Polls show Labour dropping to new lows, but the Tories are down as well
James Forsyth 9:00pm
There are two new polls out tonight and both show that the two main parties are suffering as the expenses scandal drags on. ComRes for the Independent on Sunday has both Labour and the Tories down five, putting Labour on 21 and the Tories on 40. BPIX for the Mail on Sunday has the two parties down three, with Labour on a mere 20 percent—a record low for them—and the Tories on 42. Conservative Home notes that if this result was replicated at a general election it would, assuming a uniform national swing etc, result in a Tory majority of 220. If this happened, we would be in a bizarre situation of the Tories having no honeymoon but one of the largest ever majorities. The Lib Dems have not gained in either poll; they have actually lost two in the BPIX poll.
The Tory leadership will be encouraged by the fact that David Cameron’s response to the crisis is polling well. 59 percent tell ComRes he has handled it better than Brown and BPIX records 53 percent saying Cameron has handled the situation well.
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The Watcher
May 16th, 2009 9:51pm Report this commentThe ComRes Scottish sub sample has SNP 30% Con 26% Lab 19% (!!!!!) LD 16%.
If that translated at the GE, Labour would lose 30 seats in Scotland
AndyLeeds
May 16th, 2009 10:02pm Report this commentAh well least Brown is toast.
TrevorsDen
May 16th, 2009 10:20pm Report this commentBrown may be expecting intending hoping to sack Hazel Blears et al after the elections, but what if the cabinet gets its retaliation in first?
He may not be around to vent his anger.
Chris
May 16th, 2009 10:38pm Report this commentCon 26% in Scotland? There is a God.
ChrisD
May 17th, 2009 12:40am Report this comment"Con 26% in Scotland? There is a God"
And Labour on 19% in Scotland...there is indeed a god, and he is as fed up with this Labour government as the rest of us.
mitch
May 17th, 2009 8:59am Report this commentJust as long as brown is humiliated in his first ever proper vote and Cameron starts to unravel the last 12 yrs.
kinglear
May 17th, 2009 9:30am Report this commentI live in Glasgow. Even Labour supporters are beginning to notice that Brown and NuLiebore have done nothing for them.I am pleased to say that even my chauffeur says he will vote Tory next time.....
Austin Barry
May 17th, 2009 9:44am Report this commentInteresting dilemma for Labour. Led by Brown the party is unelectable. A month ago Brown's defenestration may have improved Labour's chances, but the expenses mess has left that option DOA. So it's probably time for Brown to line up the parliamentary Labour Party and start pouring out the beakers of Kool-Aid. Nu-Labour's social engineering cult is kaput.
Phil
May 17th, 2009 10:38am Report this commentChrisD - There well maybe a god but he is still sitting on the fence.Now if a thunderbolt split the heavens targeted specifically in the direction of this useless government of gadarene swine then I am converted.
On second thoughts I think the thunderbolt has already arrived its called MP's expenses.
Vulture
May 17th, 2009 11:00am Report this commentWho was the genius who dreamed up the brilliant idea of calling the Liebour election campaign "Go Fo(u)rth"? Be careful of what you wish for...
TomTom
May 17th, 2009 2:29pm Report this commentSo The Indie headlines 40% won't vote...but that is simply the result of the 2005 General election when 40% abstained.....what's new ?
Zoe Streatfield
May 20th, 2009 1:54pm Report this commentYou shouldn't be pleased to say you're voting Tory! If they get in next year our public services will just get battered. They're threatening to do away with free bus passes for OAPs, cut money on the police force which means about 3000 less police on the streets, more cuts on education, even more privatisation and deregulation.
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