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Wednesday, 29th August 2007

Will Brown try and beat the downturn?

2:01pm

Irwin Stelzer has a typically sharp piece in today’s Telegraph in which he makes a crucial point about a rather overlooked political consequence of the recent market turbulence. As Stelzer writes,

“The former chancellor surely knows that tax receipts have been sustained largely by payments from high-earners in the City. He knows, too, that it is those very people who are taking a hit from the turmoil in financial markets, and are expecting their incomes to drop this year by at least 25 per cent. Fewer pounds taxed at top rates, lower Treasury receipts, bigger deficits. That forces the Bank to raise interest rates. End of economic growth. Brown must find it tempting to want to beat the downturn.”
The rest of the column, especially his argument about why Brown feels confident about ignoring calls for an EU referendum, is well worth reading too.

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Mike

August 29th, 2007 2:57pm Report this comment

I'm sure Stelzer is right (as as Murdoch's representative on Earth is very well informed) that Brown thinks he can defend not having a EU referendum by the simple expedient of putting parliamentary approval of the treaty (sorry, constitution) into the NuLab manifesto. I'm however not convinced that this will defuse the ticking timebomb, as it will give the Conservatives a field day to attack Labour as cheating the public out of a referendum. It also makes Brown look very slippery and much like, ahem, Blair. Didn't Brown want to campaign on honesty and moving on from the rapidly-becoming-discredited Blair era

Perry

August 29th, 2007 3:46pm Report this comment

‘Profligacy’, ‘contradictions’, ‘means testing’, ‘fine line’ : just some of the many things that would inspire a control freak to greater efforts. Anything, - except something obvious like plugging the ghastly waste of money and resources – for instance in the NHS and the associated leach-like consultancy (sic) scams?

Praguetory

August 29th, 2007 6:39pm Report this comment

The headline should be Try to beat... Yours pedantically.

MTK

August 29th, 2007 10:42pm Report this comment

This whole business of the unpleasant Stelzer being "Murdoch's representative on Earth" really is rather self-fulfilling when he is given all the space he can fill in the Guardian, The Times, The Telegraph and The Spectator. His pieces follow two themes. They amount to either "oh dear, Cameron is making a mess of things" or "isn't Gordon doing his best at a tough job?" As comment, it is vacant. As revelation of the mind of God, sorry Rupert, it reveals little, except perhaps that Tories might get on better if they tried to speak over, rather than through, News Corp. Could we not just try ignoring him for a change instead?

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