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Sunday, 30th March 2008

Decoding Lewis

Fraser Nelson 5:23pm

It's always a pleasure when a Labour MP - panicked about impending defeat - ruminates about the future for their party strategy. It's rarer for a minister to do so - which is why Ivan Lewis’s piece in Progress (picked up in today’s News of the World) is worth reading. Here's my decoder:

1) "We must show we're on the side of ordinary people if Labour is to win again." (People don’t think we’re on their side, and we’re heading for defeat.)

2) "The New Labour coalition which has delivered our unprecedented three terms is now under severe strain." (Now Blair’s gone, the aspirational C1s and C2s are deserting us.)

3) "New Labour’s success has been based upon… individual aspiration and the need for national renewal and a new generation of political leadership." (And what do we do? Elect as leader some bloke whose been on the Westminster scene since the Kinnock era.)

4) "We looked and spoke like people who understood what it is like to bring up a family, struggle to pay the bills." (You’ll note I used past tense. Now we just tax them, and throw the money away.)

5) "Labour is… the party which is telling people that the global credit crunch means things are going to be tough for hardworking families in the period ahead." (Or we should be telling people that, at any rate. Instead we’re peddling Brownies at them, punting little lies, making out inflation’s low and folk have never had it so good. No wonder they don’t trust us!)

6) "Fairness means everyone paying an appropriate level of tax. It is true there is nothing wrong with being ‘stinking rich’ providing you pay a significantly higher proportion in tax than your fellow citizen." (As opposed to a significantly lower marginal rate, which is what happens at the moment. Pips aren’t squeaking yet! Let’s whack the rich some more – and cut taxes for those ‘hardworking families’.)

7) "Fairness means if you are a foreign national who is breaking the law by being here illegally you will be deported with immediate effect." (And being told we can’t do this by the EU is not fairness.)

8) "Respect means public services…organised around the lives of the citizen not the bureaucracy and enable you to exercise maximum control and meaningful choice." (So why bury the Blair “choice” agenda? Brown may hate market mechanisms, he may love control, but it’s taking us nowhere. State or individual – which side is Brown on? The public know the answer, and that’s Labour’s problem.)

9) "Respect is also accepting that people of faith have the same right to their convictions and principles as assertive atheists." (So Brown’s attempt to whip the Frankenstein Bill on embryos was self-defeating lunacy.)

10) "Gordon Brown’s challenge now is to persuade people that we truly are the servants of the people." (Gordon Brown’s most egregious failure is failing to persuade people of this. Unless he shapes up quickly, he's leading us to defeat.)

Of course Lewis explained to the NotW that this is "not a criticism of Gordon" (heaven forbid!) but a "wake-up call to Team Labour that away from the Westminster village and the Islington dinner parties, decent hard-working families need persuading that we are still on their side". Islington dinner parties?  Who can he have in mind?

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TGF UKIP

March 30th, 2008 8:28pm Report this comment

Vince Cable, on Marr this morning, in reviewing the papers had a different and rather more cynical take on this. As Lewis was, he believed, a typical New Labour arse licker, he viewed this as a trail to be followed up by a Gordon/Carter campaign "Labour re-connects with the real people." Quite credible, it seemed to me, as neither the Tories nor the LibDems look remotely interested in the sort of populist agenda that might even vaguely connect with Mr and Mrs C2. Indeed, both the Tories and the LibDems seem far more interested in Guardian/Independent/Times/Mirror readers, than they do in Telegraph/Mail/Express/NOW readers. Just for all the Daveists, Fraser, by how many was New Labour ahead at this stage overall and by how many on the crucial management of the economy issue?

Fraser Nelson

March 30th, 2008 9:52pm Report this comment

TGF, that poll question is one of your favourites and I know why. Here's the answer- from Anthony Wells http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/historical-polls/voting-intention-1992-1997

Some Tories say "we dont need a Blair-style landslide" but this ain't so. To win a majority, they need the greatest landslide ever achieved by any Conservative Opposition. This is why, even now, the bookies are backing Brown.

I very much doubt this was all part of a cunning plan by Lewis. You can see him in the video rowing back from his Progress article.

TrevorH

March 30th, 2008 11:10pm Report this comment

"I very much doubt this was all part of a cunning plan by Lewis" - you are probably right.

I am getting a bit tired of the ascribing of supernatural powers upon Vince Cable.

All he ever did was give a passable impersonation of Archie Rice for a few weeks during the Liberal election. He never 'led' the LibDems at all (and so have to make any tricky decisions)), merely stood up and cracked a few jokes. His only policy was to nationalise Northern Rock, rather than wind it up, with scant regard for the likely outcome for the taxpayer.

He has been oversold.

TGF UKIP

March 30th, 2008 11:28pm Report this comment

Thanks, Fraser, been there (and I hope the Daveists follow) and bookmarked it so I won't need to trouble you further. Vince was probably being waspish and mischievous this morning but the coming few weeks will probably tell us anyway.

Steve

March 31st, 2008 8:42am Report this comment

When Brown became PM, I along with most people was prepared to give him the benefit of the doubt, and if you think back to then he and his new team actually got off to an OK start. But by Christmas this had evaporated due to a catalogue of errors, misjudgements, and down right incompetence. Back then I commented somewhere on here that Team Brown had until Easter to turn things round again. Well I don't think they have managed it. I beleive that we have seen a real shift in peoples views of this government, and they no no longer have the benefit of the doubt but its direct opposite. (what would that be do you reckon? The downside of the doubt, the drawback, any other ideas anyone?) So people are no longer listening to what they have to say, and suspect the motives behind every move. I think we are now in John Major territory, where regardless of what happened, the general public had just said "enough" and where just waiting for them to go.

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