ability to talk nonsense in several languages at the same time.....usually with a forked tongue.

Baron

March 30th, 2011 7:22pm Report this comment

I don’t work in the oil industry, but share normanc view, the boy is a disaster, his additional tax on banks stinks as well, something tells me that both the oil companies, the banks, too, will simply find a way of passing it on.

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