King's blame game
Fraser Nelson 4:03pm
Mervyn King was doling out blame at the Treasury Select Committee today - while insisting there was nothing, at all, anywhere that the Bank of England could have done differently. He dumped on Brown, saying that Britain entered the recession "with a pubic deficit that was too high" so leaving less room for a meaningful splurge. I add in parenthesis that of the idea of borrowing in a boom would have appalled Keynes: this is why Brown's claims to be following Keynes now ring hollow. King also blamed the regulators, the banks - everyone, except the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street..
Perhaps wrongly, I was struck by King's assertion that banks should take a higher buffer of high-quality liquid assets: ie, it's time for RBS, HBOS etc to start to buy all that UK government debt notes just in case the Chinese and Arabs lose their appetite for it. It is entirely possible that the nationalised banks are directed to fund Brown's misbehaviour - thus saving him from the IMF. The below graph, courtesy of Citi, shows just how UK banks appetite for UK debt has been increasing already:




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John
February 26th, 2009 4:32pm Report this commentLOL @ "pubic deficit"
PayDirt
February 26th, 2009 4:49pm Report this commentThis seems to be what Tim Congdon in FT today is arguing for, ie quantitative easing where cash is put into the economy by Govt borrowing from banks (though I thought all the news was about Govt giving to the banks). Whatever the works in mysterious ways are going on, Congdon’s point about business paying off debts before they are realistically going to spend again makes sense if the recession is to end sooner rather than later.
Ian C
February 26th, 2009 4:51pm Report this commentWhere else can they put our money? No, that is the right place for them to be investing for the time being. Anatole Kaletsky has redeemed himself somewhat in today's Times and his article rightly says lending to the Gov't by the banks is required at this depressing time. The alternative is full nationalisation of them.
Johnathan Pearce
February 26th, 2009 4:55pm Report this commentFraser, the more I think about it, the more I think that the advocates of the gold standard, frequently dismissed as romantic old fools, have a point.
The BoE's inflation-targeting approach to setting interest rates has been discredited. The Bank should have taken account of the ratio of debt in the UK to assets; it should have looked at the sources of funding for that debt, its maturity, and so on. Setting monetary policy by reference to headline inflation and a few macro-economic indicators is useless if you don't give due weight to volume of lending, debt and asset prices.
C Powell
February 26th, 2009 5:29pm Report this commentPublic deficit, I think, Fraser, not "pubic".....
Very enjoyable watching all these ferrets in a sack. Now I'm off to decide where I put my savings.....
bmc3186
February 26th, 2009 5:39pm Report this commentWell sticking to the gold standard - if it existed - would mean absolutely zero room for policy.
It would certainly bring about fiscal and monetary responsibility. It would probably also destroy the British economy (interest rates would be sky high in order to defend the currency).
cuffleyburgers
February 26th, 2009 5:52pm Report this commentSurely the fundamental error was not to set money supply targets?
And to overlook the fact that the banks wouldn't allowed to go bust, therefore the government was tacitly accruing a massive liability and therefore its failure to regulate adequately amounts to criminal misuse of public funds.
Denis Cooper
February 26th, 2009 6:03pm Report this commentWell, setting interest rates to target inflation target started under the last Tory government, post ERM, and became a legal duty imposed on the Bank of England through the Bank of England Act 1998; so it's not exactly "The BoE's inflation-targetting approach".
I think we've discovered that a) it needs to target the right measure of inflation, and the EU's CPI is not appropriate for the UK economy because it takes no account of house prices; and b) retail inflation can't be the only economic parameter targetted, and interest rates can't be the only economic lever available to the Bank; and c) legal responsibility for the "prudential supervision" of banks should never have been passed to the FSA (same 1998 Act), and should be returned to the Bank.
griff
February 26th, 2009 6:09pm Report this commentSee this:
http://www.creditwritedowns.com/2009/02/did-sweden-really-nationalize-its-banks.html
yellowbelly
February 26th, 2009 6:30pm Report this commentJohn
February 26th, 2009 4:32pm
LOL @ "pubic deficit"
===
No balls, you see!
Bocephus
February 26th, 2009 6:52pm Report this commentSo let me see. King blames Brown today. Turner blamed Brown yesterday. But all the BBC and Sky are interested in are the mysteriously leaked pension details of Fred Goodwin.
What a lucky break for our great leader!
Charles
February 26th, 2009 8:33pm Report this commentAt this rate we'll all be bartering root vegetables by the end of the year. Any (legal)recommendations as to what would get me a fast crop?
mckenzie
February 26th, 2009 8:58pm Report this commentDude, one day your name is Frazer, then the next day it is Fraser. Not that it matters too much, but it just seems schizo to me that a man uses different spelling on a daily basis.
TrevorsDen
February 26th, 2009 11:30pm Report this comment"lending to the Gov't by the banks"
by the banks?
We are shovelling money their way.
Lets get this right we are borrowing money from somewhere (Mars?) so we can lend it to the banks at 12% so they can lend it back to us at 4% so we can afford to lend it to them in the first place?
PayDirt
February 27th, 2009 9:28am Report this commentTrevorsDen: What you describe is the science of economics. The trick is of course is to be like Sir Fred and get in early and borrow when rates are low. In the speeded-up modern world payback time comes double quick and the defrauded lenders are left with the only remedy to shoot the Sir Freds (they won’t need their pensions then will they?)
hadrian
February 27th, 2009 9:35pm Report this commentand here was I thinking our fundamental error was that too many of us had been living way beyond our means, egged on by greedy bankers and insatiable politicians. Now it's all come home to roost we're still being urged to get spending!! Can anyone explain this basic contradiction, please?!
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