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Sunday, 2nd November 2008

Your election night viewing guide

James Forsyth 11:29pm

Here’s Americano’s guide what to watch for hour by hour on Tuesday night  / Wednesday morning:

7 pm (Midnight UK Time)
Polls close in six states. The battleground states of Virginia and Indiana won’t be called instantly but watch to see if Georgia and South Carolina are. If they’re not, that suggests that black turnout has soared.

If Virginia is called within the hour for Obama, that means that he is almost certainly on course for victory and quite comfortably. 

7.30 pm
Ohio’s polls close. This state is an absolute must win for McCain but they don’t count their votes quickly here.

8 pm
15 states and the District of Colombia cease voting. Watch to see if New Hampshire and Pennsylvania are called fats, polls suggest that Obama is ahead in these states by close to double-digit margins but McCain needs Pennsylvania to win. Also, watch to see if Florida—where outside the Panhandle polls closed at 7—is called earlier than expected. The Sunshine state was expected to be relatively easy for McCain but 30 almost 30 percent of Floridians with a mortgage are now in negative equity which has given Obama an opening. One other state to watch is Missouri, Obama doesn’t need it to get to 270 but he has campaigned there in recent days.

8.30pm
Polls close in North Carolina and Arkansas. North Carolina has turned out to be one of the surprise battleground states. If Obama wins this state that is emblematic of the new South, expect there to be much talk about realignment.

9pm

Another 13 states finish voting. The state to watch here is Colorado which Obama looks set to flip. Also closing at this hour is McCain’s home state of Arizona. I expect that he will win the state but the Obama campaign has made a last minute play for it.

10pm
5 more states finish including Iowa. This was expected to be a close state but most polls show Obama with a commanding lead.

11pm

Another six states close but none are expected to be key to the result.

1am
Sarah Palin’s home state of Alaska finishes things up. But I suspect things will actually have wrapped up an hour or so beforehand.
 

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Comments Post comment

THX1138

November 2nd, 2008 11:37pm Report this comment

Easy to follow Video guide.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/27485189#27485189

THX1138

November 3rd, 2008 7:24am Report this comment

McCain, The RNC and wingnut PAC's spend millions on Obama attach ads yet at the death Obama's favourability rating is 62% the highest of the campaign.

Are the slash & burn politics of Rove finished?

richard bond

November 3rd, 2008 9:47am Report this comment

US Federal law that the winner of the American Presidential election cannot be declared until all the polling stations are shut in California Hawaii and/or Alaska. True or False?

RMH

November 3rd, 2008 12:14pm Report this comment

So what time is it worth getting up for, and should the Spectator have some form of competition?

David

November 3rd, 2008 12:20pm Report this comment

"True or False?"

I'd have thought false, since in strict terms the winner is decided only after the electoral college meets.

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