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Michael Henderson

Michael Henderson suggests


How McCain can trump Obama's convention address and change the course of the presidential race

Tuesday, 8th July 2008

On TV today, John McCain joked that the only way he could trump Barack Obama’s plan to deliver his acceptance speech not in the hall at the Democratic convention but at a 70,000 seat football stadium would be to parachute into the Republican convention in Minneapolis-St Paul. But there is something else he could do: hold a town-hall meeting with un-decided voters in Minneapolis-St Paul rather than deliver a conventional convention address.

McCain can not hope to compete with Obama as a set-piece orator so he shouldn’t try. Instead, the McCain campaign should use the hours of prime-time coverage across all the networks to show voters their candidate in his best setting, the town-hall meeting. Directly answering voters’ questions with a little straight walk would also draw a potent contrast with Obama speaking in vague terms, admittedly beautifully crafted vague terms, to an adoring and unquestioning crowd from a podium.

Rather like Cameron delivering his conference speech last year without a prepared text or an autocue, the media and the public would be drawn to it by the drama—one bad exchange, one ill-judged quip could end the McCain candidacy. But equally, it could provide the most memorable moments of the campaign. It would also hugely increase the pressure on Obama to agree to do joint town hall meetings with McCain.

To be sure, this is a risky strategy. But McCain is behind in a simply awful political environment for Republicans and won’t beat Obama with the traditional Republican playbook. By rolling the dice early, McCain could change the contours of the race and gain the big 'mo heading into the decisive autumn stretch of the campaign.


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Anthony

July 8th, 2008 10:17pm

Sounds pretty good to me. In order to win, McCain needs to start hoovering up independents and this is probably as good a way to do it as any. Frankly, this is only magnified by the fact that he's not just Not As Good As Obama when it comes to the old speecheroo - he's really just plain not very good at it.

THX1138

July 8th, 2008 10:23pm

Well he had better do something to stay in the race

This is a great blog to follow the polling action on

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

TGF UKIP

July 8th, 2008 11:37pm

Like it James and hope the McCain campaign take it up. The major snag that I can see, though, is the dependency on the presentation by the Obama besotted major networks.

I think McCain needs starts to including in his every speech a jocular reference to the full gamut of his opponents.

The media won't like having their tails pulled but Old John's got nowt to lose.

Craig Strachan

July 8th, 2008 11:43pm

Yes, a very solid idea. McCain needs to do something bold to change the dynamic of the race.

Water

July 8th, 2008 11:50pm

Obama knows what a town hall engagement bodes for him, a lack of loop holes. With this in light, after considerable delay (and time to prepare) Obama may lock horns. Though, was such a scenario to occur, in the manner detailed, it wouldn’t be instantaneous and altogether tantamount to party (or candidate) ‘behavioural time delay bodily rhetoric’ and thus indicative of a degree of inadequacy for the Democratic representative. For without an agenda being flagged up before a meeting, it seems unlikely Obama would agree to attend (let alone give a straight answer during) such an event were it to arise in a fashion contrary to this.

Verity

July 9th, 2008 3:28am

Chills of embarrassment while James Forsyth gives the Republican Party machine some carefully considered advice. "To be sure, this is a risky strategy."

I'm sure they'll consider your risky strategy, and your many years of fundraising for schoolboards, local sheriffs, police chiefs, mayors, city councillors, state senators, a state governor or two.

God! Will you never learn? You have nothing to teach Americans.

Water

July 9th, 2008 7:09am

"Yes, a very solid idea" yes very much agreed.

THX1138

July 9th, 2008 7:19am

You are all wrong about McCains so called advantage at town-halls a friend from the school playground is from Chicago & she told me that Obama's town-halls around Illinois as a senator are very well attended & that he was a great performer, completely natural & straight talking. Next

Water

July 9th, 2008 7:48am

Maybe so, but I still like this idea and I'm going to have to stick with James and McQuaid and his opinion in seeming contention. A Bill Clinton style scenario would be the end to some doubts.

Craig Strachan

July 9th, 2008 7:57am

"Yes, a very solid idea" was my first reaction. Now I'm starting to wonder, as I recall what Bill Kristol said on Fox News Sunday - basically that McCain was being "diminished" by his own campaign, ie he's doing a lot of small scale events, while Obama does big ones and gets to look all presidential.

Water

July 9th, 2008 9:09am

I'm still going with the first opinion, "look" seems to be the imperative word.

John

July 9th, 2008 9:33am

Verity, why do you bother to read this if you think that he is not as clever as a your nephew the orthodontist?

I like it. It would expose the difference between the candidates: one a complete an utter charlatan, one not.

THX1138

July 9th, 2008 10:12am

John-Re I like it. It would expose the difference between the candidates: one a complete an utter charlatan, one not.

Which is the complete an utter charlatan? I assume you mean Obama is the charlatan as your posting on the Coffee House

Well I'm going to go with Verity on this one

"God! Will you never learn? You have nothing to teach Americans."

Yes absolutely & Americans according to the polls want Obama as their President & to think that majority of Americans have been hoodwinked by this "complete an utter charlatan" is the worst kind of European patronizing guff.

We have nothing to "teach Americans" they know the effectiveness & character of their candidates & they will elect Obama & I will cheer them on all the way.

Water

July 9th, 2008 10:41am

I’m most hesitant in calling either of them a charlatan, and I wouldn’t call Mc Cain one now, but I do, of late, begin to exercise a degree of sympathy towards such inclinations when, in light of Obama. This aside the movement to off centre would provide high ground for Mc Cain purposes, were such a meeting deemed on play or simply by a course of perusal channelled through media resources. Ultimately it provides ample opportunity for highlighting the fact that he held certain policies with regards to the berry like thoughts that a bushes can provide, which have been unduly popularized.

Verity

July 9th, 2008 2:12pm

My nephew the orthodontist? What fresh madness is this? Are you raving? Not only do I not get the point of your phantom orthodontist, but I cannot figure out which candidate you are talking about.

Unquestionably, Mr Charisma will do well in Chicago! He's part of the foul, institutionally corrupt Chicago Democratic machine. There is no way he could possibly do badly there, especially given the voting loyalty of all the registered Democrats in the cemetaries.

Verity

July 9th, 2008 2:45pm

"Verity, why do you bother to read this if you think that he is not as clever as a your nephew the orthodontist?"

I think I've figured out John's untethered remark above. He thinks I'm American and Jewish. As in the mythical Jewish matron who refers to "My son-in-law the surgeon."

Two rather large (incorrect) assumptions to make about a person you've never met and on no evidence whatsoever.

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