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Saturday, 21st March 2009

Cameron should avoid dancing to Brown's tune

Peter Hoskin 1:27pm

One of the more frustrating aspects of the Cameron leadership is how its strategy is sometimes (overly) determined by what Labour will do or say.  Take what was their long-standing commitment to match Labour's spending plans.  This was made in fear of the "Tory cuts" attack, and ensured that the New Labour orthodoxy - that "spending = investment" - remained in place long past its use-by date.  Cameron now admits that he should have ditched the commitment sooner, and regards the failure to do so as one of his biggest mistakes.

Why mention this now?  Well, there's a similar air about George Osborne's statement on a 45p tax rate yesterday.  When this measure was announced in the PBR, it seemed little more than cyincal Brownite ploy to put the Tories in a spot.  Cameron 'n' Osborne should have steered well clear but, instead, they've dived straight into Brown's trap.  And for what purpose?  According to the Telegraph:     

"Mr Cameron and George Osborne, the shadow chancellor, are aware of the potential for irritation among core Tory supporters and MPs who believe in a low-tax economy, but the pair fear Labour will attack them for potential cuts in public services if they do not follow the Government's lead."
In which case, a "Tory MP" quoted in the same article hits the nail on the head: "Why are we so frightened of what Labour will attack us with? Their economic record is in shreds."

Now, let me stress, this isn't to ignore all of Cameron's good work - the poll leads the Tories enjoy are certainly not to be sniffed at.  But it is to say that the Tories aren't quite seizing all the opportunities before them.  The next few decades will require new orthodoxies to deal with the crisis in our public finances.  It's down to Cameron to set them, rather than dancing to Brown's tune.

P.S. Talking of "irritation among core Tory supporters and MPs", Boris has come out attacking the Tory stance on this issue.

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Simon

March 21st, 2009 2:14pm Report this comment

oh dear I spoke too soon. Looks like the competition to be Simon Heffer's apprentice is alive and well.

hysteria

March 21st, 2009 2:24pm Report this comment

"the Tories aren't quite seizing all the opportunities before them"....

well quite Peter - I think many of us here have been saying this in rather more vitriolic terms for a long time.

My view is we are in this position because DC is not a conviction politician of the right, and so is always seeking the option that "sounds" right - this leads to policies and ideas not founded on any principle other than a desire to be PM.

Anonymous English African

March 21st, 2009 2:53pm Report this comment

Osbourne has tripped over into another Mandelson trap. Team Cameron need to get their act together and resolve this mess.

George Laird

March 21st, 2009 3:07pm Report this comment

Dear Peter

Cameron can only dance to Brown's tune.

He had the option but chose not to do the work on real policies.

He has spent so much time trying to be nice that he has forgotten the essential fact.

He has to have the answers, the correct answers.

Being nice isn't why people go see their MP, they do so on the basis that their MP will get things sorted for them.

There is window dressing, there are soundbytes, there are little bits of movement but Cameron is an estate agent selling a house of cards.

And he knows it.

Yours sincerely

George Laird
The Campaign for Human Rights at Glasgow University

Kevyn Bodman

March 21st, 2009 3:48pm Report this comment

What it comes down to,again, is that Cameron 'n' Osborne are not robust enough.

JohnAnt

March 21st, 2009 3:58pm Report this comment

Matching Labour's spending plans was a non-starter, and along with the husky- n' hoody-friendly policies it made Dave look wet. Core voters don't like being taken for idiots. And Dave's policy announcements and PR stunts so far (Kirsty Allsop, Carol Vorderman) have been aimed at idiots. Any more of this, and people will turn to the more extreme anti-EU parties.

Rob Atkins

March 21st, 2009 3:58pm Report this comment

Surely the point here is that Brown has made such an appalling mess of the economy that an incoming Governmnet will have no choice but to raise taxes and reduce public expenditure.

This 45p tax issue shows that the Conservatives are no longer 'pro-rich', which will enable him to argue more confidently of the need for reductions in public spending, welfare reforms and, if necessary, some increases in tax for the rest of us. All of these are going to be necessary; it is only Liability Brown and the ridiculous Yvette Cooper who are pretending otherwise.

A tax-cutting drive will have to wait until reductions in public spending make it plausible.

Alfred T Mahan

March 21st, 2009 4:03pm Report this comment

Britain is bankrupt, everyone knows it, everyone knows public expenditure is too high and this miserable pair are afraid of saying so? How on earth can anyone have confidence in their ability to take the necessary action when they're in power if they shilly-shally about like this now?

In my experience most people would welcome someone who's prepared to tell them the truth rather than mince words. Sadly, it seems there's little likelihood of one being found at the top of the Conservative Party.

strapworld

March 21st, 2009 4:54pm Report this comment

Name that tune....

"anything you can do I can do better, I can do anything better than you"

Yah Boo Politics rules!

Cameron and Osborne show their political immaturity.

Juliana

March 21st, 2009 7:02pm Report this comment

Cameron IS wet. Probably charming. But wet. And we need someone to go for the jugular which he is temperamentally incapable of doing.

John Francis

March 21st, 2009 7:25pm Report this comment

"Cameron's Leadership" - he isn't a leader. If Cameron was really a Prime Minister in waiting Brown would be begging for mercy by now. I can remember how Wilson, Thatcher, and Blair treated governments that were on the ropes. Where's the will to power?

Tiberius

March 21st, 2009 7:47pm Report this comment

Probably all regular posters to this blog accept that Brown is concerned with setting booby traps for the Tories in order to try to hold on to power for its own sake, rather than concentrate on what is best for the country and engage in honest debate. Brown may be incapable but he is still cunning.

The 45% tax issue is such a booby trap. Ian Martin, over on the DT, accepts this and recognizes Cameron and Osborne were bound to be damned if they did and damned if they didn't (although who the damners are in each case varies according to opinion, I suspect). He (like Boris) thinks they have come down on the wrong side of the argument (or, to put it another way, Cameron and Osborne know there is a booby trap in the building, but are going about defusing it in the wrong way).

Well who's to know?

Is it not the case that anyone who wants to avoid the 45% rate can do so if they have a decent accountant (and someone earning over £150k should have one). So does that not remove the disincentive issue?

In which case, the matter is all about politics not policy. To keep options open is usually wiser than to burn bridges. In these uncertain times (and still so far ahead of a GE), I, like James below, judge Cameron and Oscborne to have made the right call.

With the 45% issue still able to be retained or ditched by the Tories (their language to date allows for either), Brown cannot manoeuvre them into a worse position by exploiting their decided position.

I don't see, Pete, that Cameron is dancing to Brown's tune. Rather, he is doing what any good chess player with the black pieces does - he makes his next move in the light of his opponent's last move.

JohnAnt

March 21st, 2009 9:21pm Report this comment

They aren't expected to know the full Treasury picture. They didn't have to do anything except say that government spending must be cut and taxes will have to be raised in some way.
But as usual, they once again panicked and ignored Reagan's sensible advice 'Don't just do something: stand there!'

Peter

March 21st, 2009 10:40pm Report this comment

I have been a moderate conservative for 20 years, but even I cannot stomach conservative so called economic policy. A new fear stalks our land - not fear of the damage Labour have done to out country, but fear of what Labour spin doctors will say if we get off our knees and challenge their monstrous project. Likewise the opposition are like rabbits in the headlights about the City excesses. I give up - anyone will get my vote except Labour or Conservative.

Archie

March 22nd, 2009 4:07am Report this comment

JohnAnt: What do you mean "people WILL turn to the more extreme anti-EU parties............."?

JONNY

March 22nd, 2009 12:24pm Report this comment

The hard-to-take truth of the thing is that Cameron is about trying to win an election - part of which is not being wrongfooted by Brown. Or falling headlong into baboo elephant traps.
And quite a few Coffeehousers are indulging in the pleasurable Sunday morning pastime of venting their spleen.
Why not - it's a nice day.

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