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Monday, 5th July 2010

Who will follow Cameron?

James Forsyth 7:43pm

Matthew d’Ancona’s piece in the new GQ on who’ll succeed David Cameron as Tory leader has been much discussed today. Matt says that Jeremy Hunt ‘is the man to watch’. But I think Hunt’s problem is that he is too like the current leader—telegenic, personable and pragmatic—and parties tend to opt for a successor who is a bit different from what they’ve just had.

Boris Johnson would, of course, be very different from Cameron. But as Matt notes, if Boris returns to Parliament early it will be regarded as a declaration of intent.

Boris’s greatest weakness is that he’s seen as great fun but not a man of substance. The best way for Boris to deal with this problem is to serve two successful terms as Mayor of London so that he can point to his experience in the capital when asked about whether he’s up to the job.

Speculating about Cameron’s successor at the moment really is just a bit of fun; as Matt says it is entirely possible that Cameron’s successor could be someone who has only just entered parliament or who isn’t even here yet. But it is one of those subjects that gets people talking.

 

Filed under: Boris Johnson (132 more articles) , Conservatives (2311 more articles) , David Cameron (1912 more articles) , Jeremy Hunt (49 more articles)

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Richard of York

July 5th, 2010 8:14pm Report this comment

Next leader of the Tories will be David Laws more tory than Tebbit. If they can get him out of hiding that is.

Perhaps he is helping Gordon write the history of the credit crunch.

Andre

July 5th, 2010 8:49pm Report this comment

He's only just assumed office! DC will have all the longevity of a Churchill and a Gladstone

Wight Tory

July 5th, 2010 9:06pm Report this comment

Bloody Hell, he's only just got the job... Next Tory leader is not be in Today's Government

TrevorsDen

July 5th, 2010 9:28pm Report this comment

Changing party leaders is fraught with danger.

Look whats happened to labour. And if they thought Brown was bad enough, just look at the lot bidding to replace him.

There are many qualities required to be a party leader and PM. Brown was notably lacking in what is probably the most important - a thick skin.

Simon Stephenson

July 5th, 2010 9:29pm Report this comment

Is it too much to hope that Mr Cameron's successor will be the person most suited to dealing with the state of the country as and when Cameron decides to retire? In a situation where the ConLib policies have coincided with a return of the UK to prosperous stability, one would hope that Cameron himself would have a big say in who should succeed him. On the other hand, if ConLib policies prove to be utterly inappropriate for dealing with the real difficulties this country faces, then one would hope that Cameron and his supporters would have the decency and the patriotism to recognise that perhaps a completely different type of Conservatism is what is required.

At the moment, about 50% of the voting public, on the Right and on the Left, are to all intents and purposes disfranchised by government being carried out on a managerial, apolitical basis from the centre. As one of these disfranchised people, I fully accept that there will be a strong case made for centrism should the governance of the coalition prove to be successful governance. But, the other side of the coin is that should centrist government prove to be a failure, as many of us believe that it is destined to be, there must be room given to the thought that intellectual politics is the only way to run a country successfully, not a combination of false advocacy and micro-management of the status-quo.

TrevorsDen

July 5th, 2010 9:32pm Report this comment

PS
Looking at your tag cloud I get the strangest case of Schadenfreude when I see how tiny Peter Mandelson's name has become.

AndyinBrum

July 5th, 2010 10:50pm Report this comment

Trevor. These hollowed out volcanic lairs take a while to build, he'll be back when it's finished

Robert Eve

July 5th, 2010 10:50pm Report this comment

Lets have Dan Hannan next.

Michael Buckeridge

July 5th, 2010 11:14pm Report this comment

Jeremy Hunt lacks integrity....one only needs to scratch the surface to see that not only does he lack honesty, as shown by the way he has handled his expenses, but he lacks the transparency he espouses, by his deletion of his tweets and his blogs, and his refusal to open himself to any real scrutiny.

Mycroft

July 5th, 2010 11:17pm Report this comment

How about Bercow? I'm sure he'd love a change by the time that Cameron wants to stand down, and just think of the pension that he'd get by combining the two!

Dan Grover

July 5th, 2010 11:35pm Report this comment

Hannan would be fantastic for me, but awful electorally I think. As much as everyone loved his Youtube hit, I don't think he'd prove to be too much of an electoral asset as a leader. He'd be fantastic as something like defense or foreign policy, where people like right wingers. The UK's too married to the NHS to have him in anything close to that, though, alas.

Verity

July 5th, 2010 11:54pm Report this comment

Daniel Hannan is my choice, too. A man of principal, acute intelligence and articulacy. And for sure, he will never start calling himself "Dan" to sidle up to the voters.

charles hercock

July 6th, 2010 8:15am Report this comment

Robert E,Dan G and Verity: You shou your atavistic Tory tendencies.Things have moved on to Cosy Cuddly Coalitionism

Roger Davies

July 6th, 2010 8:24am Report this comment

Maybe the next PM will be rotated on an annual basis ensuring gender, religion, race and political position factors? All in the name of equality and sustaining the bland centre left, centre right, centre ground control of Parliament. I have seen the future and the future is not blue or red or yellow, it's a sort of very pale buff.

wonderfulforhisage

July 6th, 2010 9:10am Report this comment

Carswell?

David Bouvier

July 6th, 2010 9:25am Report this comment

Verity - do you ever give up your petty and bitter barbs at David "Dave" Cameron? Though having lost touch I knew Hannan 20 years ago and he has as far as I know always been "Dan" to all and sundry in Westminster.

Perhaps his mother calls him "Daniel" - is that who you are?

alexsandr

July 6th, 2010 9:56am Report this comment

Too early to say
I would expect one of the Tories in the cabinet (Or even maybe in non cabinet govt jobs..), but we have to see which of those shine.
I wouldnt put serious money on Osbourne, tho....

Daniel1979

July 6th, 2010 12:11pm Report this comment

After Hannan's dressing down of Gordon Brown in the EU Parliament last year I placed a £5 bet with Ladbrokes that he would be the next leader. I got 100/1 odds online. (I just checked it, he is now down to 50/1)

So, he would be my bet on the assumption that it will be a good few years before the question seriously comes up and that Carswell will have persuaded him by then that he would be able to achiveve more towards their direct democracy agenda if he too was in Westminster.

Victor Southern

July 6th, 2010 1:05pm Report this comment

Indeed, one wonders why Verity [who lives in Mexico] carries on these bitter attacks. The entire matter of who governs the UK can be of little importance to him/her.

Politics in Mexico are far more interesting with political assassinations still the vogue and entire towns in the north in the hands of the drug cartels.

yank

July 6th, 2010 1:07pm Report this comment

Why not Osborne? Notice that the iconographic photo of this nascent regime is of him with that case. Who knows how it will all turn out, but the contents of that case seem to be what's driving affairs, so it'd be wise to remember the guy who's holding it, and who filled it.

Gordon

July 6th, 2010 1:27pm Report this comment

Rory the Tory

Danko

July 6th, 2010 1:31pm Report this comment

my money is on Rory Stewart

Ian C

July 6th, 2010 2:31pm Report this comment

Pointless, irrelevant blather - along with all the idiot guff about the merging of Cons and Libs.

Journalists should learn to just say nothing when there is nothing to say. Especially the better journalists, as they will become less good journalists very rapidly.

Verity

July 6th, 2010 2:49pm Report this comment

David Bouvier - I don't know quite how to respond to your weird post. I don't care when you knew Daniel Hannan, if that is your little claim to fame, but he signs himself Daniel in his pieces.

Why would you think it was entertaining to ask whether I'm his mother? The answer is no. Nor am I his sister, an aunt, a cousin or a neighbour. What was it in your question that you felt was barbed, clever or pointed?

I have only ever encountered the name as Daniel Hannan because that is how he presents himself to the public.

I quite enjoy clever insults, but yours didn't qualify.

Republican Tory

July 6th, 2010 4:38pm Report this comment

Justine Greening

Verity

July 6th, 2010 5:31pm Report this comment

Victor Southern - Ah, the bracing smell of ignorance to pep up the mountain air!

Could you name a political assassination since President Calderon - right wing; bi-lingual; three degrees, one of them a Master's in Civil Administration from Harvard - took office? Or, indeed, conservative President Fox before him?

Thanks to Obama, the US, the biggest customer for illegal drugs in the world, has porous borders. Mexico is between the supplier, Colombia, and their greediest and richest customer, the United States.

The geography is hardly Mexico's fault and they pour an enormous amount of their national treasure and brain power into combatting this trade.

Why don't you sneer at Colombia and its president?

TGF UKIP

July 6th, 2010 10:15pm Report this comment

Preferably someone of whom you and d'Ancona would disapprove, James.

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