Sunday 6 July 2008

 

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Liz Anderson

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American Election blog

Thursday, 6th March 2008

A nice little gift for McCain

James Forsyth 8:17pm

The McCain campaign are chuckling about Susan Rice, a top Obama foreign policy aide, declaring on television that neither Hillary or Obama are ready to answer the 3am phone call to the White House. Expect to see this footage pop up in a McCain web ad before too long.

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Penned up frustration

James Forsyth 7:22pm

Ever since New Hampshire the press has had their obituaries for the Clinton campaign ready to run but Hillary keeps doing enough to prevent them from being published. Today, though, The Washington Post has a gripping look at the tensions inside the Clinton team which one suspects would have been run as their why Hillary failed story if the results had broken differently on Tuesday.

The villain of the piece is Mark Penn, Hillary’s chief strategist and the man most of the political class blame for Hillary’s problems: "

I think about
...

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Wednesday, 5th March 2008

What will fill the gap?

James Forsyth 10:14pm

The Pennsylvania primary is seven weeks away. In politics, that’s an absolute age—the Iowa caucuses were only eight weeks ago. One of the big determinants of the result there will be what fills this gap.

Hillary Clinton would dearly love it to be filled by seven weeks worth of articles looking at Barack Obama’s links to Tony Rezko, the Chicago political fixer from whom Obama brought property and who is now on trial for corruption. While the Obama camp would like reporters to concentrate on Obama’s likely victories in Wyoming and...

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How will Obama shift the story?

James Forsyth 5:30pm

Straight after its shock defeat in New Hampshire the Obama campaign rolled out a series of impressive endorsements--including John Kerry's--which helped move the story on from Clinton’s win there. So the question is what does the Obama campaign have up its sleeve this morning? We know that they haven’t declared their February fund raising total—thought to be a whopping $50 million, $15 million more than Clinton raised and $38 million more than McCain pulled in—there is also word that they have a whole bunch of super delegates ready to roll out.

Both...

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Game on

James Forsyth 11:17am

This morning we could have been discussing the end of Hillary Clinton’s presidential bid. Instead, Hillary is right back in the game. She beat the spread in every contest last night: beating Obama by 18 points in Rhode Island, a double digit margin in Ohio and four points in Texas.

Hillary’s comeback was driven by late deciding voters who went overwhelmingly for her. Her challenge now is to keep up the same pressure on Obama that there was in the last 72 hours over a prolonged period of time. To do that, her campaign will need to function flawlessly. Her campaign simply can not afford more open feuding between the biggest egos on her campaign.

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They should have changed the music

James Forsyth 5:03am

I've never seen an Obama crowd as subdued as it was tonight here in San Antonio. The crowd knew that Hillary's win in Ohio and her likely victory in the popular vote in Texas, have given her permission to carry on. 

The down-beat mood was hardly improved by a--by his own very high standards--poor speech from Obama. Ironically, Obama still left the stage to signed, sealed, delivered which is what he failed to do tonight.

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NBC calls Ohio for Clinton

James Forsyth 3:55am

Hillary is also currently ahead in the popular vote in Texas. If that stays, then this will give her the boost she needs to stay in the race.

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Spot the missing issue

James Forsyth 3:12am

Here's the key graf from Rick Davies, John McCain's campaign manager, on tonight's results: 

"As our Party's nomination contest comes to a close, we now face the larger test, a fundamental choice for our nation's future. John McCain offers Americans a bold vision for conservative change to cut taxes, end wasteful spending, reform our health care system, win the war against radical Islamic extremism and strengthen our national security.”
I think we can safely say that McCain isn't planning on running on social issues in the fall! Seriously, McCain's victory should show people that the stereotype of the Republicans as a bunch of social fundamentalists is simply not accurate.

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John McCain is the Republican nominee

James Forsyth 2:50am

Mike Huckabee just formally ceded the Republican nomination to John McCain. After tonight’s results, John McCain has the 1,191 delegates he needs to win the nomination. Tomorrow, he will head to the White House to receive President Bush’s endorsement.

Whoever the Democrats nominate, McCain will be a formidable general election candidate. The story of his recovery from presumed political death is one for the ages.

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Too close to call, but does Clinton have the edge?

James Forsyth 12:52am

The headline figures in exit polls are not always relaible so trying to draw conclusions from the internals is foolhardy. But for what it is worth the internals of the exit polls in Ohio and Texas are encouraging for Hillary Clinton.

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