Times/Populus has the Tories close to a majority
Peter Hoskin 7:56pmSo the Times/Populus results are in, and they have the Tories on 37 percent (up one), Labour on 28 percent (up one), and the Lib Dems on 27 percent (down one). On a uniform national swing, this would leave us in hung parliament territory. But Tories I speak to are pretty confident that numbers like these, if replicated tomorrow, could give them a majority.
Elsewhere, TNS-BMRB has the Tories on 33, Labour on 27 and the Lib Dems on 29. Angus Reed for Political Betting has Tories on 36, Labour on 24, and the Lib Dems on 29.
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THX1138
May 5th, 2010 8:07pm Report this commentNot latest YouGov in the Sun though CON 35% (n/c) LAB 28% (-2) LDEMS 28% (+4) Other 9% (-2) - Conservatives short by 41 seats
paulg
May 5th, 2010 8:50pm Report this commentYour going to drive yourself insane trying to second guess all these polls. You need to pour a whiskey, jump in the bath, and read a good book. An old favourite always does the trick.
nothing more can be done - we will all know tomorrow.
charles hercock
May 5th, 2010 9:06pm Report this commentPlease keep true Speccie .We will win through
Snowman
May 5th, 2010 9:25pm Report this commentPeter, get life: have a shower, pour yourself a drink. Tomorrow will reveal it all, then we talk.
Snowman
May 5th, 2010 10:38pm Report this commentPeter, and another thing:
You have the Tories close to majority,
I have them closer to blissful inanity.
Verity thinks it’s all insanity
That Dave’s in charge
Of the country at large,
As it’s fugged up
In massive calamity.
I must be going mad, no question about it.
Pete Hoskin
May 5th, 2010 10:48pm Report this commentSnowman: thanks for the advice! I promise I'm done with polls for the evening now. There are a million other things I'd rather be doing than typing up polling figures, but it is the election tomorrow, and this is a political blog...
Major Plonquer
May 6th, 2010 4:48am Report this commentThe one factor the polls don't take into consideration is the Postal Vote. In previous elections many dead people used the postal vote system. The vast majority of them voted Labour.
However, this time Labour are threatening to tax the dead (Death Tax) so many dead people will likely not vote for Labour.
Labour have been taking the dead vote for granted.
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