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Saturday, 5th April 2008

The meaning of what happened in Basra

James Forsyth 5:56pm

The consequences of the fighting in Basra and the subsequent cease-fire are still unclear. Some see events as testifying to Sadr’s strength, others point out that it was him who was forced to sue for peace.
 
Kimberly and Fred Kagan, key advocates of the surge, have a piece in this week’s Weekly Standard which acknowledges the uncertainty over what happened in Basra—an uncertainty, which as they point out, largely exists because of the British decision to abandon the city—but argues that most coverage is missing the most crucial fact about what went on:

“The most important fact about the recent operations has escaped most observers, however. The government of Iraq, that group of "Persian ex-pats" as many Iraqis and some Americans call them, went to war against the illegal Shia militias which are thoroughly infiltrated, supported, advised, trained, and led by Iran and its agents. When it ran into trouble, the government called for American support and then began to engage with its own local tribesmen, who eagerly volunteered to support the fight against the foreigners. 

Iraq has already demonstrated that it is by far the most serious and determined ally the United States has in the war against al Qaeda by deploying more forces and taking more casualties in that struggle than any other state. After several years in which Americans feared that the Shia government would attempt to triangulate between Iran and the United States without taking sides, the Iraqi leadership has made its choice clear. It chose America.”

We will probably learn more about what happened in Basra next week when General Petraeus testifies to Congress. But it does seem that the Iraqi government forces achieved more than it initially appeared they did.

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Terry

April 5th, 2008 8:21pm Report this comment

America, to its credit, knows how important Iraq is in the way that so many fools on the left and right in Britain can't see.

A peaceful, prosperous, democratic Iraq could do so much to cool relations between the Middle East and the West, yet so many commentators fuelled by their anti-Americanism don't want to see this.

Alexander Berlin

April 6th, 2008 12:24am Report this comment

The Iraqi government got into this Basra "fight" to achieve a certain objective.
Has the objective been achieved?
Apparently not.
Therefore the Government lost and the cleric Sadr has won. For now.
It is as simple as that

Austin Barry

April 6th, 2008 1:23pm Report this comment

According to Russian intelligence reports, disputed by the US and Israel, a second US carrier battle group led by USS John Stennis is moving into the Gulf to prepare for "Operation Bite" intended to put Iran back in its box. It may be an interesting summer.

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