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Monday, 6th July 2009

Brown puts on his gloomy face for the world stage

Peter Hoskin 9:00am

How peculiar.  After all the economic optimism coming out of government recently, all the talk of recovery by the end of the year, Brown's going to warn that the worst of the recession may be yet to come in his meetings with G8 leaders this week.  The Times has the full story here, but this snippet from the Dear Leader's address in France today gives you the idea:

"If we do not take the necessary action now to strengthen the world economy and put in place the conditions for sustainable world growth, we will be confronted with avoidable unemployment for years to come."

So does this mean he's losing faith in the "green shoots" strategy, by which a grateful nation will hail him for leading the UK out of recession?  No, I rather suspect not.  To my mind, the doom-mongering on the world stage is simply intended to provide to same escape route as it did prior to the G20 summit: in the case that the green shoots don't grow rapidly enough, Brown can blame the "inaction" of other countries for our economic woes.  This is a  global crisis which started in America, after all.  Or something like that.

There are two major impediments to this strategy working sucessfully. (Or three, if you count the fact that Brown doesn't have the public on his side to start off with).  First, this politicking on the world stage is hardly going to endear Brown to his fellow world leaders - which sets up for the prospect for testy confrontations in fuure summits.  And, second, it foregrounds what I call the Race to Recovery.  If other developed countries beat us to recovery, then Brown is merely highlighting how local some of the UK's problems really are.

Filed under: Economy (1023 more articles) , Gordon Brown (918 more articles) , Government (233 more articles) , International politics (738 more articles) , Labour (2142 more articles) , Recession (176 more articles) , Recovery (130 more articles) , UK politics (5408 more articles)

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Comments Post comment

davidke

July 6th, 2009 9:36am Report this comment

It's also an attempt to tell the British that it's the whole world, stupid, not me (GB) that is the problem.

Frank P

July 6th, 2009 9:37am Report this comment

The fevered rambling of his death throes.

Rob C

July 6th, 2009 9:43am Report this comment

The UK should one of the first out of recession because we rely much less on manufacture and more on services and finance, but I'm not sure we will. He'd certainly be right to highlight the fact that we have additional localised problems - namely HIS government!

This recession is due largely to two factors - debt levels and confidence. This government has bred the debt-culture and led by the example that we can have everything today and pay tomorrow rather than planning and prioritising investment.

The confidence issue won't be resolved without new leadership as this rabble are totally discredited as incompetent, devious and dishonest. He also broke the regulation that would have mitigated this mess and we shouldn't lose sight of that either.

Jonathan_T

July 6th, 2009 9:58am Report this comment

Another short term "strategy" from a short term Prime Minister.

Gary Williams

July 6th, 2009 9:58am Report this comment

"it foregrounds what I call..."? I'm in favour of an evolving language, but there are limits!

Wrt your speculation that Brown's intention is to create a potential escape route for himself: is it not more likely that he is trying to highlight the dividing line between himself and the Tories? That is, by warning that the risks remain serious, he is implying that is it essential that he remain in charge in order to continue his programme for the foreseeable future.

John Moss

July 6th, 2009 10:08am Report this comment

Would paying back some of the £200bn of debt Brown ran up between 2001 and 2008 class as putting in place conditions for sustainable growth?

The man is economically illiterate and the only reason the European leaders at the G8 aren't laughing in his face is that they need him to survive long enough for Lisbon to be ratified.

Julianlzb87

July 6th, 2009 10:23am Report this comment

Don't forget to invite Brown to be honourable....
http://petitions.number10.gov.uk/please-go/

boulay

July 6th, 2009 10:40am Report this comment

he always has a different speach to world leaders to domestic audience as the world leaders do not fall for his schtick and he would be laughed off the stage.

mirror readers et al do not generally spend much time reading the reports on G8 meetings so his downbeat messages are usually lost whereas macguire and friends can spout rubbish about brown lying over domestic issues.

Swiss Bob

July 6th, 2009 10:53am Report this comment

I'll be lunching just down the road. If I see Brown I'll be sure to wave.

Denis Cooper

July 6th, 2009 10:54am Report this comment

I don't think Brown need worry too much about testy confrontations at future summits, not until after the Lisbon Treaty either has come into force or has been finally killed off.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article6644853.ece

"Gordon Brown helped by European leaders keen to ratify Lisbon treaty"

"European leaders are so desperate for Gordon Brown to stay in power until after the Lisbon treaty comes into force that they are willing to make compromises to shore up his political position, The Times has learnt."

"Diplomatic sources told The Times that Mr Brown’s position with European leaders is enhanced because they fear that a leadership challenge and early election could sink the treaty, due to come into force by Christmas. The Conservatives are committed to a referendum if they are elected before it is ratified."

A number of points here.

One, this also applies to Obama, who supports the Lisbon Treaty just as much as Bush supported the previous version, the EU Constitution.

Two, this hasn't just started. Why else were Merkel and Sarkozy et al, and Obama, all willing to come to London for the practically pointless G20 meeting, if not to shore up Brown's position vis-a-vis the British public?

Three, although they want to keep Brown in Downing Street, the really important thing is to keep Cameron out of Downing Street; so if Brown was replaced by, say, Johnson, then they'd do whatever they could to shore up his position.

Four, Cameron himself has created this situation through his conditional pledge of a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty.

Flemingcrag

July 6th, 2009 10:57am Report this comment

It is probably true that the actions of other Countries could help Britain out of this recession just as it is equally true that Gordon needed no help from any other Country to put us into it.
Unique things that one-eyed Gordon fails to see need to be sorted before things in the words of Tony Bliar "can only get better" include;
The regeneration of Manufacturing where a million jobs have been shed since Labour came to power.
The trimming of the one million jobs created in the illusionary successful Financial sector.
The further trimming of the 1.3 million recruited into the Public sector to no beneficial improvement in services since Labour came to power.
Gordon would rather strut the World stage pontificating in his "honest" son of the manse pose rather than deal with any of these tough nuts to crack. Like all Labour ministers before him he only knows how to spend money and borrow more, not how to create it by any other means than a printing press.
Macavity Brown has no credibility at home as he is cuckolded by Meddlesome and "supported" by Ed (so what) Balls, none of which will have escaped the notice of those he attempts to lecture on the World stage.

Augustus

July 6th, 2009 11:26am Report this comment

Apres moi le deluge!

Pete Hoskin

July 6th, 2009 11:38am Report this comment

Gary Williams: erm, what's wrong with that? Are you implying that the word "foregrounds" is "evolving language"? It's in the OED...

oldtimer

July 6th, 2009 11:47am Report this comment

It is all part of his exogenous recession theory - "it all started in America". This theory is about to evolve into "blame it on the foreigners; its all their fault because they ignored my brilliant advice to reinflate regardless".

You can almost hear the cogs and gears grinding away in the bunker as a new version of the new "on message" strategy gets printed out. Give it a week and we can expect to see a full 180 degree u-turn.

Note the touch of Mandelsonian metamorphosis here and the infinite flexibility of the exogenous recession theory.

Alexandrovich

July 6th, 2009 12:54pm Report this comment

He has another face?

Gary Williams

July 6th, 2009 2:11pm Report this comment

Peter Hoskin: "erm, what's wrong with that? Are you implying that the word 'foregrounds' is 'evolving language'? It's in the OED..."

I was referring to its use as a verb. You are correct; it has indeed been consecrated by the OED as a verb. The reason that one never hears or sees it used as a verb is because it's a dreadful one. To borrow from one of Mr Brown's predecessors, "This is the sort of English up with which one should not put."

Hysteria

July 6th, 2009 2:27pm Report this comment

"And, second, it foregrounds what I call .."

WTF????

Pete Hoskin

July 6th, 2009 3:06pm Report this comment

Hysteria: it makes perfect sense. See comments above.

john miller

July 6th, 2009 6:39pm Report this comment

This is an old Mandy tactic used by Blair for 10 years.

Tell different audiences different things - the things they want to hear.

Worked for Tone cos they only listened to the (you're ahead of me here) the tone of his voice, never the words.

Every other leader in the world thinks he's a - well, what all we Coffee Housers think he is - so he can't get any worse there.

But back home is bum is on the fence and both sides of it at the same time. Can't get a better position than that...

I did say it was a Mandy idea, didn't I?

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