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Monday, 26th January 2009

Every pollster now has the Tories on course for an overall majority

James Forsyth 7:46pm

Today started with a good poll for the Tories and it ends with another. The latest ICM poll for The Guardian has the Tories on 44 percent, up six points on last month. Labour are on 32, down one, and the Lib Dems on 16, down 3. Year on year, the Tories are up seven, Labour down three and the Lib Dems down four.

Worryingly for Brown the public have lost confidence in his economic activism. Confidence in Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling has dropped 18 points in two months. Only 31 percent of voters think the Prime Minister’s actions will actually achieve anything positive while David Cameron and George Osborne now have a narrow two point lead over Brown and Darling on the question of who do you trust most with the economy.

2009 is shaping up to be a very good year for the Tories. Polls from every pollster place them above 40 percent and every pollster shows the Tory lead growing. The Brown bounce appears to have passed and the Lib Dems are stuttering. One wonders how long it will be before a southern Lib Dem MP begins to make inquiries about whether there might be a home—and a seat—for them in the Tory party.
 

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molesworth 1

January 26th, 2009 8:11pm Report this comment

"2009 is shaping up to be a very good year for the Tories." Careful, careful, careful! A week is a long time etc. etc. & it's only January.

kinglear

January 26th, 2009 8:30pm Report this comment

I have continually said the LibDems will have fewer than 20 seats after the next election

mitch

January 26th, 2009 8:40pm Report this comment

We can all recognise a headless chicken when we see one.

George Laird

January 26th, 2009 9:02pm Report this comment

Dear All

It seems that New Labour MP's need to get the knives and the stalking horse out.

It is time to think about the wife and kids.

The ship is going down, no time to save the "Captain", get the family on the lifeboat of rebellion.

I am sure people will be wondering, what about the mortgage if they get shown the door by the voters.

Is it not nice to know that New Labour are going to lose, it brings a warm glow in these chilly times.

Roll on a hung Parliament.

Yours sincerely

George Laird
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University

Fredrik Ingemarsson

January 26th, 2009 9:49pm Report this comment

A 1997 - style defeat for Labour ?

strapworld

January 26th, 2009 10:47pm Report this comment

I would look no further than the South West where the Liberal Democrats face a total wipe out.

Nick Harvey is a highly respected constituency MP. He has Tory roots he would be at home in the Tory party.

The Cornish MP's have another problem. The Liberal Democrat dominated new Unitary Council. It is hated! So I can see a few making overtures to the Tories.

Anna

January 26th, 2009 11:46pm Report this comment

Good chaps... you put it right!

Oldrightie

January 27th, 2009 12:03am Report this comment

Collapse of The Economy, Law and Order, PFI, sleaze.........
Time to call it a day, methinks.

Mark Solomon

January 27th, 2009 12:44am Report this comment

"It seems that New Labour MP's need to get the knives and the stalking horse out."

No please, I hope they don't because the longer Gordon goes on the worse their defeat will be. There would be something satisfactorily just about the man responsible for most of this government's actions from 1997 on being held to account in a symmetrical yet reverse election result.

Why on earth would you want a hund parliament? A smashing Tory victory is what is needed.

Oh and why the stupid tag line about Human Rights at Glasgow University? Are they short of them there? When I was at University I held posts in several political societies and on the Union Executive but do you really think that adults in the outside world will be impressed by this? Or indeed be more inclined to listen to what you say? Rather the reverse I would suggest...

Ray

January 27th, 2009 7:49am Report this comment

Ah, that memorable night in 2010 which is oft times fondly recalled by that animated question "Did you stay up for Balls?".

Ivy Eileen

January 27th, 2009 8:30am Report this comment

"the public have lost confidence in his economic activism" - and can we all please keep reminding ourselves that Brown contributed to our getting this deep into the mess. Artificial low interest rates, "light" regulation and placement of numpties with power and influence - it was feeding dope to the masses to keep them happy.

Mark

January 27th, 2009 8:36am Report this comment

Things can only get better.

Max

January 27th, 2009 9:34am Report this comment

It would not be so bad if Gordy were to apologise.

Old Hack

January 27th, 2009 11:08am Report this comment

A Lib Dem could not join the Conservatives any more realistically than a Scotsman becomes English. Its tribal and genetic.

Rivere

January 27th, 2009 11:23am Report this comment

Totally agree with you Mark Solomon. Who does "George Laird
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University" think he is impressing. It is this kind of pseudo-bureaucratic rubbish that has cause all the current termoil. George Laird you should stand for parliment!

Hysteria

January 27th, 2009 2:42pm Report this comment

just been to the Glasgow University website - no sign of a George Laird

Exiled Blue

January 27th, 2009 8:20pm Report this comment

Is Vince Cable to go from Labour (Glasgow Hillhead 1970) to Lib-Dem (Twickenham 1997) to Conservative ? 2010. I can't see the Tories being all that interested in any of the others to be honest.

Oh and a Scotsman can become English. I came down here 37 Years ago and assimilated. I pass Lord Tebbit's Cricket Test.

George Laird

January 28th, 2009 7:06pm Report this comment

Dear Rivere

"George Laird you should stand for parliment!"

I found this suggestion to be very funny.

As to those who are unpset by my tag line, I am sorry but you can't please everyone, so I don't even try.

Yours sincerely

George Laird
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University

David Hopwood

February 14th, 2009 8:42pm Report this comment

we've been led by a pair of madmen for 11 years: Blair has a (multiple) pesonality disorder and brown has aspergers. It's taken 11 years for the voters to finally realise that they've wrecked the country.

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