What if Cameron fell under a bus?
5:22pm
Fraser has a cracking piece in tomorrow’s magazine on who'd take over if something happened to Dave. As Fraser reports, there’s no clear alternative—something that Cameron has reason to be thankful for considering the feeding frenzy currently going on in the Westminster village.
I called William Hills earlier and asked them for the odds on who would be the next Tory leader and they make for interesting reading.
William Hague 9/4 fav. David Davis 5/1 George Osborne and Andrew Lansley 10/1 Liam Fox and Alan Duncan 12/1 Nick Herbert 14/1
Theresa Villiers 16/1
Some other interesting odds: Ed Vaizey 20/1, Malcolm Rifkind, Ken Clarke and Julie Kirkbride 25/1, Michael Gove 33/1 and Boris Johnson 50/1.
To my mind, the value bet is Michael Gove—to put things in perspective the other people at 33/1 are Oliver Letwin and David Willets. Who would your money be on?
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Comments
Toby Belch
July 25th, 2007 5:48pmWhat odds can you get on Quentin Davies?
Tom
July 25th, 2007 6:07pmWhose blog is going to have the first news of the 1922 meeting tonight...? Answers please.
Traditional Tory
July 25th, 2007 6:22pmWe don't want no crazy neo-con
Notting Hill Tory
July 25th, 2007 7:32pmGove would be a smart a bet as he is a man
Oh please let it be Dinky Duncan--he's a leader we could all look down on
Disraeli's Ghost
July 25th, 2007 7:35pmThe Tories need somone who we know can stand up to Brown, whose in touch with Britain, right wing but in a non scary way...Only one man for the job: T Blair
Wellington's Ghost
July 25th, 2007 7:42pmPatrick Mercer - that would liven things up
Why are the odds on Herbert so short?
Searching for a hero
July 25th, 2007 7:52pmWhat are the odds on Iain Dale?
Lee Jakeman
July 25th, 2007 11:32pmIf it served the Lord's purpose, Cameron would fall under a bus to make way for the Chosen One. As this is as likely as my being voted Sex-Symbol of the year (short, fat, ugly etc.), I'll just assume that Cameron will be around for a while longer and that I don't really need to know the odds on Boris getting the top job.
Loyal Tory
July 26th, 2007 12:12amStop trying to destabilise DC, He deserves our and your support
Primus Secundus Tertius
July 26th, 2007 12:32amFraser Nelson in his piece asks what has changed the mood of the Conservative Party. The answer is, MPs have realised that the Great British Public have formed their own opinion of Cameron rather than accepting the view of the Telegraph/Spectator Establishment: and that opinion is a thumbs-down. The (metaphorical) elephant in the room now is Ken Clarke. I am not persuaded that the intense opposition to him is solely due to his positive attitude to Europe. I would like people such as the Editor of the Spectator to come clean on their real reasons.
Top of the shot
July 26th, 2007 10:31amTheresa Villiers' promotion to Shadow Secretary was well deserved. Within days of her promotion she hit the front page of The Times exposing Labour's farcical means of improving Britain's railways by increasing prices by far more than inflation. This week, the government announced their plans and had to admit that Ms Villiers had got it right. After the government's annoucement on the railways, SHE gave a forceful speech from the front bench, which all Ruth Kelly could offer in reply was insult after insult. While I dont want to see Cameron go. I cannot forget that when we did have a woman at the helm, we did win elections.
l
July 27th, 2007 5:52amLet's have William Hague.
Leafra
July 27th, 2007 5:53amLet's have Davis Davis.
Peter Breuer
July 27th, 2007 4:10pmIt does not really matter who "leads" the Conservative Party provided that:- They call themselves the Modern Tories, stop trying to be clever, and tell the electorate that they only have three policies -competent administration, Competent Administration and COMPETENT ADMINISTRATION. On that ticket the Modern Conservatives can hammer Labour (new or old)including Soundbite Brown out of site at the next General Election.
Albert Maltaman
July 30th, 2007 8:22amThe odds are short on Herbert because he's got a bit of charm whilst also being an attack dog. He's also a believer unlike others.
Albert Maltaman
July 30th, 2007 8:23amThe odds are short on Herbert because he's got a bit of charm whilst also being an attack dog. He's also a believer unlike others.