Send your comments on Clive's blog posts to clivecomments@aol.com
Numbers, numbers
RealClearPolitics - which is generally pro-GOP, remember - analyzes some poll data:
More bad news for McCain-ites here. Could it be that the Bradley Effect is a figment of the imagination?These numbers are horrible for McCain. All of them speak to core qualities we expect a President to possess - not to mention the central premises of the McCain candidacy.
Journalists seeking a fall-back position in the event of a McCain upset can try any of these narratives.Pollsters and political scientists say concern about a Bradley effect — some call it a Wilder effect or a Dinkins effect, and plenty call it a theory in search of data — is misplaced. It obscures what they argue is the more important point: there are plenty of ways that race complicates polling... ...Michael Traugott, a University of Michigan professor who studies polling, argues that the Bradley effect was misnamed from the start; the problem with the polls in the 1982 race was not that they failed to capture latent racism but that they failed to account for... absentee ballots.
Previous
Blogs: Martin Bright | Alex Massie | Melanie Phillips | Coffee House | Faith Based
Actions: Print this article | Email to a friend | Permalink
Post this entry to: del.icio.us | Digg | Newsvine | NowPublic | Reddit
Advertisement
Popular Blog Posts
1 Obama vs Balls - edited by Graham Storey, Margaret Brown and Kathle
2 Yes campaign launch will cause problems — for the independence movement - Ysenda Maxtone Graham
3 Cameron's attack on Balls is strangely endearing - Lloyd Evans
4 Susie Squire to take over as Tory press chief - James Forsyth
5 What Farage's offer means for David Cameron - James Forsyth
For the full blogroll click here.
Search this blog
Clive Davis blog archive
sponsored links
THE PRESENT FINDER
1,700 Unusual Christmas Presents Request Catalogue 01935 815 195 Quote SPEC10 for 10% discount www.presentfinder.co.uk
OLIVE BRANCH FLORISTS
Pimilco based Florist with online ordering Web: www.olivebranch.net Tel: 020 7630 1868 Fax: 020 7233 8844
RUFFS Bespoke Signet rings
62 Shore Road, Warsash, Southampton, SO31 9FT Telephone: 01489 578867 Web site: www.ruffs.co.uk
Apollo Magazine | Corporate | Advertising | Privacy | Terms
Spectator, 22 Old Queen Street, London, SW1H 9HP
All Articles and Content Copyright ©2012 by The Spectator | All Rights Reserved