Will Labour try and greenwash the Budget?
James Forsyth 12:51pm
It is normally a pretty safe bet that when the Budget comes around, there’ll be increases in the taxes on cigarettes and alcohol. These are taxes that you can raise without encountering too much political opposition. Now, though, the public finances are in such a dire state that such measures can’t do much to fill the huge gap between revenue and expenditure. So, what I expect we might see on Wednesday is increases in ‘green taxes’.
This would appeal to Brown because of the tactical dilemma it would cause the Tories. If they accept them, Brown gets away politically with a bunch of tax rises. If they oppose them, Brown will be able to claim that their commitment to the environment was all spin and no substance. (This criticism, obviously, misses the point that the Tories want to use green taxes as replacement taxes, to pull off a much needed shift in the tax burden from work to waste).



Previous






JD
April 18th, 2009 1:38pm Report this commentOn the subject of budgets, taxes and governmental bad behaviour, here is an article by one Gordon Brown MP, published in the News of the World on Feb 9th, 1997. In view of the present situation, some of the lines are particularly ironic. Swap a few words around (e.g. 'Labour' for 'Tory', 'Brown' for 'Major') and they fit current circumstances amusingly well:
---------------------------------
"There is only one thing to admire in this Government---their bare-faced cheek. After bringing in the biggest tax rises in peacetime history, they try to paint Labour as the tax-raising party.
Listening to the Tories nowadays, you could be fooled into thinking that someone else has been in power. Hearing John Major, Kenneth Clarke, and Brian Mawhinney, you could be excused for believing that it was someone else who put up your taxes TWENTY-TWO times, adding Pounds 2,120 to the tax burden of the typical family.
That, of course, is exactly their game. They want to airbrush out the past, forget their broken promises, ignore the damning facts. And that is why they are again peddling the Great Tory Lies about Labour's tax plans.
I believe that you have suffered enough from the Tory tax betrayal. Hard-working families like you have been hit hard by the 22 Tory tax rises. That is why I have pledged that a New Labour Government will not raise either the basic rate or the top rate of income tax. They will remain unchanged under the next Labour Government. I am determined to ensure hard work is rewarded, not penalised.
Cutting bills for families
And because of this, my tax-cutting goal is to bring in---when the country can afford it---a new 10p starting rate. That will enable everyone to keep more of their hard-earned money. And it will encourage the unemployed off welfare and into work, saving us all cash.
I also intend that our taxation policies will be fair. Which is why we will cut VAT on heating to 5 per cent, the lowest level possible. That will cut family bills and help pensioners more than most. And don't forget that, but for Labour, VAT on heating would already be at 17.5 per cent. It was only our campaign and votes which stopped the Tories doubling the Cold Tax as they intended.
I have also promised that VAT will not be extended to food, children's clothes, public transport fares, books and newspapers. They will be the Tory targets if they retain power. These are my cast-iron guarantees on tax-based on our principles of encouraging work and promoting fairness.
The Tory tactic now is to make sure the facts don't get in the way of their smears.
So, without hesitating, they dream up a whole raft of new scare stories. And yet again, they won't let their record stand in the way.
Since 1979, it is the Tories who have raised national insurance no less than FIVE times. National insurance on working people stood at 6.5 per cent when the Tories came to power. It now stands at 10 per cent. By the Government's own admission, that change cost you Pounds 5.3 billion in extra tax last year. The equivalent of an extra 3p on income tax. That's a massive back-door tax rise. BUT you won't catch the Tories mentioning that fact. And they are trying the same trick on mortgage tax relief.
They ended higher rate relief, and then cut it in successive years from 25 per cent to 15 per cent-an extra tax bill for homeowners of over Pounds 500.
These cuts came despite a manifesto pledge to "maintain mortgage tax relief."
But just as with extending VAT and their tax cut promises, their pledges were worthless. It is a record of tax betrayal which would have most people squirming in embarrassment. But not the Tories. They know no shame.
Labour will only make promises that we can keep and not make promises that we cannot guarantee to deliver. We have published our spending commitments and we have also said how we will pay for them. And they do not require any tax increases except for the windfall levy on the excess profits of the privatised utilities.
The truth on finance
That is to pay for our programme of getting 250,000 jobless youngsters into work. When we are in Government we will have a chance to see whether the Tories have been telling the truth about the nation's finances.
We have every reason to be suspicious. At the last General Election, they hid from voters how bad the economy was. They underestimated by billions of pounds---either deliberately or through incompetence---just how much money was to be borrowed. Money that would have to be repaid by taxpayers.
Only weeks before the last General Election, Chancellor Norman Lamont forecast in his Budget that Government borrowing for the next year would be Pounds 32 billion. It wasn't. It was Pounds 45 billion. He was out by Pounds 13 billion. And he got every borrowing forecast wrong for all following years.
It has come to a staggering Pounds 66 billion more than he said. You can understand why I need to be cautious.
John Major knew he was being wildly optimistic. He just didn't care---provided the Tories won.
My suspicions that the Tories are not telling the whole truth again have only been increased by their decision to phase in the public pay awards. If the economy is going so well why can't the money for nurses be paid in full now? I fear the Tories are covering up the true state of this country's finances.
I am not going to behave like the Tories. I will not tell fairytales, or make promises I cannot keep. But I will act on the priorities .
That is why I have said that the pay of top people---such as Government ministers and judges---should be frozen this year. And it is why I have said I cannot promise we will find Pounds 60 million of public money to build a new Royal yacht.
That is why we are phasing out the private schools' assisted places scheme to cut class sizes for five, six and seven-year-olds. That is why we will cut red tape in the NHS to release more cash for patient care. And that is why we will tackle the waste of youth unemployment.
I will only promise what I can deliver. And unlike the Tories, I will deliver my promises on tax."
Jim
April 18th, 2009 2:01pm Report this commentThe gap between spending and income is now so large, that playing around with a few pence here and there isn't going to make a lot of difference.
The points to watch for will be how honest Darling is, and how the markets react to it.
If the gilt strike begins soon, they'll have to be an emergency budget shortly after anyway.
Robert Williams
April 18th, 2009 2:03pm Report this commentMathew Parris anticipates big headlines/no delivery from the budget. His Times column is a superb demolition job on Brown's past spin (lapped up by the media) with no actual results.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/matthew_parris/article6115437.ece
David
April 18th, 2009 2:05pm Report this comment"We are glad that the government has realised the need to tax bad behaviour that has the effect of unnecessarily reducing our resources, that increases pollution and health problems, that is a danger to our countryside. However, we find it typical of their mentality that for the government, this is merely an excuse to take away more of money earned by hard working families and has not, as we would do, reduce taxation elsewhere to ensure that people are not penalised for engaging in responsible behaviour and can act to reduce their overall burden of taxation by helping the environment."
Simple.
Hawkeye
April 18th, 2009 2:10pm Report this commentOf course they will try and "greenwash" the budget. They seem to have lied about everything else they have ever done so why should this be any different?
O/T - has anyone else noticed Guido's veiled threat on his blog today? "check your notebooks and identify the smears passed to you by Tom Watson, the Minister for Mudslinging. Are you copy-takers or journalists? Or will you just leave it to Guido once again to do the hard work and dispatch him?"
More at Guido's blog.
lawrence greek
April 18th, 2009 2:21pm Report this commentBrown is going to spin this budget for all he is worth. Cameron, and the Tories in general, need to surgically take him apart. This is the moment to really show their mettle economically.
Steve.W
April 18th, 2009 3:03pm Report this commentThe Budget, I like the way James tells it in terms of what Brown would want when in fact the Chancellor is Alistair Darling, spot on! But much as the G20 did not save Brown neither will the non-event on Wednesday.
Guido
April 18th, 2009 3:08pm Report this commentWho's your source for this story?
Sir Graphus
April 18th, 2009 4:45pm Report this commentThat's a great find, JD. New Labour were a great opposition, it must be said. It strikes me that the likes of Ed Balls will be quite effective in opposition, too. If only the Tories could land so many blows.
Rhoda Klapp
April 18th, 2009 4:57pm Report this commentGreen taxes are essentially tax on sin. The idea is that they will reduce or eliminate the sin by taxing the sinner. If they succeed, the sin is eliminated, and the tax revenue goes with it. Ergo they cannot BE replacement taxes. They can only be additional.
IF green taxes are formulated so there is no escape, say they are taxed at the power station or factory, the public cannot by their own action reduce their tax bill. They work at a distance, and Joe Taxpayer can do nothing to 'save the earth' (even if it were true). They become mere revenue-earners, with no likelihood of reducing the emission/sin.
Therefore, loth as I am to give sad Dave an idea, I suggest he just says these are not Green taxes, they are the same old Brown taxes, designed to save Gordon's skin, not the planet. Don't get into a 'who's greener' fight, you may need to reverse any position taken if you win the election. You may even need to kick global warming into the long grass, by saying the sceptics have a point and we'll need to investigate it.
Tiberius
April 18th, 2009 6:00pm Report this commentYou may be right, James, because Brown, being a Mentalist, is incapable of recognizing that his pathetic attempts to corner the Tories are increasingly counter-productive.
David
April 18th, 2009 8:55pm Report this comment"If they succeed, the sin is eliminated, and the tax revenue goes with it. "
Sorry, I thought this place was all for decreasing taxation?
hadrian
April 18th, 2009 11:44pm Report this commentGreen taxes? Simply yet another way for government to steal your income. Everything over 10% of income taxed constitutes state theft.
Back to top