Things keep getting worse for Labour
James Forsyth 12:06pm
Martin Bright’s politics column in The New Statesman this week is absolutely essential reading. He points out that Miliband has to challenge soon or he too will be seen as a bottler, that Labour still can’t agree on how to challenge Cameron and that the Cabinet simply aren’t use to operating in such tough times—none of them have governed during a recession. But I think it is this point which is perhaps most important:
If Brown hangs on, the leadership election that follows a Labour defeat in 2010 could be an absolute bloodbath. In these circumstances, I would bet on someone outside the shadow cabinet winning it in on the back of a ‘curse on all your houses’ mood.“The Labour Party is in an unprecedented crisis. If it carries on as it is, it will lose the next election by a landslide. The consequences could be worse even than those that followed the election defeats of 1983 and 1987, because no one realistically expected Labour to win them. The next UK general election should have been a closely fought contest and the recriminations within Labour for a heavy defeat will be severe.”



Previous






Mike. Brighton
September 4th, 2008 12:27pm Report this commentCruddas will be the next labour leader following the forthcoming bloodbath....if he holds onto his seat!
mac
September 4th, 2008 12:58pm Report this commentThe notion (see the first comment following Bright's piece) that New Labour is 'right wing' is noteworthy; if the Labour faithful agrees and decides to lurch left then Cruddas is a strong contender, complete with tribute donkey jacket, perhaps? However, the Blairite rump won't readily accept a 1983-style suicide note Manifesto. Interesting times!
Austin Barry
September 4th, 2008 1:10pm Report this commentThe morning after the 1993 Canadian federal election when the ruling Conservatives lost 167 out of 169 seats, I remember remarking to a colleague that the two panhandlers on a Toronto street corner may well be the entire Tory parliamentary party. With luck I can resurrect the suitably amended comment after the next UK election.
Socialistutopia
September 4th, 2008 1:11pm Report this commentThe only person that deserves to be Labour leader is Gordon Brown. Nobody else has been so arrogant and reckless with the economy to deserve the humiliation of having to lead the country in the state that it is presently in.
David C
September 4th, 2008 1:12pm Report this commentA GE is the time for a party to gain fresh blood. If the defeat is as severe as the Party itself seems to be expecting, then that chance will have gone.
Far from renewing itself, the Party will be driven backwards - diminished. It will have to look among people like Miliband to form a leadership to carry it through the lean years.
When the smoke clears and survivors clamber out of the ruins and survey the wasteland that will be the Labour Party, I’m not sure there’ll be much appetite for a bloodbath.
FF
September 4th, 2008 1:14pm Report this comment"The consequences could be worse even than those that followed the election defeats of 1983 and 1987, because no one realistically expected Labour to win them."
Surely no-one realistically expects Labour to win the forthcoming GE... do they?
Richard Holloway
September 4th, 2008 1:24pm Report this commentIf Labour lose the next general election (and no other government has ever gone on to win after such appauling local election results in the years preceeding the GE) then they will lurch violently to the left and will be unelectable for a generation.
Pauline from Dagenham
September 4th, 2008 1:38pm Report this commentCruddas has nothing to offer the Labour party that couldn't be delivered by another servant of Trade Union (producer interest) money.
Faceless Bureaucrat
September 4th, 2008 1:39pm Report this commentThere are few people around Whitehall at the moment, even Labour activists, who can see this state of affairs lasting till 2010. The consensus seems to be that if Cruddas can get the Unions sufficiently mobilised post-Conference, he could oust Brown before Christmas. Yes, Labour would still lose the subsequent General Election, but some marginal seats that currently look there for the taking by the Conservatives might instead remain Labour, as sufficient voters move back to support the Party. A landslide would be averted, leaving at least some semblance of a foundation on which to build the new, left-of-centre Labour Party. The rump of the Blairite wing would then either have to go the ‘SDP route’ (i.e. political oblivion) or get into bed with the Lib Dems. How different it all seemed in 1997…
mac
September 4th, 2008 2:13pm Report this commentPhoto caption:
"Merde! Miliband said what, Sir Kofi?
Socialistutopia
September 4th, 2008 2:24pm Report this commentThe only person that deserves to be Labour leader is Gordon Brown. Nobody else has been so arrogant and reckless with the economy to deserve the humiliation of having to lead the country in the state that it is presently in.
Concerned Citizen
September 4th, 2008 2:27pm Report this commentPeople have scarily short memories these days - two weeks ago the nation basked in Olympic glory; now, who cares?
A Labour leadership change would revitalise the party. And, with Brown quickly forgotten, might win them the next election.
No point messing about, get on with it guys. Do the right thing. He'll thank you for it later.
Trafalgar
September 4th, 2008 5:39pm Report this commentCharles Clarke has clearly tired of waiting for Miliband and Straw to accelerate the process of removing Brown and has taken it upon himself to be a stalking horse - this is the end-game.
The Labour Party in its current guise is finished - there's no common purpose, no ideas - no one now knows what it stands for.
It will have to swing left to survive. Cruddas is the darling of the unions but he doesn't want to be leader - he just wants to be a running-mate and I believe he's already agreed to back Harman. Harman must be good value at current odds (12-1?) to be next PM - place your bets now. And if you thought Brown was bad..
David C
September 4th, 2008 7:46pm Report this commentAre any of them going to repeal one of the laws or regulations they have passed?
Will they get rid of the Police community Support Officers plodding about in their uniforms?
Will they stop the Community Welfare Safety workers wandering round taking names and car license numbers?
Will one of these NuLabour Commissars cut the number of jobsworths exercising to the utmost the merest iota of power they possess?
Not on your life.
Damn the lot of them.
Damn Labour and all its works.
Welcome to the Police State that was Great Britain.
Back to top