Wednesday, 23rd March 2011
The bell seems to be tolling for the high street bookshop. The HMV Group, which owns Waterstone’s, has issued its third straight profit warning. Waterstone’s is supposedly on target for this financial year, but 11 of its branches were forced to close across the UK and Ireland in February alone and the company has conceded that it can’t compete in the mass market. Therefore, managing director Dominic Myers has decided on a strategy that challenges readers to escape the ‘stifling homogeneity’ of Dan Brown and Katie Price. The latest campaign will push 11 exciting first time novels on a public that largely ignores new novelists.
Admirable though this plan may be, it is accompanied by the whiff of panic. It is the exact Granta-inspired business model that Tim Waterstone demolished in the early '80s. But, given that the ruminations of a meerkat from an advert top the bestseller list, Waterstone’s has little choice but to gravitate towards quality.
Foreign retailers have it no easier. In the States, Borders is poised to collapse; whilst in Ireland, shrinking giant Eason can’t stop making a loss. Radical measures that should have been taken years ago are finally in the offing. Eason has been forced to introduce another loyalty card package and establish in-store interactive zones, in addition to giving its outlets a lick of paint and a squirt of Fabreeze. The firm is also working to narrow its stock categories, having conceded, like Waterstone’s, that it can’t compete when it comes to shifting Sophie Kinsella. Most conspicuous of all, Eason is relaunching its website to boost sales.
Increasingly, Waterstone’s and Eason see the Internet as a Promised Land, which is odd given that Amazon remains their foremost competitor. On 9th of March, the Institute of Direct Marketing published research suggesting that the internet accounts for 56 percent of all book purchases, of which Amazon has an 80 percent share. That's quite some hegemony to break when sliding backwards. Another recent survey suggested that 90 percent of all book purchases are influenced by online research, which would entrench Amazon’s dominance. And the growing popularity of Kindle and the advent of nationwide high-speed broadband are likely to increase Amazon’s popularity still further. Against brand Amazon, the situation looks pretty bleak for the high street.
Market analysts warn that it will be difficult to arrest current trends without an alternative strategy and sustained capital investment. High street retailers may have the former but they definitely lack the latter. It is rumoured that they are cognisant of their predicament. Waterstone’s is alleged to have tried to cajole publishers into further discounting stock in the hope of challenging the supermarkets that broke the commandment that all books must cost £7.99. So far, Waterstone’s have declined to comment on this issue.
Besides, publishers have their own worries. IbTauris specialises in the politics of the Middle East and Islam. One would have thought that this would be their happy time; but an employee of IbTauris tells me that, despite the gale of change blowing down Arab Street, there has been no noticeable improvement in their UK sales figures. Publicising books is a tricky business. “Generally, we get a significant spike if a book is chosen by popular reading groups or if it’s reviewed by a prominent Sunday newspaper. The correlation is quite striking. It’s a massive bonus if we can get an author on Radio Four’s Start the Week or a TV show, but that doesn’t happen very often. It’s a struggle and it’s the same for every publisher, except when the author’s a household name or related to Harry Potter.”
And so it seems. WHSmith reported this week that sales of the 25 titles selected book for World Book Night increased by 81 per cent on average, amounting to a value of £425,000. Nigel Slater’s Toast was the only title where sales fell. But its performance was astounding after the recent BBC television adaptation and sales have been slipping for some time.
The age-old adage applies: there’s nothing like a plug. But if waiting for Andrew Marr to get curious is like waiting for Godot then it’s scarcely a long-term solution. Other answers are being entertained. There are plenty of oligarchs who devour books as well as ris de veau. Alexander Mamut once sold dog-eared paperbacks on street corners during the death throes of the Soviet Union. Now a tycoon and the major shareholder in growing internet publishing firm SUP, Mamut has been in talks with HMV about buying Waterstone’s. Perhaps the once tatterdemalion Muscovite, and people like him, will be the high street’s salvation.
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Jon
March 23rd, 2011 11:24am Report this commentDavid Blackburn is somewhat confused - discounting happens regularly in Waterstone's, WHS and elsewhere, supported by publishers. Also, the NBA was not protected in 1997, precisely the opposite happened - it disappeared, hence discounting.
David Blackburn
March 23rd, 2011 11:47am Report this commentJon, apologies that I wasn't clear: I had ommitted the all important negative. Hopefully, it's clearer now without the reference to the NBA.
Peter Wade
March 24th, 2011 8:29am Report this commentFor most of my life I have been an habitue of bookshops but since the advent of the internet
I only go in there to see in the flesh the books I can order from the library.
If the library doesnt have the book I might then order it from Amazon or if a more obscure title from Abebooks.
The bookshops have seen this coming for at least ten years but do not seem to have taken avoiding action.
A good local bookshop emails me about events such as author signings, writing and reading groups.
They can survive if they adapt but it may be too late.
Amazon knows what I like , writes to me about it and gets me items with no fuss whatsoever and doesnt charge me postage if I am prepared a day or so.
Andy
March 24th, 2011 10:06am Report this commentThe real structural change going on here is about the nature of the High Street. What you will notice is that all of the chains that populated the High Street 10 years ago have exited unless they had gross margins of 60% or over. The ever increasing cost of property have acted as the lead weight that has continued to pull retailers under while competition increased from online and the supermarkets. Out of town retailers face lower charges and the consumer gets free parking. High Streets are expensive and difficult places to go to even before you shop. Book chains have gross margins of something like 50%. If you look at who is still in the High Streets, it's clothing,accessories & jewellery, coffee shops and low stockholding businesses like hairdressers,restaurants and estate agents. Unless the costs of retailing in primary locations decrease (local govt plays a large part here)no business outside of the sectors above will remain in primary locations. They either have to get online or change the cost of stock.
Jo Henry
March 28th, 2011 12:57pm Report this commentActually, this article is a little misleading. If you look at the original data source it is clear that what it is saying is that 56% of people buy books online - not that 56% of books are bought online. In fact, as we reported at our Books & Consumers conference last week, based on our consumer survey that has been running since 1999, 31% of consumer book purchases in 2010 were made through internet retailers (including those of the chain booksellers).
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