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Saturday, 14th February 2009

YouGov deflates the Lib Dem rise

Peter Hoskin 11:22pm

Given the wave-making nature of the ComRes poll earlier, it's worth pointing out the YouGov poll for tomorrow's Sunday Times.  Rather than a eye-catching increase in Lib Dem support, it records a 2 point fall for Clegg, Cable et al.  Here are the headline numbers:

Conservatives --- 44 percent (up 1 percentage point)
Labour --- 32 percent (no change)
Lib Dem --- 14 percent (down 2)

Over at Political Betting, Mike Smithson indicates that the difference may be down to polling methods, online vs telephone.  I guess we'll have to wait for more polls to know either way.

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Nicholas

February 15th, 2009 12:05am Report this comment

You Gov cannot be trusted. Weighted for Labour.

Labour no change? Don't think so.

John

February 15th, 2009 8:50am Report this comment

None of these polls are accurate to within any better than 5 points either way.

Fergus Pickering

February 15th, 2009 9:30am Report this comment

I thought You Gov was the one that got it most nearly right last time. Wasn't it?

Marian C

February 15th, 2009 10:24am Report this comment

I agree with you Nicholas, I don't trust any of these polls, IMO they're all rigged to some extent. If the government really wants to see what the nation thinks, then why not call a General Election! Bunch of cowards won’t do that though will they.

RWEG

February 16th, 2009 11:12pm Report this comment

I hope I'm not 'pointing' out the blindingly obvious: Con up 1, Lab no change, LD down 2. Are we 'missing a point' here or is the poll in fact a treasury / banker collaboration?

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