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Michael Henderson suggests


Wednesday, 25th July 2007

What if Cameron fell under a bus?

5:22pm

Fraser has a cracking piece in tomorrow’s magazine on who'd  take over if something happened to Dave. As Fraser reports, there’s no clear alternative—something that Cameron has reason to be thankful for considering the feeding frenzy currently going on in the Westminster village.

I called William Hills earlier and asked them for the odds on who would be the next Tory leader and they make for interesting reading.

William Hague 9/4 fav.

David Davis 5/1

George Osborne and Andrew Lansley 10/1

Liam Fox and Alan Duncan 12/1

Nick Herbert 14/1

Theresa Villiers 16/1


Some other interesting odds: Ed Vaizey 20/1, Malcolm Rifkind, Ken Clarke and Julie Kirkbride 25/1, Michael Gove 33/1 and Boris Johnson 50/1.

To my mind, the value bet is Michael Gove—to put things in perspective the other people at 33/1 are Oliver Letwin and David Willets. Who would your money be on?

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Comments

Toby Belch

July 25th, 2007 5:48pm

What odds can you get on Quentin Davies?

Tom

July 25th, 2007 6:07pm

Whose blog is going to have the first news of the 1922 meeting tonight...? Answers please.

Traditional Tory

July 25th, 2007 6:22pm

We don't want no crazy neo-con

Notting Hill Tory

July 25th, 2007 7:32pm

Gove would be a smart a bet as he is a man

July 25th, 2007 7:33pm

Oh please let it be Dinky Duncan--he's a leader we could all look down on

Disraeli's Ghost

July 25th, 2007 7:35pm

The Tories need somone who we know can stand up to Brown, whose in touch with Britain, right wing but in a non scary way...Only one man for the job: T Blair

Wellington's Ghost

July 25th, 2007 7:42pm

Patrick Mercer - that would liven things up

July 25th, 2007 7:48pm

Why are the odds on Herbert so short?

Searching for a hero

July 25th, 2007 7:52pm

What are the odds on Iain Dale?

Lee Jakeman

July 25th, 2007 11:32pm

If it served the Lord's purpose, Cameron would fall under a bus to make way for the Chosen One. As this is as likely as my being voted Sex-Symbol of the year (short, fat, ugly etc.), I'll just assume that Cameron will be around for a while longer and that I don't really need to know the odds on Boris getting the top job.

Loyal Tory

July 26th, 2007 12:12am

Stop trying to destabilise DC, He deserves our and your support

Primus Secundus Tertius

July 26th, 2007 12:32am

Fraser Nelson in his piece asks what has changed the mood of the Conservative Party. The answer is, MPs have realised that the Great British Public have formed their own opinion of Cameron rather than accepting the view of the Telegraph/Spectator Establishment: and that opinion is a thumbs-down. The (metaphorical) elephant in the room now is Ken Clarke. I am not persuaded that the intense opposition to him is solely due to his positive attitude to Europe. I would like people such as the Editor of the Spectator to come clean on their real reasons.

Top of the shot

July 26th, 2007 10:31am

Theresa Villiers' promotion to Shadow Secretary was well deserved. Within days of her promotion she hit the front page of The Times exposing Labour's farcical means of improving Britain's railways by increasing prices by far more than inflation. This week, the government announced their plans and had to admit that Ms Villiers had got it right. After the government's annoucement on the railways, SHE gave a forceful speech from the front bench, which all Ruth Kelly could offer in reply was insult after insult. While I dont want to see Cameron go. I cannot forget that when we did have a woman at the helm, we did win elections.

l

July 27th, 2007 5:52am

Let's have William Hague.

Leafra

July 27th, 2007 5:53am

Let's have Davis Davis.

Peter Breuer

July 27th, 2007 4:10pm

It does not really matter who "leads" the Conservative Party provided that:- They call themselves the Modern Tories, stop trying to be clever, and tell the electorate that they only have three policies -competent administration, Competent Administration and COMPETENT ADMINISTRATION. On that ticket the Modern Conservatives can hammer Labour (new or old)including Soundbite Brown out of site at the next General Election.

Albert Maltaman

July 30th, 2007 8:22am

The odds are short on Herbert because he's got a bit of charm whilst also being an attack dog. He's also a believer unlike others.

Albert Maltaman

July 30th, 2007 8:23am

The odds are short on Herbert because he's got a bit of charm whilst also being an attack dog. He's also a believer unlike others.

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