Post-Rawnsley YouGov poll has Tory lead at six 

Christopher Bowring

You're getting rather careless, I'm afraid. Tories on 399?

Bill Kristol-Balls

Try again mate, third time lucky and all that

Albert M. Bankment

"In last week's paper we referred to General Sir Tufton Bufton KCB MC DSO as 'a battle-scared veteran'. This was, of course, an unforgivable misprint about such a courageous soldier. It should have read 'bottle-scarred'.

Red Rag

It seems Cam the Sham was right. Too many twitters makes a .... of many people.

Look on the brightside it wasn't just you but ConHome and even funnier Eric Pickles boasting about the 12% lead.

Maybe desperation is setting in for the Tories, so they have started making up their own figures. Then again, they will always have Angus Ried to pu them miles ahead....always!

http://www.redrag1.blogspot.com/

Maggie

Polls have become a bit boring. There are too many of them and sometimes their motives are suspect. Their outcomes often seem dependent on who commissioned them and the political affiliations of the people asking the questions. During the past 13 years there are very few areas of public life that have not become tainted by corruption and there's no reason to suppose that pollsters have escaped with unblemished records.

Ivan D

Poor James, even more water to carry now.

Quietzapple

399 is the sign of the Beast, or so Geo Osborne says . . .

The Man

At what point are the parliamentary party and constituency associations going to confront Cameron, Hilton et al about their 'strategy'? It is obvious that the Conservatives are failing to appeal to the electorate and that a radical rethink is urgently required.

Ricky

We live in a world where that Smirking Chancer, ole Devil Eyes himself - Blair won 60+ seats at the last Election with around a third of the popular vote.

NuLab perfidy over postal voting, boundary changes, spin, the supreme bias by the Brown Broadcasting Circus - once known as Aunty Beeb - and other dodgy, corrupt practices will probably mean a landslide for Gordon on less than a quarter of the votes.

2trueblue

There you go then. Not very difficult to get figures wrong then is it?

The Polls are dependant on what the question was and how it was phrased, so means very little right now. We do know that the companies that produce the polls are biased and therefore the results mean even less.
Its a long time to the election and althought things do not look good for Cameron things are beginning to look even less good for Brown. The Liebore spin machine is not working too well right now and maybe people will see what Liebore are about. Who knows?

TrevorsDen

So why do you publish something based on rumour??
Yet again a Spectator journalist shows himself to be a twit - there are an increasing number of you.

In analysing the polls we can be sure of one thing - you will never conclude that one reason for any tory decline is the predisposition of Tory supporting journalists to mount nit-picking attacks the tories in the run up to an election.

In fact 39 is not a bad figure for the Tories post expenses scandal, following which their support, and labours too, slumped. This poll puts labour on 33 at the expense of LibDems.
YouGov seem to be showing a much lower figure for Libdems than other polls, say ICM. Some say this is wrong and the LDs will certainly poll 20. If so then this will pull down labour - so 39 is not a bad figure. And we should remember we are in effect in the middle of a pre election 'boom', with billions being spent that the govt do not have in order to prop up its vote.

But hey - I am only some bloke on a couch, far be it from me to do your job for you and bring some reasoned argument in lieu of fatuous hysteria.

Michael Bater

Tut tut James, you should use CCHQ to add things up!

Red Rag

And look a the Suns website again. They are hiding the results. They have only put one set of results up, during the past week of daily polls,the one where the Tories lead jumped 3%. All the other ones have, like "Cast Iroon Guarantees" been wiped from The Suns History.

Seems they have the same grasp of opinion polls as article writers who believe everything told to them by Tory twitterers.

Can't wait for ConHome/The Spectator/Eric Pickles next reporting of the opinion polls. "Tories 120% ahead in Angus Reid System Poll."

http://www.redrag1.blogspot.com/

Publius

Hopeless juvenile Hothouse hysterics. Get a grip!

Bloody Bill Brock

Did you quote unweighted numbers in the first instance?

TGF UKIP

Please can we show a little more tolerance and understanding for James. After all given how confused over their economic policy and prone to error over every facet of presentation, his beloved Cameron Tories are, surely we can forgive James his odd cock-up.

Chingford Man

I haven't smiled with such pleasure since I listened to Sarah Palin's Tea Party speech. (Worth tracking down if you're a disillusioned conservative.)

How I would love to be a fly on the wall inside CCHQ as the Tory poll lead goes lower and lower and the children chuck their toys from their pram.