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Monday, 16th February 2009

A face-saving exit for Brown?

James Forsyth 11:10am

Few commentators are as well plugged into the Brown circle as Jackie Ashley which makes her column this morning absorbing reading. Ashley floats the idea that Brown might quit after the G20 summit in April to become head of a new international financial regulatory body. Ashley admits that the story sounds implausible but she says that “it comes from quite close to the inner core.”

Leaving aside the fact that putting Brown in charge of this body would be rather like putting the head of the West Indies Cricket Board in charge of all pitch preparation for international cricket, it seems highly implausible that Brown, who has waited so long for the chance to be PM, would leave voluntarily. But Ashley writes that the argument goes like this, “he isn't stupid. He reads the polls. He knows he faces a catastrophic defeat. Now it's only a matter of when. If there is a lifeboat - jump.”

Interestingly, Ashley suggests that if Brown goes Alan Johnson is the man who would best limit the scale of Labour’s defeat. I suspect that Johnson would draw quite a wide range of support not only because he straddles the party’s ideological divisions but also because the more ambitious members of the Cabinet believe that Johnson does not have the stomach for a long stint in opposition, meaning that they would have the chance to run for the leadership soon enough.

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Comments Post comment

GeoffH

February 16th, 2009 11:19am Report this comment

There's only one thing to say: "God help us".

Chris lancashire

February 16th, 2009 11:19am Report this comment

It would be an absolute travesty if Brown was allowed anywhere near financial regulation after this. Mind you, Blair the ace warmaker managed to worm his way into international peacemaker.

bitter and twisted

February 16th, 2009 11:22am Report this comment

If she were to read Trevor Kavanagh in today's Sun, she would get an idea of how the country feels, and could stomach. This Labour crowd should be licking their wounds, never to rear their heads again, not take plum cushy international jobs. And an international FINANCIAL REGULATORY body. Who in their right minds would offer HIM the job. Labour still don't get it. The country wants an election, a change, and that lot out.

C Powell

February 16th, 2009 11:24am Report this comment

We can't be foisted with yet another unelected PM. If Brown goes we should have a general election

Rick

February 16th, 2009 11:25am Report this comment

Send more lifeboats!

Publius

February 16th, 2009 11:28am Report this comment

There is something monstrous about the thought of Brown swanning off into some gold-plated international non-job while everyone else is left to suffer.

Peter Wilson

February 16th, 2009 11:31am Report this comment

Michael White doesn't seem to think so.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/blog/2009/feb/16/gordon-brown-angela-merkel

oldtimer

February 16th, 2009 11:33am Report this comment

Putting Brown in charge of international banking regulation is even less convincing, and more outrageous, than putting Crosby into the FSA! Do not these international leaders realise that appointing Brown to this role would make them the laughing stock of the world?

If they are going to create such a body, they need someone in charge who knows what he is talking about, can think strategically and behaves in a civilised manner. They certainly do not need a headless chicken.

HFC

February 16th, 2009 11:39am Report this comment

...and the fairies at the bottom of my garden told me they are considering moving to Neverland and setting up home with the Lost Boys.

(That'll be the Labour MPs whom will be hoping that Jobseekers Allowance will be available to them.)

Wilhelm

February 16th, 2009 11:44am Report this comment

Broon is not going anywhere, he has waited 20 years for the top job, he'll leave Downing street kicking and screaming with his fingernails scratched into the paintwork of the front door.

Tom Judd

February 16th, 2009 11:49am Report this comment

Jackie Ashley may be "plugged in" to the Brown circle but the same can't be said for her knowledge of either continental politics or G20 plans. There won't be a global financial regulator for Brown to head even if Merkel and Sarkozy - who have come around to the notion of Blair heading the European Council - wanted Brown to do it. This story is entirely bogus and requires no outrage from any anti-Brownies.

Peter

February 16th, 2009 11:53am Report this comment

Now is the moment for a cabinet member to do a Geoffrey Howe, resign and make a devastating speech in the House of Commons. It should include an apology, a statement of what s/he knows about the state of te country's finances and a call for Gordon to do the right thing in the interests of the country and walk. That politicians would go down in history. The moment for that is now.

Herbie

February 16th, 2009 12:07pm Report this comment

What utter twaddle Jackie Ashley writes. Apart from the obvious" lunatic in charge of the asylum" joke, if Brown was to resign then quite obviously an immediate general election would have to be called. This country would not tolerate two unelected Prime Ministers in succession.

Mr Green

February 16th, 2009 12:08pm Report this comment

It's not just a case of "will he go" or even "will he jump or be pushed", but rather "who will volunteer to take over from him?"
Surely Alan Johnson's not going to assume the temporary position of a fall-guy PM just so that Brown can move onto another high-paying non-job.

Bruce, UK

February 16th, 2009 12:09pm Report this comment

"International". So Brown would get 1 G20 vote then (and only if he hasn't been commited by then). I can just see Obama and Sarko and Merkel et al leaping at the chance to have Brown interfering in their domestic finances and telling them how it should be done. As they say on the net, LOL!

Thomas Cussans

February 16th, 2009 12:11pm Report this comment

Actually, the comparison that comes to mind is suggesting, in March 1945, that the best way to end the War would be to offer Adolf Hitler the General Secretaryship of the UN.

Ashley is right about Johnson, though.

Alan Douglas

February 16th, 2009 12:15pm Report this comment

My local council needs a dog-poo-catcher - Brown would fill the post with distinction.

And it would finally be something worthy of his talents ....

Alan Douglas

Ian C

February 16th, 2009 12:15pm Report this comment

This is the left trying to look after its own by flying a kite as to how save his skin - and pretend there would be no disgrace in such an idea.

It would cause an absolute uproar and show up the 'international community' and institutions amongst it for what they really are - jobs for the boys who have never had a proper job who think they know better and that the world owes them a living.

JONNY

February 16th, 2009 12:23pm Report this comment

Alan Johnson.
Wow oh Wow.
What a brilliant idea.
If 'no time for novices' is still the order of the day, he's got to be your man.

He's got the lot hasn't he half. Brains. Substance. The unmistakeable aura of Homme de Destin.
And an iresistible line in matey winks. That should save Labour and The Country.

RODEST

February 16th, 2009 12:28pm Report this comment

My prediction for the past six months has been that if Brown failed to call an election by the end of this month he would face a leadership challenge in the near future.

It looks like the Labour spin machine is in overdrive, start a rumour that Brown has other ambitions allowing him to walk away without suffering the deserved consequences of a defeat in a leadership election or at the polls.

Nulabour and its spin doctors do not have the stomach to face judgement by the electorate. The are in denial of their part in the financial crisis, of wrecking pension funds and wrongdoing in claiming unjustifiable expenses.

The world economies are ruined, with Brown as a regulator, they are unlikely to recover in the first half of this century.

Mike, Brighton

February 16th, 2009 12:53pm Report this comment

No chance - the idea that Brown could jump after waiting, plotting and conspiring all his political life to be PM is a joke. As Wilhelm says he will need to be dragged from No.10.
To think the the public would wear yet-another-unelected PM as a "caretaker" whilst Brown swans off to "save the world" (again) is beyond a joke. It would cause an immediate election and a defeat so calamitous that Labour could would not be able to recover from.

Max Kaye

February 16th, 2009 1:03pm Report this comment

The only face-saving exit would be for him to resign of the grounds of ill-health.

(Yes - we're all sick of him).

Sally Chatterjee

February 16th, 2009 1:03pm Report this comment

There is a precendent: after plotting an illegal invasion, Tony Blair become a Peace Envoy in the Middle-East. Brown can just as well be crowned the world's financial policeman despite a legacy of ruin and bankruptcy behind him.

Herbie

February 16th, 2009 1:05pm Report this comment

What utter twaddle Jackie Ashley writes. Apart from the accusation of a "lunatic in charge of the asylum" if Brown was ever to be made a leader of a world financial regulatory system. If Brown were to resign this country would not tolerate a second unelected Prime Minister in succession .

mac

February 16th, 2009 1:11pm Report this comment

"Lessons are being learned, with changes to bank regulation, but after all, nobody else spotted the dangers either."

Unbelievable! Oh, wait. I'm forgetting that this is Mrs Marr, one half of that matching pair of long-time sycophantic shills for Gordon the political and economic colossus. And, under a cloak of cod 'straight-talking', still a worshipper: "please Gordon, if you apologise a teeny bit, all criticism will surely melt away".

Steve.W

February 16th, 2009 1:42pm Report this comment

Jackie Ashley has got Brown all wrong. For example she says, "he isn't stupid". Oh yes he is.

cuffleyburgers

February 16th, 2009 1:50pm Report this comment

I have long suspected and indeed posted to the effect that Brown had his eye on an international finance job, and his long apprenticeship as chancellor and stint in Number 10 to give him the necessary gravitas should be viewed in this light, and I think this announcement originates in the Brown strategy department perhaps when they were taking a breather between consignments of chickens being delivered.

The fact that even if such a role were to be created, enough people realize the truth not to let him within a hundred miles of it; let's face it is irrelevant, the man is as we know totally delusional.

He KNOWS he was Britain's best chancellor since Gladsone, he KNOWS the current travails of the economy are nothing to do with him, and lucky he's around to take the difficult decisions for the long term (ie high taxes for generations) and he KNOWS that he shouldn't really abandon his country in its time of need but the world needs HIM now and, well, it's a difficult decision but somebody's got to take it...

He really is absolutely barking, but that's how I read it, and in fact I don't see another way.

And neither does he. ANd never has.

john t

February 16th, 2009 2:21pm Report this comment

Spectator, give Sally Chatterjee a blog. She always gets to the core of things.

Ivy Eileen

February 16th, 2009 2:23pm Report this comment

If true, this would be the biggest "cut and run" in political history.

Equally scandalous would be putting the arsonist in charge of the new order of fire precautions - this story won't fly. Who would promote this organisation, pay for it, house it and provide the staff etc. (The U.S.has its hands' full with its own problems and with the U.N.). Sarkozy, Merkel, the Canadians and the Aussies would laugh it into absurdity.

Wily Trout

February 16th, 2009 2:38pm Report this comment

Surely it is Mrs Harperson who is going to take over after GB: the only Labour politican madder than he is?

The Remittance Man

February 16th, 2009 2:40pm Report this comment

Wilhelm,

I agree with your scenario entirely except for one point: How will Brown's fingernails scratch into the black paint of the front door when he'll be nicely wrapped in a straight jacket?

Colin

February 16th, 2009 2:46pm Report this comment

Not even this awful regime could contemplate forcing another unelected PM on us...

Could they?

If he went early, they'd have to call an immediate general election.

Searcher

February 16th, 2009 2:47pm Report this comment

Surely G Brown would never accept such as position, as it would be a reward for failure, and we can't have that :). But look on the bright side - the job would take hime out of the country, and the next (conservative) government could refuse him re-admission on the grounds that his presence would stir up social unrest.

RW

February 16th, 2009 3:01pm Report this comment

Brown is known to be having difficulty controlling his temper - look at that testy appearance before McFall's committee, or his aggressiveness towards journalists at a recent press conference - and to be concerned about his failing eyesight. Might it be that he is indeed looking for a "face-saving exit" - but on domestic and medical grounds?

Rex Burr

February 16th, 2009 3:44pm Report this comment

Brown refuses to set his face against the Bonus Culture.
Clearly he intends to find a post where he will become an adherent of that culture.
He has recently questioned the cost of MP’s pensions. Clearly a diversion to take attention away from MP’s expenses, but it will be quietly dropped and nothing will actually change, certainly not before he qualifies for his wad.

Ivy Eileen

February 16th, 2009 4:01pm Report this comment

"I think this announcement originates in the Brown strategy department perhaps when they were taking a breather between consignments of chickens being delivered" -

- of the headless variety ?

Pete

February 16th, 2009 4:27pm Report this comment

If one concludes that, of the diabolical trio of the 'New Labour Project' initiators, Brown is very definately the poor cousin, both Blair and Madelson having made their pile. It does not surprise me one bit, that Brown is preparing to jump ship, and move to a lucrative ,private position, but, and this is a big but. Who in Gods name would have him. He is a complete Loon.

George Laird

February 16th, 2009 4:45pm Report this comment

Dear All

James poses a question;

"A face saving exit for Brown".

There isn't one.

If he goes before an election he will be seen as a coward and if he goes after to another job then people will wonder if it is a bribe.

The idea that Brown can head a new international financial regulatory body is a pipe dream.

We have seen the Sir James Crosbie saga unfold and the blame and bad judgement coming home to roost at Gordon Brown's front door, time and time again.

Who in their right mind would put in place a man who has a massive track record of incompetence and failure?

The real story is who is going to replace Brown as leader of the Labour Party?

Anything else is meaningless for a Labour MP.

So many people are now jumping ship that the rot can only be stopped by a June 2009 election.

This is the only date that Brown can go to the country, Mandelson has clicked on to that fact now.

Everything between now and then produced by Labour should be looked at for what it is Pre-election propaganda.

Yours sincerely

George Laird
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University

Roger Thornhill

February 16th, 2009 10:01pm Report this comment

Brown is a Marxist. He has Internationalism and Monopoly in his DNA. This is a very tempting offer for him IMHO. I always thought he was aiming to wreck the UK and hop to some sinecure if the men in white coats did not get him first.

That said, such a body will be the end of freedom and any hope of further mass prosperity. Someone like Gordon will end up pushing for a per-transaction tax and thus demand the end of note and coin. Everything we do will be tracked, monitored, assessed for criminality and sold on to Marketeers who will pester us with their garbage.

Ann

February 16th, 2009 10:13pm Report this comment

ROFL. Brownie couldn't regulate a whelk stall.

"Blair the ace warmaker" - drivel!

Ann

February 16th, 2009 10:16pm Report this comment

"Jackie Ashley may be "plugged in" to the Brown circle but the same can't be said for her knowledge of either continental politics or G20 plans."

True enough. We remember her mouth-frothing 'articles' about people she doesn't like. She is a loon.

Ann

February 16th, 2009 10:18pm Report this comment

"plotting an illegal invasion"

Crikey, yet another idiot comes up with this nonsense about an 'illegal' invasion.

John

February 16th, 2009 10:22pm Report this comment

If he goes before an election he will be seen as a coward -

Yes? And? We all know that he is one.

TomTom

February 17th, 2009 2:33am Report this comment

Jackie Ashley is dim and cannot comprehend that Japan, China, Taiwan have the kind of foreign currency reserves that give them influence and they no longer kow-tow to some Briton who thinks international jobs are another line on the resume.

One day even Mrs Marr will understand just how insignificant Britain is becoming on the world stage; economically it has overblown its self-importance by being a giant BCCI

John Miller

February 17th, 2009 5:20am Report this comment

I commented last summer that he will resign shortly before the next election on the grounds of failing eyesight. This story is being floated once again in various quarters. Blunkett proved that nobody has the stomach to vilify a blind man.

Talking Head

February 17th, 2009 12:39pm Report this comment

Look at it the other way round....if it's true how would he behave?....and then ask how is he behaving?....and then....bye.

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