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Tuesday, 20th July 2010

Growing opposition to the alternative vote

David Blackburn 2:25pm

The indispensible Anthony Wells has news of the latest You Gov poll. Voting intentions are by the way at this stage of the parliament, but the Tory lead holds at 7 points on 42 percent. Of far more interest is the narrowing gap of those in favour of the alternative vote. As Anthony notes:

‘Up until now it has shown a pretty consistent lead for AV of around about 10 points, in last night’s figures referendum voting intention had narrowed to AV 39%, FPTP 38%.

Very, very early days of course and there is no reason to think polling this far out has any predictive power, but the initial lead that AV seemed to likely to start the campaign with appears to be fading (looking at the party cross breaks, AV no longer has a clear lead amongst Labour supporters, who now split 42% AV, 40% FPTP).’

A ‘yes’ vote rests on the backing of Labour party voters. But the party is increasingly aware that changing the voting system will lessen Labour’s natural electoral advantage. Already, Ed Balls has hinted that he won’t campaign in favour of change. Will others follow?

Filed under: Alternative vote (79 more articles) , Conservatives (2311 more articles) , Ed Balls (366 more articles) , Electoral reform (91 more articles) , Labour (2142 more articles) , Liberal Democrats (1155 more articles) , Polls (286 more articles) , Referendum (67 more articles) , UK politics (5405 more articles) , Voting (26 more articles)

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Alex

July 20th, 2010 2:35pm Report this comment

While I am personally in favour of AV and will vote for it, it was Labour's idea during the election.

My question: Was any idea of Gordon Brown a good? Don't think so!

...... maybe I need to rethink my position after all.

Mycroft

July 20th, 2010 2:36pm Report this comment

This is none too surprising. The fact that the LDs have gone into coalition will obviously reduce support for AV among Labour voters; a significant amount of the support for it from the left must have been founded on the assumption that the two supposedly progressive parties would always gang up to keep the Conservatives out.

TrevorsDen

July 20th, 2010 2:45pm Report this comment

if balls is against it - shouldn't I be for it?

How come its OK for his party to elect (possibly) him by AV but not for the rest of us

Chris lancashire

July 20th, 2010 2:59pm Report this comment

I hadn't bothered too much about it but if Balls is against it, it must be a good thing, I'll be voting for it.

HJ

July 20th, 2010 3:27pm Report this comment

Can you stop posting photos of Ed Balls please?

It has been a relief that Brown's face has disappeared from public view, but you keep spoiling it by consistently posting pictures of his mini-me.

Who cares, anyway, what Balls thinks about anything?

ollie

July 20th, 2010 3:32pm Report this comment

If Balls is against it, I am for it. I am for anything that reduces Labour's indefensible advantage.

Let's not start getting carried away with polls again - just two months after an election. Seriously, they don't mean squat.

Tankus

July 20th, 2010 3:43pm Report this comment

Maybe balls is playing a double bluff..!

Richard of York

July 20th, 2010 3:54pm Report this comment

Cleggie the fag will be reading the Guardian jobs page with more interest very soon.
Happy days

Nicholas Hallam

July 20th, 2010 4:03pm Report this comment

Support for AV was bound to fall when people began to understand a little more about the proposal.

While I favour FPTP I can see that a proportional system would have some merits at least in respect of "fairness". AV does not share this benefit. What is fairer about a system which returns the least disfavoured rather than the most favoured candidate?

Boudicca

July 20th, 2010 4:37pm Report this comment

Labour only supported AV when they thought it would guarantee left-of-centre Governments in perpetuity; with the LibDems automatically supporting Labour. This had nothing to do with a fairer voting system and everything to do with keeping Labour in power. Now they know that isn't the case, they are very quickly changing their tune.

I don't support AV because in practice it will ensure that candidates for the minority parties (in my case UKIP) won't get elected and votes for them will end up being re-distributed to one of the 'big 3.' It is intended to suppress calls for PR with the argument that our vote isn't 'wasted' whilst at the same time ensuring that it will have no effect on the outcome. I think that is why Cameron isn't too bothered about it; he assumes that under AV, the 'missing' Tory voters who have gone to UKIP will mainly place the Conservatives as their second choice, so we will recover the 'lost' vote.

David Ossitt

July 20th, 2010 4:52pm Report this comment

Chris lancashire

“I hadn't bothered too much about it but if Balls is against it, it must be a good thing, I'll be voting for it.”

Chris that is not what you could call a reasoned argument, the fact that Ed Balls is almost always in the wrong, should not deter you from doing the right thing, just because idiot boy is on this occasion on the right track.

Marcher Baron

July 20th, 2010 5:07pm Report this comment

I'd rather keep FPTP and have the constituencies evened out so that any inherent bias is reduced.

lescam

July 20th, 2010 5:17pm Report this comment

HJ - It has been a relief that Brown's face has disappeared from public view

You can say that again. Seeing his miserable countenance glaring at me from the front pages first thing in the morning was enough to make me want to top myself. Balls isn't quite as bad, he is merely fairly repugnant, whereas Bully Brown was suicide-inducing.

lescam

July 20th, 2010 5:45pm Report this comment

My favourite motto; if it ain't broke, don't fix it.

Will be voting to keep FPTP.

Paddy

July 20th, 2010 6:54pm Report this comment

If Balls is voting against it I am voting for it.

Cogito Ergosum

July 20th, 2010 8:55pm Report this comment

FPTP has the great merit of simplicity. The losers will never like its results, but everyone can understand those results.

This is a major benefit.

Wullie

July 20th, 2010 9:31pm Report this comment

'Growing opposition....'.

Good good.

Koakona

July 20th, 2010 9:32pm Report this comment

How do you neutralize the boundaries of first past the post is a key question hidden in this, I favour fptp but all those who say even it out how do you do that. I live in an area where depending upon which borders you transfer (assuming council ward majority voting) turn a marginal into a safe seat?

Believe in fptp but those who say take out the inherent bias must also be unbiased in their redrawing.

For fptp is still democracy, and we are still British so fair play is important.

EyeSee

July 21st, 2010 9:38am Report this comment

I think, as a politician Ed Balls is absolutely key and people should listen closely to what he has to say. Any point of view that Ed Balls naturally assumes will be the direct opposite of the right and best thing to do. He truly is Clueless in Westminster.

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