Dogged resistance from Brown over Northern Rock
Fraser Nelson 1:33pm
In India, Brown was full of beans – boasting at one stage that he’d outlasted Dame Kelly Holmes who had to retire to her hotel. He should have saved his energy. He looked exhausted at PMQs today. Until Cameron piped up on Northern Rock, that was. Then he sprang to life and put up a hell of a fight.
Much rests on whether Cameron can make Northern Rock stick. Brown is like a used car salesman – “he’s gone from Prudence to Del Boy without even touching the ground” (sure I’ve heard that before). “It’s a sub-prime deal from a sub-Prime minister”. Good. Ditto the line on liquidisation. But he didn’t get Brown on the ropes.
Brown now has two strategies for Cameron at PMQs. He can’t answer questions very well, so he doesn’t try anymore. He acts like he was Shadow Chancellor, ignore the question and attacks Cameron on an aspect of Tory policy. Every time. It’s like it’s 1995 all over again. Brown is an attack machine, never happier than when he’s behind a machine gun firing off statistics into men wearing blue rosettes. That’s the position he now assumes at PMQs.
Brown’s second strategy is one of denial, giving rosy statistics boasting about record employment and lower inflation. Cameron hit back in exactly the right way. How can Brown talk about low inflation when people are paying 107p a litre for petrol? (set aside fuel prices, etc). As I say in my political column in tomorrow’s magazine, Brown’s statistics may embolden Labour MPs but they strike the public as a joke. A dangerous gap has opened between what he says, and what modest-income families experience.
Great entry from Nick Clegg, who didn't seem to care that the Northern Rock question had been asked. “How can he justify fleecing the taxpayer when he knows temporary nationalisation is the right thing to do” (I agree). “He won’t nationalise the bank because he’s running scared of the Conservative Party.” This is precisely the point for a third party leader to make. Tellingly Brown said nationalisation is still on the cards.
The best Tory point was Stephen Crabb’s opening corker: what’s happening to Britain when Jacqui Smith needs a police escort to buy a kebab. Brown instantly reached for the protection of the statistics: violent crime down 31% since 1997. I’ll Fisk this later, but am pretty sure recorded violent crime has more than doubled since 1997.
Again, we see Brown planting his narrative into the mouths of Labour backbenchers. This time it was Andrew Smith’s turn to refer to the “turbulence in global market and the impact that can have on people’s everyday lives.” As they say in the Dog & Duck. Phyllis Starkey was made to say that “in this global economy, we need upskill workers” – removing the incentive for them to choose welfare over work would be a start. Incentives, not skills, is the issue.
CoffeeHousers always jump down my throat when I say this, but I think Brown did well today. Those who half-expected to see a political hanging left disappointed. He should be in meltdown, the economy is turning south, the deficit is out of control, police marching outside parliament, his Northern Rock deal has been compared to the South Sea Bubble by Anatole Kaletsky. And today he with his fists up, acting for all the world as if it were the Tories who were in trouble. From my standpoint, it was a reminder why it he is a political survivor – and why I, for one, will not be writing him off just yet







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Comments
Mike
January 23rd, 2008 2:14pmBrown's economic credentials are all he has left, he's not going to give them up easily. If Cameron succeeds in shredding them, then Brown is truly naked. It's going to be a very nasty fight. But this ignores what is really going on in the country. Labour is in melt-down. Two personal examples. My mother-in-law is recently widowed and has now sorted out her state pension and the pitiful company pension left to her. She is living on a pittance after council tax, food and bills yet she finds she is paying over £100 per month in tax. She has voted Labour all her life in every election but will now vote conservative in the next election to reduce tax. My wife's sister has also voted Labour in every election. She thinks that the country is a mess and crime-ridden, she has also fallen victim of the complex tax credits system and is getting harrased for £1,000 by the government. So she has also said she will vote for a change of government at the next election and vote Tory. Interestingly after my wife inquired both think the LibDems irrelevant. A small sample but telling of what is really going on.
Henry Rogers
January 23rd, 2008 5:19pmFraser, You are an insider and you are praising insider skills. The rest of the country isn't impressed to the same extent by someone with so little charm who doesn't answer straight questions and launches into rants instead. Even outsiders have a pretty good idea what the answers probably are, and have heard the rants often enough to distrust the statistics they contain. Blair could/can get away with that sort of thing because he has tremendous charm and wit. Even people who think he is a monster and that his policies were/are pants concede that. I doubt it would serve Cameron well to push really hard, as he did once early on. Fun as it was seeing Brown lose his temper and make a fool of himself that time, it wouldn't go down well with the public to do it every week. Meanwhile Brown looks more miserable every week even if he does survive or even score a point or two. And each time there is a toadying planted question Labour probably loses the votes of a few more viewers. Ahead lie two whole years of steady attrition.......
Oscar Miller
January 23rd, 2008 5:22pmBrown is a political survivor Fraser because people like you won't go in for the kill. For years I thought the media gave politicians an undeserved hard time. With Brown it's quite the reverse. While Brown has a strange talent for supplying the rope to hang himself, the press keep coming in to slacken the noose.
David
January 23rd, 2008 6:25pmPerhaps Mr Cameron should ask: "If the PM thinks inflation is only up by 2.1% why do the rest of us find it is up by c5% (with suitable examples such as Council tax, petrol and diesel fuel, loaf of bread etc etc)?
mike (not the mike above)
January 23rd, 2008 7:31pmIf you are on a low income you don't pay council tax. If you have a small company pension then that is the fault of the individual and not the government. If a pensioner is paying one hundred pounds income tax per month she needs to get her tax code corrected, or perhaps your idea of a pittance is slightly different to mine. I have done a quick calculation that tells me to pay the tax you say is being asked of your mother-in-law she has an income of nearly two hundred and fifty pounds per week. So I suggest rather than whining here you seek help and advice from your local Benefits and Tax offices.
Trumpeter Lanfried
January 23rd, 2008 8:36pmFrazer, I agree with Henry Rogers. Just think how Brown would gain in stature if he condescended to address Cameron's questions calmly and accurately. Instead he just launches into a mendacious rant. And it's the same rant every week. He does not come out of it well.
adrian drummond
January 23rd, 2008 8:41pmTo Oscar Miller: I think New labour (Brown) has the media in their/his pocket(s). Even the DT has been infiltrated. Some of the more enlightened observers on these blogs can't understand why people aren't on the streets in protest. The answer is simple. They are at home gorging on a diet of soaps, celebrity hood, banal TV and influenced by a media (strongly lead by the BBC) that is broadly supportive of NU no matter what.
Simon
January 23rd, 2008 8:41pmFraser, Yes Brown was OK today. But how on earth cn you say that Clegg did well? Your enthusiasm for nationalisation is amusing but your continued love in with Clegg despite all is just getting boring
Chuck Unsworth
January 23rd, 2008 9:35pmBrown's Pavlovian response is to bellow meaningless, irrelevant and dubious statistics. The fact that he is congenitally unable to directly answer a question or comment is now telling against him. Even his own side must by now be bored with the repetitious tractor production figures. So his personal credibility diminishes each time he appears at the Dispatch Box. In the end events will defeat him. It's the death of a thousand cuts. He can't dance and is too leaden and inflexible. He's got no friends, no charm, no wit, no class, no style at all. A glowering chained minotaur in a crumpled suit staring down the loaded barrels of his own destruction.
Nicholas Millman
January 23rd, 2008 9:49pmCrick on Daily Politics thought that Brown scored over Cameron. Can't see it myself - his "answers" all the same tired old two-parters: party political bleating with meaningless stats followed by attack on Tories for things they allegedly did in the last century. The only improvement I saw today was that he refrained from bellowing questions at the bemused Conservative front bench.
Oscar Miller
January 23rd, 2008 11:00pmAdrian Drummond - agreed.
mark
January 24th, 2008 1:13amyou know what erks - at the opening of PMQ we get (sadly) a routine sympathy note to the parents and family of yet another fallen serviceman. But the shallowness is shown - Cpl Gardener was in the REME - that's the Royal Electrical & Mechanical Engineers - not the Royal and Mechanical Engineers. Rant over - sorry
carol42
January 24th, 2008 1:42amVery surprised you didn't mention the blatant lie when Gordon said to Ken Clarke that he had inherited a difficult economy. You are one of my favourite columnists but I think you are wrong about Brown. Everyone I know, regardless of their politics, loathe the man. Having known him from scotland I have always known he was vastly overrated and suspected that as PM he would be useless, I just didn't realise how useless. His economic 'record' the first two years apart, is not nearly as good as the press seemed to think and even now he is getting a very easy time of it. This is the worst, most corrupt Government of my lifetime and I would vote for anyone to get rid of them. I did vote for Blair in 97 even when I suspected he was a bit of a charming charlatan because we really did need a change. I fear the damage done to this country may be too great to reverse.
Trumpeter Lanfried
January 24th, 2008 10:18amChuck Unsworth. If I may say so, your description of 'A glowering chained minotaur in a crumpled suit staring down the loaded barrels of his own destruction' is rather good. Have you ever thought of becoming a writer?
Chuck Unsworth
January 24th, 2008 10:51am@ Trumpeter Lanfried. All too often.... Sadly, I have to make a living instead.
Novus
January 24th, 2008 12:57pmI was astonished, reading the transcript today, to note that Brown characterised Tory policy as "a fire sale of the assets; it means selling off the assets at the bottom of the market and losing billions of pounds of money." Astonished, that is, that even the bare-faced liar Brown could possibly have had the raw nerve to direct such an accusation at anyone else; doubly astonished that in his response Cameron completely let him off the hook, making not a single reference to Brown's fire sale of British gold, selling it at the bottom of the market and, of course losing billions of pounds "of money".
wen d
January 24th, 2008 5:11pmCarol opined:- His economic 'record' the first two years apart, is not nearly as good as the press seemed to think and even now he is getting a very easy time of it." I agree Carol. As a Scot, I have always been bemused as to what the sassenachs ever saw in the boorish baffoon. I take pride in that my fellow Scots saw through him ages ago which is why we now have a very professional SNP gov't here leading the way to a bright new future. Thank god the neanderthal "peoples party" are now doomed!
TrevorH
January 25th, 2008 4:36pmUnless Brown actually falls over and impales himself on his Biro he is always likely to get at least a draw. He only has to survive 6 questions and often opposition only ask 5 because they cannot risk being able to allow Brown a chance to rabbit on uncontradicted on a 6th answer. Given that he can get away with not answering the question I think PMQs are really over-rated. The main point should be to embarass Brown in front of his own backbenchers.
TrevorH
January 25th, 2008 4:42pmWe have not yet got to the stage of where Brown is moving phantom divisions around the map table but with sycophants (and people high on the perception of their own intellect) like Mr and Mrs Balls in positions of influence then that moment cannot be far away.