Tomorrow's polls today
Peter Hoskin 10:21pm
The results from a couple of tomorrow's opinion polls have hit the good ol' information superhighway, and they'll make pretty disappointing reading for Brown & Co. The first - a ComRes poll for the Independent - puts the Tories on 40 percent (down 1); Labour on 31 percent (up 2); and the Lib Dems on 16 percent (down 2). Whilst an ICM poll for the News of the World suggests that any Brown bounce is of the "dead cat" variety.
Sure, Labour have made some gains - particularly on the economic competence front - but the fact is that after the Our Saviour Brown narrative of the past couple of weeks, they might have hoped for so, so much more. We'll get a more complete picture as other polls come out throughout the week, but the early signs are that any Labour gains will be modest - and susceptible to being wiped out should the economy continue to slide.
P.S. For more on the two polls, head over to UK Polling Report and Political Betting.
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LS
October 18th, 2008 11:37pm Report this commentAnd this poll has the Tories up by 16: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1078786/You-8217-like-Major-Churchill-voters-tell-Brown-latest-poll-shows-holds-election-hell-lose.html
Hysteria
October 19th, 2008 12:16am Report this commentquote from A Darling - "You will see us switching our spending priorities to areas which make a difference."
which does kinda beg he question - where the hell have they ben spending it before !!!!????
Mike, Brighton
October 19th, 2008 12:42am Report this commentIs this it? Is this the best Labour can do after wall-to-wall Gordon is the savior puff pieces across the BBC and selected media outlets?
Is this Brown's highpoint before the economic reality and recession sinks in?
Listen carefully and you can just about hear the sound of the first knives being sharpened.
Laughing Larry
October 19th, 2008 8:05am Report this commentSlide = more like crash.
stephen
October 19th, 2008 9:25am Report this commentComplacent. If Labour get back within 8 points of the tories, they are as close to Cameron as Major was in 1990 or Blair was in 2003
mitch
October 19th, 2008 10:38am Report this commentThis may show just how little notice people pay to the BBC,I never watch/listen to it if an alternative is available.A 2 point rise is called "slashing the tory lead" when the margin for error is 3% which minister wrote these headlines?
Nicholas
October 19th, 2008 11:47am Report this comment"You will see us switching our spending priorities to areas which make a difference." The unspoken missing bit is: "to keeping us in power".
Expect more repressive legislation and more state-funded officialdom. Nazi Germany was founded on legions of uniformed officials and nose-pokers who propped up the state and advanced its evil work through the mountainous minutiae of bureaucracy. Expect more nazi nonsense from Herr Braun and his nasty gauleiters. More PCSO jobs, green police, state snoopers of all shapes and sizes, more quangos, internet monitoring and blog watchers. More demonisation and tabloid-whipped hysteria about "threats" and "dangers" to "safety" and "security". The prisons will be bursting at the seams with the newly criminalised. The more desperate they get the more radical and extreme they will be in preserving and expanding the bully state they have created. Britain will be polarised into the left wing who control everything "for the good of the country", including their uniformed arms and jobless dependents, and the rest who work, pay taxes and suffer under their yoke.
Can't see how Cameron can break this. It's been entrenching for 11 years.
Ian C
October 19th, 2008 1:27pm Report this commentThe danger is the direction.
If the public think GB has done most of what he can because he has managed to stick the 'international recession' label on it all by a few weeks/months from now as interest rates come down then it. he could be temepted to go for an election.
It is unlikely to be the case, in my view, but it is something that needs to be watched and why the Tories have got to get their act together They are clearly wrong footed at the moment and have a very difficult line to tread while attacking the govt in crisis times.
Ronnie
October 19th, 2008 1:39pm Report this comment...but we are not stupid. If New Labour policies and management of the Treasury helped cause the crises in the first place then we won't simply get out the champagne to celebrate their emergency remedial measures.
They have just bought (rescued) banks with our money, banks who were losing the rest of our money in the first place. Even a financial ignoramous like me can see that. It may be immediately necessary but its still nuts.
They are genuinely spinning to themselves in their bunker now if they expect a huge surge in electoral support as a result of this.
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