RPI: Deflation is here
James Forsyth 10:54amThe Retail Price Index for March was -0.4 percent, the first time this measure has been negative since 1960. The Consumer Price Index, however, is 2.9 percent--considerably over the government's 2 percent target.



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Sally Chatterjee
April 21st, 2009 11:03am Report this commentNo so. Negative inflation is not deflation. Deflation is a persistent trend in falling prices. Perhaps this will come but don't fall into the trap of calling it deflation on one month's numbers. Besides the CPI, the Bank of England's target, is still 2.9% and the "core CPI" actually rose.
I'm not an economist, just wary of data being manipulated for headlines or policy.
Thrasymachus
April 21st, 2009 11:08am Report this commentYou could have fooled me... Ice Cream was £2.50 a scoop in Regent's Park yesterday.
Pete Hoskin
April 21st, 2009 11:13am Report this commentThrasymachus: it's £2.50 for a "99" ice-cream in St James's Park. Depressing...
The Laughing Cavalier
April 21st, 2009 11:17am Report this commentBut the cost of living still rises. Brown's statistics have been dishonest from day 1.
rmh
April 21st, 2009 11:21am Report this commentEXCLUDE HOUSE PRICE AND HOUSING COSTS AS THEY MAKE THE FIGURES "FALSE".
Sorry for shouting but deflation is a total myth.
Publius
April 21st, 2009 11:32am Report this commentSo an other letter to the Chancellor from the BOE then, explaining why inflation has OVER-shot the target.
I mean, if the gov't isn't going to use its "preferred measure" (CPI) then why the hell don't they just scrap it?
Answer: because having two measures allows them to pick and mix to suit the agenda.
London Calling
April 21st, 2009 11:52am Report this commentOutside my local Bank a begger asked me 'have you got any Notes?'
now thats what I call change :0...
Chris lancashire
April 21st, 2009 11:54am Report this commentWith a 30% currency devaluation and a huge imported goods bill deflation simply will not happen.
Andy Carpark
April 21st, 2009 11:55am Report this commentOh, marvellous. Ignore the RPI during the property bubble and rehabilitate it during the property slump.
`When I use a word,' Humpty Dumpty said, in rather a scornful tone, `it means just what I choose it to mean -- neither more nor less.'
THX1138
April 21st, 2009 12:08pm Report this commentI bought an "e" last week at it was only £5, last time I bought one five years ago it was £10. The RDI- retail drug index is most definitely showing deflationary tendencies.
To quote the great Frank Gallagher.
"Make poverty history..... make drugs cheaper"
Desmond McCann
April 21st, 2009 12:57pm Report this commentI would have hoped for better from you. It is the CHANGE in the Retail Price Index which is -0.4%. The Index is just a series of numbers based on 100 at some date in the past. If the RPI was negative people would be paying us money to take the goods from them. I know the BBC perpetuates this ignorance, but that is no excuse for you.
Demetrius
April 21st, 2009 1:07pm Report this commentTripe and onions. Even the consumer price index is loaded against most people, notably those at the wrong end of the income scales. For some us the real inflation index is hitting aroun 7%, and my budget shows it for the coming year.
http://thecynicaltendency.blogspot.com/
Verity
April 21st, 2009 1:25pm Report this commentAndy Carpark, IIRC, it was the Caterpillar who made that statement while smoking a hookah.
Number Plate, your constant efforts to make yourself appear "interesting" are like fingernails on a blackboard. For God's sake give it a rest. Can't they use you over at CiF?
HJ
April 21st, 2009 2:12pm Report this commentWe could have had negative RPI inflation at any time in the past 15 years had interest rates been cut so far and so fast.
This effect will drop out of the figures after 12 months. Many other prices are increasing, partly due to the fall in the pound. Remember too that public sector inflation is rife, but that because you pay for the public sector mainly through taxes and not at the point of delivery, this is never included in the figures.
hfc
April 21st, 2009 4:37pm Report this commentNo, Verity. It was Humpty Dumpty as Andy said.
I'm sure your local library can help you with the English classics.
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