Brown's success
Fraser Nelson 5:20pm
Brown’s hour-long speech may have been saved by his six-second “no time for a novice” line. He managed to smile as he said it, with a glint of menace that the cameras picked up quite well. And as for the rest of the speech - I’ve spoken to a few Labour delegates and have to report that Brown went down well.
It was a wavelength thing: his claims about his triumphs and Tory failing struck us CoffeeHousers as absurd. But they strike chords with the faith-based community in the hall who actually believe this stuff. So when he promises to legislate to end child poverty – as if that will achieve a single thing – a good chunk of the Labour Party audience will think it’s an inspired idea.
He had some new attack lines on Cameron, which went down well. And that “no time for a novice” line did enough to give the press a “Brown slaps down Miliband” story which may well be the narrative of the conference.
Even I will admit that there are worse speeches that the one Brown gave today, namely the one he gave last year. As Matthew Parris pointed out in the Spectator last year, people subliminally judge speeches by how much the like the speaker – and I am bearish, very bearish, on Gordon Brown. So my analysis should be filed under the Spectator motto “firm but unfair”. Most of my fellow journalists here – more objective souls - think it was good. Many think it was very good for what it accomplished, in terms of addressing the new financial paradigm and injecting new drive into the Labour mission. One journalist from a centre-right publication gave it 9/10 - and said if Brown had given a speech that calibre last year, he’d be okay.
So Brown’s speech may well be ordained a success in tomorrow’s press. I very much doubt the public will be swayed much, but we’ll see.



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Jeremy D
September 23rd, 2008 5:34pm Report this commentGod, I thought it was just awful. It really just goes to show the great gulf there is between 'us' and 'them'...
GS London
September 23rd, 2008 5:34pm Report this commentWoe is thee, Spectator. The media is still by and large of the left, and as such anything - anything at all - will work. One anticipates round praise from the Beeb, silence from Paxo, and half-hearted scrutiny (disappointingly, but realistically) from Snow.
Impartiality left when the BBC painted it's newsroom red.
James
September 23rd, 2008 5:40pm Report this commentI'm a Tory and wanted to hate the speech.
The content of the speech was bad - but let's face it who cares. The mainstream news will pick up a few snippets and the public will remain none-the-wiser that Brown intends to spend, spend, spend.
Given all that - I think Brown probably got the speech right. The tone wasn't bad and it was much easier to listen to and watch than many of his previous speeches.
He will benefit from low expectations and the fact it was better than Milliband's speech. He will get a slight boost in the polls as a result and there was nothing particularly negative that the mainstream media will lead with.
All this is a side-show and he will be humbled again in the by-election.
Max Kaye
September 23rd, 2008 5:40pm Report this commentWhy ask the acolytes? Listen to the public reaction (not just on this and like-minded blogs): it ain't pretty!
Brown has been politically dead for months. A jolt of conference electricity has galvanised him like an electrocuted frog in a biology lesson. And to similar long term efficacy.
maas101
September 23rd, 2008 5:48pm Report this commentA success by who? The party faithful at the conference surely. Dyed in the wool labour supporters elsewhere probably. But did it reach out to the disaffected labour vote or even swing a few undecideds? I have not seen a single comment anywhere from someone who has had their mind changed by the speech. With Labour so far behind in the polls Gordon should have been reaching out to those who were not already intending to vote Labour. I didn't see that and for that fact alone it has to go down as a wasted opportunity.
Labour are still heading for electoral meltdown and today has not changed a thing.
Thomas Cussans
September 23rd, 2008 5:49pm Report this commentIt is irrelevant what the Labour delegates thought, most of them anyway desperate to pretend that theirs is not a party in the last stages of terminal collapse and that their esteemed leader is not universally despised and derided.
It is the country at large that counts. You need only look at the comments on almost any Guardian article to know that Brown's goose is not merely well and truly cooked but has been reduced to little more than a sad and sorry-looking cinder, a tiny whiff of smoke curling from it.
He is not even dead meat any longer.
Austin Barry
September 23rd, 2008 5:49pm Report this commentIn the fetid, onanistic ambiance of the conference hall, given what we know of crowd psychology, Brown's speech may well have seemed inspired even to cynical hacks. But tomorrow morning, he'll still be Brown and we'll still be buggered, so nothing has changed. It was the last fizz of the squib.
duncan robertson
September 23rd, 2008 6:02pm Report this commentu cant buck the market
and the stock market is due deep south in the big picture
and brown will carry the can
the public will get more angry as stocks and house prices move relentlessly lower
and jobs get thinner on the ground
shortorlong.com
Mark
September 23rd, 2008 6:11pm Report this commentThe surviving members of the Labour party who are prepared to spend a weekday or two at conference are no indication of the general public. Same goes for the other two parties, but in Labour's case all that is left is the fanatic core and the union delegates.
Silent Hunter
September 23rd, 2008 6:14pm Report this comment'....and have to report that Brown went down well.....'
Aye! And so did the Titanic!
simon s
September 23rd, 2008 6:15pm Report this commentBrown looks like he has done enough to stay as pm to next election. But that means his party will carry the can for the recession - as he was chancellor of the housing bubble.
Also if Cameron's speech is good and he nails Brown as architect of the boom and bust - Brown will be made to look pretty ordinary. Note how Brown didn't mention 'boom and bust' today.
GeoffH
September 23rd, 2008 6:16pm Report this commentIt was so vacuous and mawkish, vomit-inducing, and plain insulting to the voters' intelligence that I had to give up.
How any so-called journalist could give it 9/10 is beyond me.
jsfl
September 23rd, 2008 6:20pm Report this commentWe're still doomed under Brown.....One speech means nothing. In fact it just not in him to make the right choices for the country.
DM
September 23rd, 2008 6:23pm Report this commentFraser - People don't like him, or respect him, so it doesn't matter what he says. They have made their minds up already. You are reading too much into it.
Even the party faithful put more weight on what opinion polls say than what their dear leader says. Brown will be chucked out before Christmas. He is fooling himself that this week is going to make any difference to the opinion polls.
Charlie T
September 23rd, 2008 6:28pm Report this commentZanulabour will probably have an opinion poll conference bounce.But after they lose the Glenrothes by-election Gordon will be back in the brown stuff once again amd once again the plotters will be all over the media.
Even the terminal get their moments of remission but he and they are finished.
Mr Pooter
September 23rd, 2008 6:29pm Report this commentI have only skimmed it so I may be mistaken, however I did not see one single reference to any notion of freedom or civil liberties. Is this correct?
EyeSee
September 23rd, 2008 6:44pm Report this commentIt is case of Brown still being the Leader of the Opposition in word and action, drumming up the usual Labour stunts of giving small snippits of our money back when they are under pressure. In fact whether we trust a 'novice' (as Blair was of course and the current numpty as Chancellor) is irrelevant. The point is we have a bunch of self serving incompetents in power, obsessed with their pay, pensions and expenses and little else. A massive slice of our problems today from our weakness as a financial power to his collusion in the deaths of our troops, is down to Labour and in particular 11 years of Gordon Brown. If you were invited to vote in an election tomorrow, would you vote for a burglar? Because Labour is Burglar Brown and a spineless, witless pack of ne'er do wells surrounding him.
Richard Holloway
September 23rd, 2008 6:47pm Report this commentExcellent news that it went down well with the Labour party. Just what was needed when it looked like he may have been pushed.
The rest of the country on the other hand. I'll be waiting for the first opinion poll after this, but I doubt it will be much different. He'll be in to the end now and my god it's going to be a great time to kick them out of office.
Emil
September 23rd, 2008 6:55pm Report this commentHaven't heard as much spontaneous clapping after every sentence since IDS's final conference speech.
David C
September 23rd, 2008 7:03pm Report this commentMr Pooter:
Lest you are fearful, Our Glorious (and Courageous) Leader is still embarked on the course which will see the state enhance our wellbeing, nay our very existences.
Be assured, the community is at your shoulder day and night, ready to aid and guide you.
What need have you to worry about matters such as Civil Liberties when the power of the state stands guard over these abstracts on your behalf?
As for the notion of Freedom, surely all freedom is relative and in these troubled times this outmoded concept could be considered more than a little dangerous.
But rest easy. Big Brother is, as always, on the job!
Wight Tory
September 23rd, 2008 7:15pm Report this commentA great speech for the Tories, everybody knows that was a speach to save himself first and the party second, the coutries already on its way to EU.....
No amount of lefty spin will make this speech anything more than that. The British (not the country GB kept refering to) will look throught this, and even when he mentioned the 10p issue, he still couldn't say sorry could he...
Travis Bickle
September 23rd, 2008 7:47pm Report this commentI was listening to clips of his speech (well almost the whole bloody thing actually) on radio 4 on way home , did he really say that he "didn't realise" that the rasing of 10p tax band to 20p would make people worse off?
And this is the "only" man in existence who can save our economy????? We're Donalded.
Polly's mum
September 23rd, 2008 7:51pm Report this commentI am still waiting for the true roll of Brownies.
I myself lost count after the first few minutes, But "labour invented the NHS" was one that resonated with me.
Mr Pooter
September 23rd, 2008 8:01pm Report this commentThank you for your kind assurances David C. I shall rest easy now that I know Big Brother wants only for me to be happy and safe. Is there an official place where I can repent of my possessing a NO2ID car sticker, a worn out & out of date copy of Harry Street's 'Freedom, the Individual and the Law' and my once having been a member of Liberty?
David C
September 23rd, 2008 8:57pm Report this commentRoom 101
Dirty Euro
September 23rd, 2008 9:07pm Report this commentIt was good speech that moved me. When he spoke of how he nearly went blind and the NHS saved him from going blind. Who could feel that he was nearly driven to tears by that thought and why he supports the NHS.
mitch
September 23rd, 2008 9:17pm Report this comment“no time for a novice” 5 words in an hour and that's good? that's it one line.
Not enough by a country mile.
What stunt will gordon pull during the Tory conference then?
Athesius the Facilitator
September 23rd, 2008 10:22pm Report this commentAll this talk about the strength of his speach blaa blaa blaa is a waste of everyones time and effort. He's a dead duck because nobody likes him. His speach was rubbish but it wouldn't have made any difference if it was the best speach the world has ever heard. It's him. Even the lass that does the cleaning at work can see that he's flawed and she cares not a jot who's in office. In fact I mentioned Tony Blairs name in conversation one day, it was 2004, and she said who's Tony Blair. And meant it. But bless her cotton socks she can name the whole cast of Eastenders.
Athesius the Facilitator
September 23rd, 2008 10:22pm Report this commentAll this talk about the strength of his speach blaa blaa blaa is a waste of everyones time and effort. He's a dead duck because nobody likes him. His speach was rubbish but it wouldn't have made any difference if it was the best speach the world has ever heard. It's him. Even the lass that does the cleaning at work can see that he's flawed and she cares not a jot who's in office. In fact I mentioned Tony Blairs name in conversation one day, it was 2004, and she said who's Tony Blair. And meant it. But bless her cotton socks she can name the whole cast of Eastenders.
DB
September 24th, 2008 12:37am Report this comment"So when he promises to legislate to end child poverty – as if that will achieve a single thing"
Oh, but it will - it's a scorched earth measure. Enact legislation to require the next government pursue some onerous targets and associated obligations to report and announce how it will act upon them - and you've boxed a future Tory Government into a corner. An attempt to strike down the legislation will be a symbolic mark of Tory "nastiness".
The Laughing Cavalier
September 24th, 2008 8:12am Report this commentIn markets this is known as "the dead cat bounce".
Neil Turner
September 24th, 2008 8:25am Report this commentThe media's obsession with what is "said" is misleading. The British public live in a world where political deeds are "done", and it has destroyed our very British way of life. Brown's speech changed nothing because it is mere words. It does seem that the media and politicians love to elevate rhetoric over deeds.
I guess many people feel like me - unrepresented by the government, unheard by the media.
A classic case is described by Adam Boulton's extract from his book on how NuLab tried to bully him into retracting the Prescott Punch story. (see http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/Politics/Truth-Behind-That-Prescott-Punch-Sky-Serialises-Adam-Boulton-Book-Tonys-Ten-Years/Article/200809415104803?lpos=Politics_First_Home_Page_Feature_Teaser_Region_0&lid=ARTICLE_15104803_Truth_Behind_That_Prescott_Punch%3A_Sky_Serialises_Adam_Boulton_Book_Tonys_Ten_Years)
My question is, as a newsworthy story of great public interest, why was this intimidation from NuLab's spin warriors not reported fully at the time ?
The sooner they are unmasked the better
Fairness for all ? I don't think so
Thortung
September 24th, 2008 12:18pm Report this comment@Dirty Euro
It moved me too. I was filled with a pressing urge to defecate.
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