Thursday, 6th November 2008

Who will win in Glenrothes?

Peter Hoskin 6:09pm

I'm always slightly wary about calling elections, so I'll refrain from doing so now. But here's a thread for CoffeeHousers to leave their predictions. At the moment, the betting markets suggest that the SNP will triumph. But a PHI100 poll earlier today recorded a distinct split between politicians and the media on this - a majority of media respondents predicted an SNP victory, whereas a majority of politicians predicted a Labour victory. Check out Political Betting's take on that split here.

Polls close at 2200, and we should have a result by 0030, Friday morning. Tune into Coffee House then to found out which party's triumphed.

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David

November 6th, 2008 7:05pm Report this comment

I think it'll be close, but that the SNP will triumph in the end. It's not just because that's the result I'm hoping for; I think that in the current economic conditions and on a wet and windy Thursday, the party with the best people on the ground will have the bigger chance of winning. And from everything I have read the organisation of the SNP has been excellent.

oldtimer

November 6th, 2008 7:28pm Report this comment

PH100 got the Glasgow poll all wrong; the PB.com poll got it spot on. I do not trust opinions (spin) from the ivory tower inside the Westminster bubble.

mitch

November 6th, 2008 8:43pm Report this comment

Lab get slaughtered again restarting the ditch gordon plans again.

Chuck Unsworth

November 6th, 2008 8:57pm Report this comment

And what's a 'triumph'? If Labour do manage to scrape home with a hugely reduced majority, what does that say? That Brown is riding on the crest of a wave of popularity? Anyone prepared to bet that any such majority will be anywhere near what it was in the General Election?