How big will Obama win tonight?
Barack Obama should win the Mississippi primary by a comfortable margin tonight. The polls suggest that he has a double digit lead and 2004 indicates that more than half of the primary electorate will be African-American, since South Carolina Obama has been consistently receiving 80 percent plus of the black vote.
With the Eliot Spitzer story dominating the news and a big win already factored in to the calculations of most pundits, Obama won’t get much of a boost unless he wins by an absolute blow-out margin. Interestingly, Obama is in Pennsylvania tonight with no evening event scheduled which indicates that his campaign is expecting a solid not spectacular victory tonight.
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