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Friday, 3rd April 2009

The Spectator’s Grand National tips

7:31pm

Ahead of tomorrow’s big race, we asked a few Spectator contributors, and friends of Coffee House, for their Grand National tips.  Here are their responses:

Robin Oakley

Champion trainer Paul Nicholls has had 40 runners in the Grand National without winning.  He trains the favourite, My Will, but you can also get 22-1 on his Big Fella Thanks, which makes him the each way value.

Peter Oborne

Two horses catch my eye, both at reasonable odds. Brooklyn Brownie was bred by John Kenny, Master of the Ormond Foxhounds, won his bumper in Ireland before being sold to north country trainer Malcolm Jefferson. Brooklyn Brownie will stay the distance, enjoy the expected good going, is in flying form and he ran very well over the National fences at Aintree last November. He should be backed each way at 28-1. Nicky Henderson is winning everything this year. His best hope is the French-bred Golden Flight which is worth a dabble at 66-1.

Roger Alton

As a well-known Racing Editor has just emailed me, "The National is a nightmare." But only the brave and all that, so here goes. It's not a race for a single bet, but have quite a few and really enjoy losing your money. Even so, sticking your pin in a few times is every bit as good a way of finding a winner.

I would have a good bet on Rambling Minster, a vastly experienced 11-year-old trained by Keith Reveley and ridden by his son James. He is treated well in the weights, and, usefully for Aintree, has never fallen. A shortish price, 10-1, reflects a real chance.  The Lloyd Webber's classy but crazy horse Darkness is a stone lower than he should be, and very good value at 25-1.  The Nigel Twiston Davies trained Battlecry has Tom Scudamore up, and might  be worth a few quid each way at 50s.

Two horses at enormous odds: the Philip Hobbs trained Zabenz has had a couple of good point to point wins and is fancied by a chum who has worked with him (125-1). And there was a brief murmur the other day for the Nicky Henderson trained Golden Flight. Then Barry Geraghty was booked to ride him and the price came in to 50-1. Finally, I have always liked State of Play: why? Because it was a damn fine TV series in which journalists were the heroes, and you can't say that very often.

Alex Massie

Comply or Die fits the big-government temper of the times but, working on the presumption that repeat victories don't happen very often, I'd pick Rambling Minster, and trust that AP McCoy will have to wait another year to win his first National.

Jeremy Clarke

I'm going to have my shirt (a fiver each way) on Darkness (20-1). A moody horse, this one, apparently, but might do well given the right medication. Trained by my good friend, the legendary Mr CR Egerton.

Ed Howker

I'm backing l'ami each way, a good-looking horse coming into its element. Great odds, and took a lot of canny early money.

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Comments Post comment

Susan Hill

April 3rd, 2009 10:42pm Report this comment

Rambling Minster carries all my housekeeping money.

Alf Tupper

April 3rd, 2009 11:31pm Report this comment

Stan.

Richard Holloway

April 4th, 2009 10:36am Report this comment

No-one for Offshore Account? I just like the delicious irony of the horse winning a few days after Brown 'saved the world' by 'abolishing' them

Linda Haywood

April 4th, 2009 11:01am Report this comment

Systemlays tipping site reckons 1. Cornish Sett
2. Irish Invader
3. Kilbeggan Blade
each-way on all of them, when pushed to pick three.

Paul B

April 4th, 2009 12:12pm Report this comment

My money is on the brilliant Paul Nicholls Big Fella, at 22s, it has to be worth a tenner of anyones money. Get to it

James Forsyth

April 4th, 2009 2:38pm Report this comment

So, I've £10 each way on Golden Flight, Darkness and Brooklyn Brownie.

Frank P

April 5th, 2009 12:53am Report this comment

So you did your bollocks, James! Don't be putting it down to exes, now.

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