Have the Tories hit 50 percent?
Peter Hoskin 3:38pmUK Polling Report's Anthony Wells is reporting a rumour that the Tories could have broken the 50 percent mark in tomorrow's MORI poll. The (very much unconfirmed) figures have the Tories at 52 percent, Labour at 24 percent and the Lib Dems at 12 percent. That would give the Tories a hefty lead of 28 percent - which is significantly up on the 20-ish point leads they've enjoyed recently, and can only pile more pressure on Brown. Watch this space.
UPDATE: Poll results confirmed.
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Nick Wood
September 17th, 2008 4:06pm Report this commentWell that won't add much pressure to GB!
David C
September 17th, 2008 4:24pm Report this commentProbably rogue, but that 24% figure for Labour fits.
If correct it means that Conservatives are sucking in Lib/Dem votes - they seem to be one of life's little luxuries that people can no longer afford.
David Lindsay
September 17th, 2008 4:25pm Report this commentFifty-two per cent of what?
LSS
September 17th, 2008 4:39pm Report this commentBeen confirmed on UKpolling.
Nick Kaplan
September 17th, 2008 4:41pm Report this commentDavid Lindsay: Fifty-two per cent of what?
Presumably 52% of people polled....
David
September 17th, 2008 4:57pm Report this commentIt just proves that Daivd Cameron's no good. Any proper Tory would have been at 50% ...er...um......
insider
September 17th, 2008 4:58pm Report this commentIt is true and is embargoed until later tonight.
Danielle
September 17th, 2008 4:59pm Report this commentA couple of decades of Tory rule on it's way people, get ready!
Woo, hoo!!!!
David Lindsay
September 17th, 2008 5:46pm Report this commentNick Kaplan, presumably not. Those who won't say, or don't know, or are determinerd not to vote, will have been discounted before the headline figure is calculated. That's a hell of a lot of people waiting to be reached.
David Lindsay
September 17th, 2008 6:05pm Report this commentAlso, note that most polling is now conducted by telephone. In other words, they know who they are asking.
The purpose of opinion polls is not to measure public opinion, but to influence it.
Elf
September 17th, 2008 6:07pm Report this commentWhat's with the lib dems? Was Ming as bad as that??
Verity
September 17th, 2008 6:47pm Report this commentDanielle writes: "A couple of decades of Tory rule ...".
You British are so supine. So willing to surrender your rights. There can be no "Tory rule". Only Tory government. Your government does not rule you. You rule it.
Nick Kaplan
September 17th, 2008 7:53pm Report this commentVery true Verity. I would add that one of the most important things that should separate a democracy from a dictatorship is that in a democracy the people should not fear their government the government should fear its people. With the growing size of our surveillance state I’m not so sure that this is any longer true.
Austin Barry
September 17th, 2008 9:22pm Report this commentVerity. I'm intrigued. Are you British, American or what? You seem to think we Brits are a comatose, feeble bunch of inert Onanists. Which of course we are, but what are your antecedents?
Fergus Pickering
September 18th, 2008 3:37am Report this commentSpeak for yourself, Austin. Remember, we Brits voted for Maggie three times, the greatest politician of the second half of the twentieth century. It is true we voted for the man Blair, but that was an aberration, soon to be corrected in spades. Cameron will do very well. Would the Americans had someone of his calibre. Unfortunately they have to choose between a testy old man and Blair Mark Two.
Aidan
September 18th, 2008 9:46am Report this commentSurprisingly, this is not mentioned at all on the BBC's politics page
Austin Barry
September 18th, 2008 9:54am Report this commentFergus, well, we haven't been putting up a very good show recently. We are being jerked along on a very short leash by our masters, and we do very little except whinge and wait for the next election. Someone mentioned in a recent post that we should be more like the French and literally start chucking cobblestones or similar missiles at the bastions of power. They may be right.
Nick Kaplan
September 18th, 2008 11:54am Report this commentWhy is the BBC not reporting this poll today?
David Lindsay
September 18th, 2008 2:22pm Report this commentBecause it's balls. These Tory votes are piled up in the South East, where the Tories already hold most of the seats anyway. So who cares? Nobody ever reporteed breathlessly that miners in the North East were on course to vote Labour. This is just the same. And where are the miners now?
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