Mandelson's miscalculation
James Forsyth 11:26am
Peter Mandelson’s decision to support Gordon Brown right to the end enabled him to cease being a purely factional figure in the Labour party. The multiple standing ovations he received at the last Labour conference were a recognition of that. As he put it, he was now the prince of stability not darkness. It was easy to see how Mandelson could become one of the elder statesmen of the party.
But The Third Man has thrown all this away. Mandelson is once more a highly factional figure. He has admitted that he wouldn’t have stopped his Cabinet colleagues toppling Brown if they could have and that Labour would have done better at the election under a different leader.
So low has Mandelson’s standing fallen that David Miliband—who, as The Times points out, is one of the few people that Mandelson has protected in the book—has sister souljahed him. He has said that, ‘Memoirs come after retirement, not before—and in any case we need an elected House of Lords.’ In other words, Mandelson would not be selected as a Labour candidate for the House of Lords under his leadership. (Though, I think the Coalition might help Mandelson out here by grandfathering in all existing peers).
While Ed Miliband use his interview with The Times to mock Mandelson: ‘Peter is a very complex person, he has good sides to him and I’m not going to be personally acrimonious. I have never knowingly been on a shooting party or a yacht with a Russian oligarch but what people do with their lives is a matter for them.’
Mandelson is, as he so famously said, a ‘fighter not a quitter.’ But it is hard to see how he wins his way back into the affections of the party he loves after deciding to publish and be damned.’



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Chris Morriss
July 17th, 2010 1:27pm Report this commentSister Souljah? Not being a black American, I had to look this up on Google. Come on, this is a Spectator audience you're writing for, not the inhabitants of some dingy Hip-Hop dive.
mr ugly
July 17th, 2010 1:45pm Report this commentPerhaps he's calculated that Labour will now spend as long in the wilderness as the Conservatives did after 1997, and that it is therefore not viable as a vehicle for his own future advancement. I don't see that you've shown this to be a miscalculation.
Simon Stephenson
July 17th, 2010 1:52pm Report this commentI think you underestimate how much of what is happening is by design. I should have thought that the central strategy of Labour Party planners is to create and enhance the thought that the 2010 rejection was due to the flaws of the old guard, and that as far as this baggage can be uncoupled from the new guard, the more the better. Naturally, there must be an authentic-looking pretense going on of the old guard fighting for their reputations, but in the end the concert-party has already dictated that the likes of Blair, Brown and Mandelson will not try too hard to destabilise the desired image of a new leadership comprising all that was good about its predecessors, but none of what was less good.
Remember that for a very long time the political left has drawn much of its support from prejudiced neophilia, so it's hardly likely to neglect the opportunity to do so now.
Edward Sutherland
July 17th, 2010 2:43pm Report this commentChris Morriss: could you please share your knowledge; I haven't a clue who/what a "sister souljah" is - a squaddie's female sibling on enlistment, perhaps?
Verity
July 17th, 2010 3:29pm Report this commentEdward Sutherland - I'm not interested in American black slang. It's never very inventive.
Widmerpool
July 17th, 2010 3:35pm Report this commentIs Mandy looking for a Goat as well as an evergreen gong from Dave and Nick? He could still do a lot of damage to Labour if he crossed benches in the Lords!
Dimoto
July 17th, 2010 3:57pm Report this commentThere was a discussion on Radio4 this morning in which the punditry were expressing incredulity that given Blair's reported opinion on Brown, he would then endorse him for party leader and PM.
It seems to have been overlooked, that Blair won three elections for Labour, then was forced out with considerable acrimoney.
Who can forget that campaign scene with Blair sheepishly buying an ice-cream for a distainful Brown ?
Isn't it pretty clear that a bitter Blair was telling his ungrateful party, OK you want Brown, good, you can have him, and bear the consequences !
Duppy Seacole
July 17th, 2010 4:13pm Report this commentYo speccie homies, check dis out:
In United States politics, a Sister Souljah moment is a politician's public repudiation of an allegedly extremist person or group, statement, or position perceived to have some association with the politician or their party. Such an act of repudiation is designed to signal to centrist voters that the politician is not beholden to traditional, and sometimes unpopular, interest groups associated with the party, although such a repudiation runs the risk of alienating some of the politician's allies and the party's base voters. The term is named for the political activist Sister Souljah.
Origins
The term originates in the 1992 presidential candidacy of Bill Clinton. In a Washington Post interview published on May 13, 1992, the hip-hop MC, author, and political activist Sister Souljah was quoted as saying, "If Black people kill Black people every day, why not have a week and kill White people?"[1] The remark was part of a longer response to the 1992 Los Angeles riots. The quotation resulted in criticism.
Craig Strachan
July 17th, 2010 4:28pm Report this commentEd Miliband says " I have never knowingly been on a shooting party or a yacht with a Russian oligarch but what people do with their lives is a matter for them."
This statement leaves open the intriguing possibility that Ed may in fact have been on a yacht with a Russian oligarch or on a shooting party without knowing it.
TrevorsDen
July 17th, 2010 4:46pm Report this commentmandelson is in no way goung to 'cross the floor' and he would be turned away if he did.
And there should certainly be no 'grandfathering'. Not only should the Lords be elected but existing life peers should have their peerages revoked.
Verity
July 17th, 2010 4:58pm Report this commentCraig Strachan - V good!
Andrew Zalotocky
July 17th, 2010 5:44pm Report this commentWhat has Mandelson got to lose? Labour may well spend a decade or more in the wilderness, and if they do get back in sooner they would be desperate to avoid reminding people of the Blair and Brown years. Mandelson would be a political liability because he would remind the public of all the things they disliked about New Labour. He has virtually no chance of ever being part of the British government again. Equally, while he might be able to land a sinecure in the EU bureaucracy it wouldn't be anything nearly as grand as European Commissioner.
So Mandelson's political career is really over. He can choose to sit in the Lords and fade into obscurity, or re-invent himself as a political commentator. The latter would keep him in the public eye and give him more influence over the future direction of the Labour party, because members of the Shadow Cabinet could listen to his advice without worrying about whether he was plotting to take their jobs.
Roger Johansen
July 17th, 2010 5:59pm Report this commentI agree that the Lords should be elected, and the first to be removed from the Lords to make room should be those loathesome, arrogant politicians who were parachuted in to prop up the dying Labour administration.
Hysteria
July 17th, 2010 9:18pm Report this commentCraig - brilliant. All sorts of mental images conjured up now!
Major Plonquer 1
July 18th, 2010 3:54am Report this commentPeter Mandelson is not a factional fig. He is a fictional fag. And now I'm sure you'll agree he's finally achieved his position as a colossus in the anals of the Labour Party.
Major Plonquer 1
July 18th, 2010 3:58am Report this commentMandelson is, as he so famously said, a ‘fighter not a quitter.’
Really? I was listening that morning and I'll swear he stated, 'I'm a shiter not a shitter'. I thought he was making some kind of metaphorical statement about his physical role in homosexual relationships...
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