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Saturday, 27th December 2008

Cut the payroll tax and raise the gas tax

James Forsyth 1:55pm

Charles Krauthammer has an important piece in the Weekly Standard joining those calling for an increase in the gas tax in the US compensated for by an equivalent reduction in the payroll tax. Here’s what he is proposing:

“A net-zero gas tax. Not a freestanding gas tax but a swap that couples the tax with an equal payroll tax reduction. A two-part solution that yields the government no net increase in revenue and, more importantly—that is why this proposal is different from others--immediately renders the average gasoline consumer financially whole.

Here is how it works. The simultaneous enactment of two measures: A $1 increase in the federal gasoline tax--together with an immediate $14 a week reduction of the FICA tax. Indeed, that reduction in payroll tax should go into effect the preceding week, so that the upside of the swap (the cash from the payroll tax rebate) is in hand even before the downside (the tax) kicks in.

The math is simple. The average American buys roughly 14 gallons of gasoline a week. The $1 gas tax takes $14 out of his pocket. The reduction in payroll tax puts it right back. The average driver comes out even, and the government makes nothing on the transaction. (There are, of course, more drivers than workers--203 million vs. 163 million. The 10 million unemployed would receive the extra $14 in their unemployment insurance checks. And the elderly who drive--there are 30 million licensed drivers over 65--would receive it with their Social Security payments.)”


As Krauthammer notes, increasing the gas tax would lead to a reduction in the use of petrol which would be good on both national security and environmental grounds. Even if this was not the case, it is the kind of measures conservatives should support as it shifts the tax burden from work to waste.

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RobertD

December 27th, 2008 5:00pm Report this comment

It has further added advantages. Petrol prices are included in the consumer price index but payroll taxes are not. At a stroke the spectre of deflation is given a kicking.

This looks like one of those environmentally helpful but fiscally neutral policies that the UK Conservative party were advocating before the big crunch took away all economic sense from politicians. Time to look at it again.

THX1138

December 27th, 2008 7:19pm Report this comment

I so agree with this. We can't choose how much PAYE we pay but we choose what car we drive & how far we drive it- This is exactly the sort of tax changes the Tories should be looking at.

Rhoda Klapp

December 28th, 2008 12:52pm Report this comment

Krauthammer is wrong on two counts. Firstly, low energy costs in the US are what drives their economy to better growth than others, over many years (at least, it's a theory). He should beware of copying the success in growth of, say, Europe.

Second, it is wrong to conflate the two taxes. Each should be considered in isolation, not as a trade-off. Do they need lower payroll taxes? Probably, do it. Don't link it to gas tax, which wise or foolish has to be considered in terms of its own economic effect.

Daniel Jaffe

December 28th, 2008 11:57pm Report this comment

What about those having to drive to work? Better to reduce some wasteful pork.

Nice to finally hear someone advocating lower payroll taxes though; it is ridiculous that we tax the EMPLOYMENT of workers!

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