Cameron comes out fighting
12:45pm
David Cameron sounded the right note in his back-to-school interview on the Today programme this morning. As Fraser has so consistently called upon him to do, the Tory leader put the “broken society” at the heart of his autumn campaign, while refusing the invitation of Jim Naughtie to endorse knee-jerk crackdowns on the drinking age. The only way to stop “Anarchy in the UK” is to “strengthen families and communities in the UK”: that’s spot on. Gordon Brown doesn’t buy the “broken society” analysis, so Mr Cameron has this terrain pretty much to himself. On tax, he made clear where his sympathies lie – “this is a conservative party” – while refusing to budge from his (electorally essential) mantra that stability (ie mortgage rates) must come first. Economists can argue all they like about the relationship between tax cuts and monetary stability, but the public has, for now, made up its mind: it does not want a Conservative Party that puts upfront tax cuts ahead of everything else. That said, there is plenty of room for manoeuvre in penalising some forms of behaviour (such as gas-guzzling cars) and rewarding others (such as couples who want to form a stable home in which to raise their children): and George Osborne’s piece in yesterday’s Mail on Sunday set out a clear case for phasing out death duties. Fiscal neutrality does not mean moral neutrality. This was a strong performance by a politician who always does best in adverse conditions. Meanwhile, there is a terrific series of contributions running on conservativehome.com during the day on “What David Cameron should Do Next”: go see.



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jimmy
August 20th, 2007 2:03pm Report this comment"his (electorally essential) mantra that stability (ie mortgage rates) must come first. Economists can argue all they like about the relationship between tax cuts and monetary stability, but the public has, for now, made up its mind: it does not want a Conservative Party that puts upfront tax cuts ahead of everything else." Matthew, thank you; OK now I understand that "stability" is code for "mortgage rates". I must say this was not obvious to me. If only the Tories had used real language rather than code. I see no sense at all in the position that tax cuts must be off the agenda. What's required is a confident assertive Conservative analysis that states boldly that high taxes are not "good" per se, and that cutting them is a way of empowering people. Our poor countrymen and women are otherwise stuck with the leftist assumptions they get fed by BBC and Labour language always associating a tax-cutting agenda with a poverty-of-ambition agenda. Re. economists arguing the relationship between tax cuts and stability, you imply this is impossible for Joe Public to understand. I would disagree. The longer you allow the leftist language and assumptions to go unargued, the longer they persist and damage intelligent public thinking on this issue. I happened to read the article by John Redwood in yesterday's Sunday Telegraph and, in moderate tones, he made roughly this point - among several others. While I would expect the Spectator to pitch its articles at intelligent people, I don't see why it (or its editor for that matter) should be arguing for dumbing down the Tories' policy messages on tax. In my view the Tories broadly believe in lower tax, smaller state (if not, I don't see how they can be distinguished enough from the government at polling time). Please let's get a confident consistent statement of the good reasons for having this opinion, in the media for everyone to see. Otherwise, keep up the good work!
Tiberius
August 20th, 2007 2:20pm Report this commentI wonder if society is yet broken enough for the electorate to wake from the ten year duvet day that New Labour has given them. Despite the tactical errors, Cameron has, in my opinion, already done enough to warrant renewed interest in the Conservatives, yet at their best the polls only reached 40%. At 42%, we could have got excited. But the recess has given Cameron a chance to re-focus, and if the IDS and Redwood reports can galvanize a renewed, tactical-error-free effort then so much the better. But I'm just not sure that even policies like welfare reform (see Janet Daley in today's DT), and the strengthening of the family, which many see as ways to reclaim the streets of Britain, will provide the tipping point for winning the next general election.
jimmy
August 20th, 2007 2:44pm Report this commentHi, My post contained paragraphs, and as such was (I thought) relatively readable. As rendered above, it contains no paragraph breaks and is markedly different as a result. Any way this can be fixed? Was it something I did wrong?
Tiberius
August 20th, 2007 4:25pm Report this commentJimmy, I don't think acknowledging how the public see the tax and spend argument (essentially as a zero sum exercise) is the same as dumbing down the message. I do think, however, that embarking on a strategy which will replicate the mistakes of Cameron's immediate predecessors would be foolish. There is a time for the policy wind to change direction, but on tax that time has not yet come.
jimmy
August 20th, 2007 6:39pm Report this commentTiberius, I cannot disagree that the public is largely suspicious of tax cuts. Indeed, you have quite aptly described how it is that many do think of such things: a zero-sum exercise. Consider the principal reason for this misapprehension: the leftist messages carried, implicitly and explicitly, in the broadcast media. The thing is, if no-one has the courage to speak up clearly, and with conviction, for a different economic analysis, we will be forced forever to debate the issues in a distorted way. I thank you for responding, and congratulate you for succeeding in reading through the version of my post sans paragraph breaks.
cogito ergosum
August 20th, 2007 9:48pm Report this commentI support Jimmy's point about paragraphs. Please, Spectator techies, do something about it.
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