More evidence of a Lib Dem poll surge
James Forsyth 4:49pmThere's another poll putting the Lib Dems in second place now, Com Res has them up eight to 29, the Tories down four to 31 and Labour down two to 27. An ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph has the Lib Dems up 7 to 27. The Tories are on 34, down 3, and Labour are down two to 29. Interestingly, the paper is reporting that most of the polling was carried out before the debate--so ICM's numbers may well under-estimate the Lib Dem's current strength.
Again, we will have to wait a few more days to see whether this Lib Dem surge is solid. But there's no doubt that something interesting is going on.



Previous






ollie
April 17th, 2010 5:15pm Report this commenthang on, the lib dems gained a massive SEVEN points BEFORE the debate? sorry, it's simply not plausible - unless there has been a catastrophic collapse in the other two parties.
Something very, very weird going on here - a TV debate does not shift a party by these amounts, no matter how good it was for Clegg.
7/8/9 percentage point shifts is not sustainable. I predict them back to 22% by Monday.
Alex Thompson
April 17th, 2010 5:22pm Report this commentBuy gold quickly! This country and its currency is finished if these polls are anything to go by.
I hate to sneer at my fellow countrymen but unfortunately I've lost all faith in them - particularly my generation which are coming through.
Clegg did nothing to deserve such a swing and yet many 'swing voters' will now vote for him knowing practically nothing about the man or the Lib Dem's frightening policies. All based on an X-factor style performance where he simply looked down the camera lens.
The liberal-left may lap this up at the moment but give it five years, an economic crash and an immigration amnesty and we'll be in 1930s Germany territory.
2trueblue
April 17th, 2010 5:28pm Report this commentI spent 26yrs in research and these figures are all over the place, which is worrying. Not from the viewpoint that they might be right but in how they are conducted. There is very little data on where, what spread, and controls etc. If you are serious about a poll then the controls have to be the same for all polls to be meaningful in any way. This is just demonstrating the low level of professionalism in the field and is pretty meaningless. I hope that Clegg/Cable believe them as it is the nearest they will get to such figures.
LittleEnglander
April 17th, 2010 5:42pm Report this commentThe optimist in me thinks this:
1. The LibDem 'surge' will not last and will subside gradually as the campaign goes on, once everyone realises their policies are downright traitorous and will leave us even more in the thrall of the EU.
2. The Labour vote is actually softer than we first realised and that it will dip down even further than their supposed core vote, say 30%.
3. The Tories will be left hight and dry as the only one of the so-called major parties who deserve a stab at getting us out of this unholy mess, and, that their Liberal Conservative stance is only a disguise to get them elected so they can enact some proper policies that will take us toward a proper recovery and lead us toward taking a step back from Europe.
I did say I had my optimists head on.
Time will tell whether I bite my tongue and vote Tory, or mark the spot with my heart... UKIP.
annassasin
April 17th, 2010 5:43pm Report this commentSaw that Telegraph granny on News24, saying Clegg bounce will last 48hrs, also voters are playing with polling groups and will be more sensible on May 6. Don't bet on it. How does Cameron avoid looking like dead man walking. labour is laughing at Dave, Libs are just laughing. Tory victory depends on Libs giving up, what is plan B?
Jupiter
April 17th, 2010 5:56pm Report this commentNever underestimate the stupidity of the British public.
mitch
April 17th, 2010 6:09pm Report this commentIf any pollster asked me I`d say limps just to skew the poll I imagine lots more are doing the same.
Sussexed
April 17th, 2010 6:29pm Report this commentI've been polled twice this weekend and both times said Limp Dims. Just a bit of fun with the pollsters and the frothing left.
alexsandr
April 17th, 2010 6:57pm Report this commentWhat we havent been told is whether these new lib dem voters have been trawled from lab/tory, or are 'new' voters who were 'dont knows' on Wednesday??????
David Ossitt
April 17th, 2010 7:16pm Report this commentThe whole of the media would appear to have forgotten that there will be two more debates, does anyone seriously think that Cameron and Brown will go into the next two in the same way, and using the same tactics as in the first one.
I suspect that both will seek to lay bare the huge gaping holes in the Lib-Dem policies, Brown will not, as he did on the first look for common cause and Cameron will be much more argumentative and challenging to both Clegg and Brown.
This whole episode could and should benefit Cameron, if Clegg and Brown are both in an equal second place then this will probably split the socialist vote and so benefit the Tories.
I pray that it does.
steve
April 17th, 2010 7:40pm Report this commentI am having so much fun reading the utter nonsense that the political party's spin machines are typing into these "have your say" columns. Hilarious. And you STILL think we are all stupid, even now, after all the evidence infront of you.
ROTFLMAO
Richard of York
April 17th, 2010 10:00pm Report this commentMelt down at CCHQ....Cameron will not have slept since Thursday night...scared stiff.
He sold the time for a change so well but forgot there was another option....if you dont like GB and you cant stand the Mr Whippy the icecream man you can vote for Mr nice smiley happy Clegg.
Reap what you sow ...simple
Just face facts teo thirds of the country cant stand Cameron and half of them dont care a toss about the deficit all they want is a job food on the table and a roof over their heads.
Post expenses the political scene has changed.....pox on all of your houses is the mantra.
Time for a change...yes lets give the other chaops a go is the feeling out there.
Cameron has played his pert in destroying the trust with the electorate and he is as shallow as they come.....the public know it and they wont vote for him.
The next debate is set up for Clegg to clinch the deal......5 more years of GB is an added bonus.....hehe
Major Plonquer
April 18th, 2010 2:46am Report this commentGiven Nick Clegg's conviction for ARSON and his prediliction for reforming parliament perhaps the Liberals will choose BURNING DOWN THE HOUSE by Talking Heads as their campaign song? Things couldn't get any better.
BGarvie
April 18th, 2010 4:21am Report this commentClegg may have appeared to have done well, but closer analysis showed he was ably assisted by adjudicator, Alistair Stuart, who ensured he had a smooth flow and allowed him to over-run his answers thus interrupting Cameron. Stuart kept cutting Cameron short and allowed Brown to constantly interrupt.
Clegg may have appeared slick, but was smug, sanctimonious and supercilious. Brown lied and vindictively interrupted constantly trying to pathetically 'gang up' with Clegg.
Despite this Cameron remained calm, but was effectively up against 'three' hostile characters.
Perhaps Sky's Alan Bolton will be more professional and fair.
David B
April 18th, 2010 10:25am Report this commentRichard, as usual your desire to kick Camaron leads to you missing the truth. Five more years of Brown and an increasing defficit and out of control national debt will mean mass unemployment and a sharp fall in the pound will mean sharply rising food prices.
Anyone who wants a job and food on the table needs to care about the deficit and national debt
anthony rayner
April 18th, 2010 2:51pm Report this commentI agree with the comment about not underestimating the stupidity of the british people & perhaps Major Plonquer would also appreciate the relevance of the AC/DC song - Highway to hell?!'Cos that's where we'll be headed if the ghastly Brown is still involved.
2trueblue
April 18th, 2010 3:46pm Report this commentBGarvie, thank heavens that someone else heard what I heard. Am stuck out in the hills in France with no tv and heard the debate and was shocked at how th so called moderator behaved. Clegg was given too much airtime and Cameron was cut all the time. Cameron was also too darn polite.
Bolton has a big foot in the Brown camp (the missus) and it will be interesting to see how well he delivers evenhandedness. No matter what one thinks, the tv people are too closely connected to Liebore for comfort.
The bubble to worry about is the one from Iceland, it could change our way of life for a while, and forget the hot air for Clegg.
Back to top