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Peter Hoskin

Pete suggests


Obama almost the nominee now

Tuesday, 20th May 2008

Tonight with the Oregon and Kentucky primaries, Obama should win an absolute majority of the elected delegates. Considering that he now leads among super delegates and in the popular vote, this shows just how close Obama is to being officially confirmed as the nominee.

Obama will be in Iowa this evening which is both the state where he proved that this presidential bid by a first-term senator was for real and a state that the Republicans won by only the slimmest of margins in 2004. But he won’t be declaring victory. His team have concluded that this might unduly irritate Senator Clinton and her supporters.

Hillary will almost certainly win the Kentucky primary by a fairly commanding margin while Obama is expected to take Oregon fairly comfortably. Hillary needs to win Kentucky by a huge margin and run Obama close in Oregon to quiet those who will call on her to drop out now that it is clear Obama has won the majority of pledged delegates. It does, though, seem that Hillary is set on going through the whole process. Her toned down rhetoric on the campaign trail since March sixth, though, suggests that she will not be launching many attacks on Obama between now and June third.
 


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Murray

May 21st, 2008 11:47am

It is stunning that the Democrats are going to court disaster again by nominating one of their most liberal members, when the path to the Presidency for a moderate Dem would be unstoppable. Perhaps this time they will learn their lesson?.....Naah

Ganpat Ram

May 21st, 2008 12:23pm

Clinton supporters will vote McCain in 2008.

The deadly priority is to stop this dangerous conman Obama getting in.

If Obama does get in, he will plunge America into disaster and shame.

People will hold the Democrats responsible for the US' humiliating and hasty withdrawal from Iraq, abandoning it to chaos.

The economy will go into a tailspin because of irresponsible handouts by the government.

Result: in 2012 a hard-right Republican president will come in.

No: much better a moderate Republican like McCain in 2008 followed by Hillary in 2012.

A VOTE FOR MCCAIN IN 2008 IS A VOTE FOR HILLARY IN 2012 !

A VOTE FOR OBAMA IN 2008 IS A VOTE FOR A FAR-RIGHT REPUBLICAN IN 2012!

S. Clement

May 23rd, 2008 5:07pm

Americans (and the rest of the world) want change in American policy, both economic and foreign. Yet, by voting for Obama for democratic candidate, it is obvious to outsiders that McCain will get in and the Bush policy will continue on. Most Americans are moderates. So, what makes them think that if Obama is the democratic delegate, he will be elected?He is void of concrete policy & talks only ideas & fine rhetoric so far.He is too far left for most,clearly an elitist along with his wife & we simply don't know enough about him other than his relative youth and that he is biracial.Any shady connections with the developer on trial in Chicago will come out, as well as other things.We all have skeletons in our closets.
He willthen have to resort to mudsligging against McCain,whether himself or thru his supporters, which would make him exactly what he purports not to be: "an old style politician".

Youth hysteria over a candidate does not guarantee winnability. McGovern all over again.Those who don't learn from the past are doomed to repeat it.
Clinton may not be the ideal candidate for all but she seems to be the only one with a good chance of winning the Presidency for the Democrats.We know her, she is persistent, a very strong person who has faced adversity head on many times and has well thought out policy plans & she attracts the average american at the ballot box, not just the elite. The media fought her all the way but she is still there. This is a no-brainer so why are the superdelegates not supporting her?Obama is where he is with the 200 plus votes of the 3rd candidate not because of his supporters.She is where she is all by her own efforts.
It seems that it comes down to her being a woman and older(but not old) that make her "part of the past" for the Democrats. How hypocritical! Are they not democratic enough to practice what they preach? Seems to me Hillary for Pres. and Obama for VP would be an unbeatable team and Obama would have a chance to learn and become Pres himself in a few years. The alternative is a dangerously a short-tempered, pro-war McCain.

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