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Thursday, 18th December 2008

The new CW

James Forsyth 1:27pm

One of the political winners of the last quarter of this year has been Ed Miliband. He gave one of the best speeches of the conference season and then was promoted in Brown’s reshuffle to one of the sexiest portfolios in government. James Macintyre in his predictions for 2009 says:

“Ed Miliband will emerge as the up-and-coming politician of 2009 and come to be regarded as Brown's natural successor.”
One of the smartest commentators on the centre-left said something similar to me the other day citing Ed’s popularity across the party and the fact that the political energy is now on the more statist left where Ed has always been. His brother David, pretty anonymous since the banana incident, is rapidly becoming the other Miliband.

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Ian C

December 18th, 2008 2:04pm Report this comment

At 32 he has not even wet his first political nappy. And he has chosen the dead end of climate change minister - something that will one day win the prize for the most stupid ministry ever invented.

He's bright - but even bright people are stupid - and he is far too young to take over in 18 months time when Borwn fails. Cruddas will lead the left and probably the party.

Mike, Brighton

December 18th, 2008 2:14pm Report this comment

One problem with that is that Ed has zero personality and zero charisma and those are essential qualities needed to become PM....er um like er er unlike Mr Brown

David

December 18th, 2008 2:19pm Report this comment

It's good that you had a backup commentator, since reading this

"By the end of the year, the two main parties will have switched positions in the polls, with the Conservatives heading into 2010 languishing below 30 per cent"

really doesn't give one confidence in the remainder of Mr MacIntyre's predictions.

mark

December 18th, 2008 2:25pm Report this comment

Ed might be popular with the party but most people with eyes and at leat 2 brain cells see him as something nasty that you need to scap of your shoes

drakesdrum

December 18th, 2008 2:31pm Report this comment

strange, I was talking to an elder statesman of the commentators club on the telephone the other day. I was told that the person to watch, seriously, was little miss hunny bun, the cheerful chipmunk Miss Hazel Blears!

Apparantly she has tremendous support and could, if she moved, take Brown's job when the opportunity arises.

Contrary to the Westminster Village correspondents. The New Labour Party are not a happy lot and the worry about Brown still exists. Should he lose the election - watch Miss Blears FLY!!

For unpolitically correct reasons the Milliband's will lose out big time.

Monty's lad

December 18th, 2008 3:07pm Report this comment

drakesdrum - the was a contest for deputy leader of the Labour Party about eighteen months ago. Here are the results from the first round:

Jon Cruddas 19.39%
Harriet Harman 18.93%
Alan Johnson 18.16%
Hilary Benn 16.40%
Peter Hain 15.32%
Hazel Blears 11.77%

The chipmunk was the first candiate to be eliminated so I'm not sure that your theory is completely watertight.

Pete, Yorkshire

December 18th, 2008 3:11pm Report this comment

WHAT? Ed Milliband doesn't look or talk human.

Matthew Blott

December 18th, 2008 3:19pm Report this comment

@ drakesdrum

Hazel Blears came last in the deputy leadership election last year.

Ken

December 18th, 2008 3:40pm Report this comment

Would that be the younger banana in the Miliband bunch then? Why does Coffee House so love to punt spotty teenagers for Labour leadership? The pair of them will be Milli-who's? inside of 5 years.

Dave B

December 18th, 2008 3:44pm Report this comment

I don't agree that, "the political energy is now on the more statist left".

I think the 'political energy', is with devolved decision making, and less government interference.

http://www.direct-democracy.co.uk/

Roll on the general election :-)

Ted Tedford

December 18th, 2008 3:57pm Report this comment

How did it come to this?

I'm no fan of Labour, but the fact that lick-spittle dwarves like Ed Miliband (or his glottally-challenged brother) and Hazel Blears are even in government, let alone suspects for future leadership, must make the average party member want to cry.

cityboozer

December 18th, 2008 3:58pm Report this comment

What is "CW"?

Nicholas

December 18th, 2008 4:49pm Report this comment

Oh dear. Is the Speccie becoming ageist? I thought you preferred politicians of wisdom, experience and gravitas?

32? Come on. Mr Ed the Talking Donkey needs to sign up for a couple of years and come back to politics after a spell in the Army. Oh, sorry, forgot, New Labour don't do armed forces.

Unsteady Eddie

December 18th, 2008 7:59pm Report this comment

cityboozer, is it complete winker? or something?

BTW 'sexiest portfolios'? I was all moist by mid paragraph

JohnAnt

December 18th, 2008 10:19pm Report this comment

James - this is a wind-up - right?
Both Milibaender together do not have enough nous for one normal human being.

TGF UKIP

December 18th, 2008 11:12pm Report this comment

Careful Ian C, young Ed is first and foremost Secretary of State for Energy and as I have been posting for a while energy is very likely to soon become a sexy political issue.

Very large and controversial decisions are soon to be made on energy and the Tories will be massively out of sync with the public and where Gordon intends to position Labour.

If you want a laugh go to the Tory Party website and look at their energy policy documents particularly the one titled "Energy Policy Paper - The Decentralised Energy Revolutution." With an already creaking power plant structure, 12 plants scheduled for closure over the next ten years, a number of coal plants becoming illegal under the European Emissions Directive, that document is about as relevant to Britain's real and imminent energy problems as a copy of The Beano.

When energy does become a political issue Brown intends to frame it in terms of Daffy Green Dave against Keep Yer Lights on Gordon.

James Forsyth

December 19th, 2008 12:32am Report this comment

City Boozer, CW stands for conventional wisdom.

Ian C, I agree Cruddas will be formidable. He has the great weapon of being a genuinely good bloke.
Best, James

Frank P

December 19th, 2008 1:23am Report this comment

cityboozer

"What is CW?"

Why, communist wanker of course!

Graeme Stewart

December 19th, 2008 11:18am Report this comment

In reference to TGF UKIP's comments. Labour will be or will have just finished being in charge when the lights go out. Nobody's going to look at the policy documents when they only have a candle to read by. If the Conservative's get in then they should continually point the finger at Labour for every failing that occurs.
Every party's position on Energy is mince (ask Fraser S for the translation) and there are going to have to be a series of U turns by all the party's if the this country's energy needs are to be met.
Today the wind turbines will be shut down as the wind will be too strong. Last week there wasn't enough wind to start them up. Excluding tidal, green energy can only have a marginal impact and it is expensive.

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