Post-Rawnsley poll has Tories over 40 and ahead by 12

Richard

just wait for the dead cat bounce tories 36
lab 35 lib 19 others...who cares

Verity

James Forsyth: "The second poll of the night is much better for the Tories and will calm some jangled nerves."

Not this Tory's jangled nerves.

Holly ......

'A future fair for all'

wrinkled weasel

Well, a lot of tough things must be said at this 2 our Shadow Cabinet meeting. They must climb the mountain of conflict. Some quite cutting things must be said because things are not quite as they should be. It is possible, that at this meeting, eyebrows may be raised - indeed it could get more heated than that, for there may be suggestions that questions need to be asked. Tell me, what kind of biscuits will be served?

Watt Tyler

Man Alive! What a flap the Progressive Tories are getting in to. Their election victory precariously dependent on whether or not Gordon is a bully.

A country gets the government it deserves.

Nash

Now let's hope the Tories don't blow it - the country needs them to win big.

Can't wait for all the books after the election by Mandleson and Campbell confirming the truth about things that they currently deny.

Watt Tyler

I wonder if this has anything to do with the truth of the Neather revelations getting more exposure. At the Mail site, commenters ripping into Labour about their deliberate plan to change the ethnic make up of this country are getting approval marks of 1.5k, which I've never seen before. Of course, Islington, with its finger on the pulse, thinks that the Tories will win an election because Gordon is a bully.

Prodicus

Anthony Wells at UKPR at 12:48 tonight:

http://bit.ly/dddMsc

"If anyone knows, Peter [Kellner] does. I won’t put the figures up till I’ve seen them properly, but they do indeed suggest no damage yet."

This does suggest some cause for concern about the ConHome story.

Informed Giant

The wake-up call that everyone needed.

luke

Other interesting feature from the day's polling was the ICM question about care of the elderly in the wake of the death tax campaign.

ICM have labour 8 points ahead of the tories on the best plans to care for the elderly.

Suspect this will confirm people's pre-existing views about tactics, with evidence to support the idea the coulson posters were a strategic disaster. But at the same time, those who say the tories have to fight dirty will take this as a sign to re-double their efforts to tag labour with a death tax.

Austin Barry

Not much traction then from Brown's tears or Labour's clunky "A Future Fair for All" slogan.

Surely some wag somewhere has contrived a poster with Brown's gloomy landslide of a face below the slogan, "A Future F****d For All".

Naomi Muse

The figures will go up and down and won't mean much.

As to the AB comment on the reused Labour slogan...

A future fare for all, is what came to mind when it was relaunched on Saturday, conjuring up visions of Broon as the conductor on a bus, collecting the fares...for that is the reality

Why they didn't go for 'A fair future for all' as they didn't punctuate it with a comma after 'future' beats me.

slothrop

erm, are you planning on correcting this at some point?

Neil Turner

Eammon Holmes on Sky yesterday morning, and Peter Allen on 5 Live yesterday evening. Both doing all they could to laugh off the bullying story.

Here we see the 5th column on the march

Any other examples out there ?

Pot Head

Outlier!

AndyinBrum

Prescott was hilarious on Newsnight last night, I'd strongly recommend watching it on iPlayer

Kennybhoy

"Not this Tory's jangled nerves."

"This Tory".....?

skingers

Spectacularly WRONG thetorydiary reported http://bit.ly/bKtIjh which Spectator/James Forsyth picked & punted about see http://bit.ly/9asBtb Can someone confirm who is correct?

Kennybhoy

"Any other examples out there."

Yesterday morning's "The Wright Stuff". Wright himself was circumspect, but the three celebrity guests' comments, including punning Mrs Pratt's surname, could have been scripted by the NuLab smear machine. Or maybe by the Speccie's resident playground bully David Blackburn.

davidke

Yes, but... Tories are coming across as hollow, bewildered, tearful because the election result they want isn't dropping into their laps. A big mistake not to issue a Tory framework policy on care for the elderly. Labour appears nothing if not gritty and determined, and voters often like that.

Number7

reuters have got this as 39, 33, 17. ??????????

Chris lancashire

I really wish you'd stop this obsessing with opinion polls. They are of mild interest but there is only one poll that really matters.
In any event, a rabble lead by a misfit would gain a working majority against Brown and his shower of incompetents.
Relax.

Rhoda Klapp

Neil Turner, yes, I noticed Holmes and his lac of sympathy for the victims of bullying. 'It's a tough business, you have to be tough' sort of thing. Is this because news TV would not survive the standards of the law as applied to normal businesses? This episode has been a massive display of head-standing by the media. It betrays a sad lack of objectivity. If we get the media we deserve, wtf did I do to get this? Is it the typing? I'll try to do better.

Vulture

@ Chris lancashire.
I really wish that were true but hard electoral arithmetic is against it.

Liebour have the immigrant and the benefit drawers' voite sewn up, along with most of the public sector, and the Guardianistas: around 30% of the electorate.

Even with a strong leader articulating clear and popular policies on issues such as
the economy, the EU, rolling back the surveillance state, crime, and above all the two unmentionable 'I' words (immigration and Islamification) - the Tories would struggle to achieve a hung Parly.

As it is,with a concentration on such vital matters as getting a right mix of pink, green and black candidates; and workers' co-operatives....well, what do you think?

Chris lancashire

Vulture: You're quite right that voting is stacked against the Tories but I think many people underestimate two factors. Firstly the amount of work put in by the Tories in the key marginals and secondly the fact that many benefit recipients and recent immigrants won't bother to turn out to vote.

david

Good 'ol politicshome, keeping us abreast of the latest poll info, well only a year out!!