Varley's rationale
Fraser Nelson 6:41pm
The below is the memo sent to Barclays staff yesterday from John Varley, chief executive, explaining why he didn’t go for a taxpayer bailout. Remember, Barclays badly need British shareholders to approve this deal – so it will have been written with that in mind. This email is itself a comment on the times we are living – should a CEO of Barclays really need to explain why he preferred a private refinancing to part-nationalisation? It is evidently a response to the kicking he took mainly in the weekend press. We at Coffee House are right behind him.
P.S. I love the understatement: “our ability to do what our shareholders would expect of us would be compromised if Barclays was nationalised.” Translation: “We’d hardly do any better under the guidance of those morons who have just driven the British economy into the ground.”
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From: John Varley
To: restricted
Dear Colleague
There was a lot said and written in the media on Friday and over the weekend about our capital raising and I wanted to write today to share my perspective on what has been said so far (there will be more coverage in due course – of that I am in no doubt).
Often when I write to you I am trying to make sure that you have the arguments at your fingertips so that, if you are challenged by friends or family, or indeed by customers and colleagues, as to what we are doing and why, you have been able to develop your own views.
I am going to cover three areas in particular in this letter:
• Why we have decided not to take funds from the UK Government
• Why we chose to raise capital in the way that we did
• How the path we have chosen looks in hindsight – especially versus the UK Government option
You will remember from what I wrote at the beginning of October that when the UK Financial Services Authority made its decision, during the weekend of 11/12 October, to increase (significantly) the amount of capital which it required UK banks to hold, we had an immediate choice to make. Would we take capital from the UK Government or would we raise the money ourselves?
It is worth pointing out that, even though it didn't seem like it at the time, the existence of that choice itself was a bit of a luxury, because some of our competitors were given no choice at all. They were required to take UK Government money as a condition for being open for business on Monday, 13 October.
The conversations we had around the Board table over that period were very clear: even in ordinary times, it is important for a business to have the right to determine independently what its strategy should be. And that point is even truer of extraordinary times like these. You don't want your risk management compromised. You don't want your strategic options constrained.
It was very clear from the conversations that I had with the UK Government over that weekend that it would, as a shareholder, influence our dividend policy; it would influence our lending policy; and it would become involved in the formulation of strategy. Of course the role of the Board is to protect the interest of shareholders and to create the circumstances in which, over time, we can maximise value on their behalf. And that was what was in the mind of the Board as we came to our decisions: we felt that our ability to do what our shareholders would expect of us would be compromised if Barclays was nationalised.
I know, by the way, that there has been a lot of speculation in the press that the issue of compensation – and in particular the bonus entitlements of the executive directors of Barclays, including me – had a significant impact on the decision we took. I want you to know that that point had no bearing on the decision. The Board cares about the interests of shareholders long before it cares about the interests of management.
Having made the decision we did, we needed to get moving quickly. At the time of our announcement, you might have seen that many commentators said that we would never be able to raise the capital ourselves. In fact just one week ago, the speculation was mounting that we would be stuck because of continuing stock market volatility and uncertainty. I don't need to tell you that had this speculation gone on it would have hurt us badly. You have only got to look at the fortunes of HBOS, where confidence slowly evaporated, to see the dangers of taking too long.
As I said to you when I wrote last Friday, we had to make some difficult judgements around the Board table. Our instinct, and our track record, shows us to be believers in pre-emption rights – that means that when we raise new capital, historically we have offered the shares first to existing shareholders. However the experience of those UK banks who took the rights issue path during 2008 (HBOS, RBS, Bradford & Bingley) is not something that inspires confidence. I say that not to criticise competitors whom we respect, but simply to highlight the facts.
A rights issue launched now would have subjected our shareholders, and just as important our depositors, to a period of uncertainty which would have lasted through Christmas. In an environment where confidence is so fragile, the importance of certainty cannot be overstated. What we wanted to achieve was raising all the capital that we had agreed to raise simultaneously. So the words at the top of our mind were: size, speed, certainty.
Much of the coverage at the weekend has tried to compare what we announced on Friday with what might have happened had we taken Government support. There are one or two important points that have been lost in the coverage so far. First of all, the cost of the reserve capital instruments (or RCIs) that we intend to issue is not significantly different to the cost of the preference shares which those who took UK government money will issue, and that is true even if we take into account the cost of the warrants which attach to the RCIs. Second, the discount on the new shares that we are issuing is bigger than the discount that we would have got from the UK Government. But it is significantly smaller than the discount that would have been forced on us had we done a conventional rights issue.
My next point is rather complex but it's important: it seems to me very clear that the only reason that we would have taken UK Government support was because we had lost the right to choice – i.e., because the FSA would have concluded that it was not safe for us to open for business on the morning of Monday, 13 October. That would have meant two things: first, the amount of capital that we would have been required to raise would have been much higher than the amount we are raising; and second that, by that time, our share price would have been a lot lower than where it actually was. What that means is that comparing the costs of the UK Government package had we taken it then with the costs of what we announced on Friday is simply inappropriate because it is comparing apples with oranges (but that won't stop people trying!).
Just one last point in this area which is also significant: the dilution being suffered by our shareholders as a result of the capital that we are raising is just under 30 per cent. However, if you compare that with the dilution being suffered by the shareholders of the other banks being nationalised, it is a lot lower.
Let me finish by saying that I know that our shareholders, including lots of you who are shareholders yourselves, have had a lot to endure over the last 18 months. Our share price has dropped below £2; we diluted our shareholders in the summer and we are doing it again now. And we are not paying a final dividend for this year. But you know, as I do, that the circumstances of the last 18 months have been exceptional, and they have necessitated some exceptional responses.
We are emerging from this as one of the best capitalised banks in the developed world; in addition to which, our performance this year has been strong, as I said to you in my letter of Friday. That is a good combination: strong, profitable and independent. There are many banks in the world who wish today they could say that of themselves. And that creates significant opportunity for us in the weeks and months ahead.



Previous






C Powell
November 4th, 2008 7:02pm Report this commentAs a Barclays' shareholder I'd much rather that GB didn't get his hands on my bank, thanks very much. GB has already destroyed my pension, is about to destroy my savings and has made the prospect of unemployment much higher - not just for me but for my children. So I'm with Varley on this. Interestingly, the other nationalised banks are now saying that they want to pay the Government back its money as quickly as possible so I suspect that they too would rather not have GB's claws in them as well.
Silent Hunter
November 4th, 2008 7:04pm Report this commentOr in other words...........
F A T
C A T
S A T
O N T H E
S T A F F
Tom
November 4th, 2008 7:09pm Report this commentThis deal benefits two people:
1) The Middle East investors
2) Barclays executives
Ordinary shareholders get a poorer return than the Middle East investors and get their shareholding diluted. That's why they're angry.
The Barclays investors are concerned with one thing: keeping their bonuses in the stratosphere - and that wouldn't be defensible with British taxpayer cash so they want to short change their present shareholders.
No wonder people are flocking to the mutuals!
Fred
November 4th, 2008 7:45pm Report this commentThey are still a bank, they can and will open for business.
Tiberius
November 4th, 2008 7:54pm Report this commentVarley's confirmed one thing that I was unsure about - that Brown can use the crisis as a pretext to lean on the FSA to make banks increase their capital reserves.
Therein lies his means of exercising control over the banks. Would Lloyds TSB fall foul of the new capital ratio rules if the HBOS deal stalled?
Bill (Scotland)
November 4th, 2008 8:07pm Report this commentThank goodness there are some bank executives who see clearly what the Labour government is trying to do - nationalise the financial sector by stealth under the cloak of supposed protection of depositors. These labour people are still after only one thing - nationalisation/collectivisation of the means of production, despite the abolition of their nauseating Clause 4.
As a small shareholder in Barclays, and the other major bank which is keeping itself out of Labour's clutches, I am glad that Barlcays' management has the ability to raise this additonal capital without the strings attached to public money.
Nicholas
November 4th, 2008 9:21pm Report this commentAgree with Bill. I shall consider transferring my account to Barclays because of this. Don't want my money in a bank with Brown's nail-bitten fingers all over it.
TGF UKIP
November 4th, 2008 11:19pm Report this commentAs another shareholder in Barclays I also wholeheartedly support the bank in the course they have taken.
Mr Varley and his team should also have enjoyed the applause and support of the Conservative Party for the course they pursued. However, as I noted in response to Fraser's post on this subject on Sunday there has been not a squeak. I also noted that in giving their support to Gordon for his programme of bank nationalisation, the intentions behind which Mr Varley makes clear in his letter above, the Tories conspicuously failed to loudly demand that there should be a guarantee of no operational interference in the subject banks.
Given your support for Barclays Fraser I'm surprised that you appear to have no criticism of the Cameron Tories position on this. Or does your function as Osborne's own personal Max Clifford preclude you from such comment?
PS I thought when reading your N.O.W. column last Sunday but one, that you might at last be approaching the conclusion that Boy George was indeed a client whose deficiencies put him beyond resuscitation. Apparently, though, I misconstrued but Fraser, some parrots really are dead you know.
Fraser Nelson
November 5th, 2008 5:58am Report this commentTGF, you're right - I would have liked the Tories to have made a staunch defence of Barclays to counteract the Cable quotes that had such play in the weekend press. But they're not really functioning right now. I share with you critcism of Osborne, the difference between us is that I think he can recover. If I'm still saying "jam tomorrow" by Easter, though, I my have to join your in despairing of him.
IdlingAway
November 5th, 2008 9:30am Report this commentFraser - "..they're not really functioning right now." Do you mean that this is a conscious choice to sit on the sidelines or is something broken internally? Please elaborate
Aless Bieri
November 5th, 2008 12:13pm Report this commentI wouldn't want it any other way.
When the public were running on Northern Rock I happily kept my savings in it, but on the day of nationalisation I withdrew every penny in disgust.
I have money in Barclays and would have done the same if it had been nationalised, GB has one of the worst financial records of anyone who has ever lived, and is the last person who should be running a bank
TGF UKIP
November 6th, 2008 12:21am Report this commentSorry, Fraser, but his failure to adequately make an impact in his most high profile role has been too prolonged to earn any right to time to recover. The brutal fact is that even when Tories had their mid twenties headline lead, the highest lead I saw for them on the economy was 16% and for much of the time it was in high single figures.
Such failure should not be tolerated by Dave much less by journos who genuinely have the Tory interest at heart. Something about being cruel to be kind, I believe.
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