Saturday 17 May 2008

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American Election blog

Friday, 29th February 2008

Answering the call for national security

James Forsyth 4:19pm

Ahead of Tuesday's crucial primaries in Texas and Ohio, Hillary Clinton's released her hardest-hitting campaign video to date.  The way it emphasises her national security credentials is eerily reminiscent of the Bush campaign in 2004:   

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Thursday, 28th February 2008

The recriminations start

James Forsyth 10:13pm

Hillary Clinton might still be in the race but some of her top advisors have already started to argue about who will be to blame if she loses. Yesterday, Mark Penn (pictured), her chief strategist, was quoted in The New York Observer saying that his message had worked just fine and suggesting that what had been lacking was some organisational savvy. Today, Harold Ickes, a veteran Clinton fixer, has been shooting back. He told The New York Observer that “Besides Hillary Clinton, he [Penn] is the single most responsible person for this campaign” having...

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Wednesday, 27th February 2008

Head to head, McCain matches up

James Forsyth 3:30pm

Today’s LA Times / Bloomberg poll provides a nice little boost to the McCain camp with it having him ahead of both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. The internals of the poll show McCain with a 37 point lead over Obama on the question of who is best equipped to deal with terrorism and a 13 point advantage on Iraq. Indeed, the only issue on which Obama is perceived as stronger than McCain is healthcare.

Obama’s big lead over McCain—55-20—is on who is best equipped to bring change to Washington, here...

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Obama takes another step towards the nomination

James Forsyth 1:12pm

Hillary Clinton missed her last best chance to change the direction of the race last night. In the final Democratic debate before the crucial March 4th contests in Texas and Ohio, Hillary failed to force Obama into making a mistake and allowed him to leave the debate with his momentum intact. Indeed, she probably had the worst moment of the debate when her joke about press bias fell embarrassingly flat.

The polls suggest that Obama is now edging ahead of Clinton in Texas and gaining fast in Ohio. If...

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Tuesday, 26th February 2008

McCain does the right thing

James Forsyth 7:37pm

At a rally earlier today a talk show host who was introducing the guy introducing John McCain referred to Barack Obama as Barack Hussein Obama again and again. Now, some people will say that’s just Obama’s full name but there can’t really be any doubt that people who insist on using his middle name are pandering to prejudice and trying to push the lie that Obama is some kind of Islamist agent planning to take America down from the inside.

When informed of what had happened, McCain instantly—and forcefully—repudiated the...

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Which Hillary will turn up tonight?

James Forsyth 11:12am

In recent days, Hillary’s campaign strategy has veered all over the place: her campaign team is seemingly not prepared to give any strategy more than 48 hours to begin turning things round. At the Democratic debate in Austin on Thursday she spoke of how ‘honoured’ she was to be on a stage with Barack Obama, how she would be fine regardless of whether she won the nomination or not and seemed to be paving the way for a gracious exit. Then, over the weekend she was aggressive on the stump, calling...

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Monday, 25th February 2008

McCain: I'll lose if I can't persuade voters that the war in Iraq is succeeding

James Forsyth 6:22pm

If a gaffe is when a politician tells the truth, then John McCain committed a gaffe on his campaign bus today when he told journalists that if he couldn’t persuade the public that the war in Iraq is succeeding he would lose in November. McCain tried to walk the comment back straight away. But there’s no doubt that he’s right: he is running on his national security credentials and if the electorate judge him to be wrong on his signature issue they are hardly likely to vote for him. 

The worry...

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Today's campaign flap

James Forsyth 11:46am

Matt Drudge, the celebrated internet gossip who broke the Lewinsky scandal, is reporting that Clinton staffers are emailing around a photo of Barack Obama dressed as a Somali elder and bemoaning that if this was a shot of Hillary it would be on the front of every magazine. The reason this is so controversial is that it appears to be playing into a whole bunch of smears that are doing the rounds that play up Obama’s middle name and make wild—and false—charges about his religious beliefs. 

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Sunday, 24th February 2008

Does Nader matter?

James Forsyth 5:59pm

Considering what happened in 2000, it is understandable that Ralph Nader’s entrance into the race is drawing much ink. But it is worth remembering that he also ran in 2004 with minimal impact. Indeed, it seems safe to assume that Nader will be an irrelevance this time round.

In 2000, Nader was helped by the fact that the two main party candidates seemed so similar, a Democratic administration that hadn’t lived up to the hopes of some on the left and a feeling that this was a meaningless election where it...

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Obama tries to duck liberal label

James Forsyth 12:59pm

A key part of John McCain’s campaign strategy is to portray Barack Obama as just another liberal Democratic presidential candidate. This line could be effective as Obama is liberal, National Journal ranked him as the most liberal member of the Senator, and the only issue on which Obama has really broken with Democratic orthodoxy is education.

 In a campaign speech in Austin yesterday, Obama pushed back against this charge: 

"Oh, he's liberal,” he said. “He's liberal. Let me tell you something. There's nothing liberal about wanting to reduce money in
...

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