A more encouraging poll result for the Tories
Peter Hoskin 12:20pmOpinion polls are varying so much at the moment that it's probably futile to read too much into any one set of figures. After the MORI poll last week, though, today's ICM poll for the Sunday Mirror will please quite a few Tories, and fits back into what UK Polling Report's Anthony Wells calls the "broad sweep" of recent polls. Here are the headline numbers:
Conservatives --- 42 percent (down 1 from last month)
Labour --- 31 percent (up 1)
Lib Dem --- 19 percent (up 1)
As I wrote last week, it will be interesting to see how the poll numbers settle in the aftermath of the PBR.
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SDR
November 23rd, 2008 12:31pm Report this commentencouraing?
Tiberius
November 23rd, 2008 2:14pm Report this commentIt is more likely that with the Tories seemingly settled in the low 40s, Labour can't breach 34%.
Nicholas
November 23rd, 2008 2:23pm Report this commentI felt deep suspicion about that Mori poll.
Oor Willie
November 23rd, 2008 3:42pm Report this commentThe poll can't be true because the MSM are ignoring it.
Don
November 23rd, 2008 4:36pm Report this commentWhy are the tv commentators still banging on about the reduction to a 3% lead. None of them have made mention of this poll
jean baker
November 23rd, 2008 5:24pm Report this commentObama dismissed 'unreliable polls' throughout his campaign. Percentages cannot be determined in the absence of 100% population involvement. Media 'spinning' is Nulabor's chosen method of government. British tabloids reported 'neck to neck' polls the day before Obama's historic landslide victory.
JimBob
November 23rd, 2008 5:42pm Report this commentDon,
Thats because nu Lab cronies like Peston are on the nuLab payroll, probably receiving 'incentive payments' when they report in the 'right' way.They know which side their bread is buttered on.
TrevorsDen
November 23rd, 2008 9:45pm Report this comment"Obama's historic landslide victory." ??
The popular vote was 52.8 to 45.9
States were 28 to 22.. Hardly a landslide and the polls were not particularly wrong.
Mike Smithson who makes a living out of political betting (and claims to be a lib dem) points out that ICMs methodology is sounder than MORIs.
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