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Tuesday, 5th October 2010

This is not a 10p tax moment

James Forsyth 12:12pm

Last night, one minister came up to me nervously and asked, ‘is this our 10p tax moment?’ He was talking, obviously, about the decision to take child benefit away from households with a higher rate taxpayer in them.
 
My answer was no. The comparisons with Brown’s removal of the 10p tax rate miss a crucial point: Brown tried to hide what he was doing. In his final Budget statement to the Commons, the abolition of the 10p rate wasn’t even mentioned. Instead Brown boasted about a 2p reduction in the basic rate, to huge cheers from the Labour benches.
 
By contrast, the Tories have been upfront about the fact that there are losers from this change. There’s been no attempt to cover that up which is why the outcry started straight after the speech.
 
I still think that taking child benefit away from households with a higher rate tax payer in it is sensible; I also bet that there’ll be a whole slew of others cuts that will cause more outrage. From the point of view of the right, I also think this beachhead against universality is potentially transformative. 

Filed under: Benefits (159 more articles) , Coalition (2088 more articles) , Conservatives (2311 more articles) , Gordon Brown (918 more articles) , Labour (2142 more articles) , Party conferences (183 more articles) , Public service reform (343 more articles) , Tax rises (114 more articles) , UK politics (5406 more articles)

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alan campbell

October 5th, 2010 12:25pm Report this comment

Cheerleader.

Mark

October 5th, 2010 12:29pm Report this comment

"In his final Budget statement to the Commons, the abolition of the 10p rate wasn’t even mentioned."

No.

"So having put in place more focused ways of incentivising work and directly supporting children and pensioners at a cost of £3 billion a year, I can now return income tax to just two rates by removing the 10p band on non savings income." - Gordon Brown, Budget speech 2007

Hugh

October 5th, 2010 12:30pm Report this comment

The fact that we are getting all this bad news suggests that we are being softened up, collectively, for much more.
Grin and bear it everyone, and stick pins into your image of Bruin, its got to be done.

david1

October 5th, 2010 12:34pm Report this comment

Doing your best to ignore the obvious, the huge anomoly that has been thrown up. One income of 44k bad, two incomes of 43k good, simple enough for even you to understand.

GDT

October 5th, 2010 12:38pm Report this comment

People need to remember why we are being given such nasty tasting medicine.
Blair, Brown and the rest of the ZanuLiebour left the UK with a particularly virulent infection.

Ncik

October 5th, 2010 12:40pm Report this comment

Did the Tories/Lib Dems know that it was this bad before the election? Yes.

Did the Tories/Lib Dems mention the removal of child benefit in their manifesto? No.

Did the Tories Lib Dems lie? Yes

http://dizzythinks.net

October 5th, 2010 12:50pm Report this comment

Err Brown didn't hide it at all. What happened was that people had started falling asleep and didn't notice when he said "I can now return income tax to just two rates by removing the 10p band on non savings income" and then went on to cut the second tier rate which had become the basic rate.

Ian Walker

October 5th, 2010 12:55pm Report this comment

James, the 10p tax "moment" wasn't the hiding in the budget, but the revelation of the con a year later, which alienated vast swathes of the core supporters.

So it is comparable. A lot of people voted Tory hoping to see the benefits culture dismantled. What perhaps they weren't expecting was for the nice easy target of higher-rate taxpayers to be first on the list. It's being potrayed as a "brave" decision but actually it's the worst kind of cowardice.

They've lost my vote.

Tiberius

October 5th, 2010 1:01pm Report this comment

I agree with what you say, James, except for the unreasonable step which is a 1,000 foot drop from GBP43,999 to GBP44,000, rather than a sloping path.

BTW I think Brown did allude to 10p about half way through the his speech, when he referred to a 10% withholding tax on investment income. Anyone have access to the recording of the speech to verify this?

Widmerpool

October 5th, 2010 1:10pm Report this comment

Not so sure! Reading the papers this morning this looks as if it was made up a bit on the hoof.
If so Osborne is living up to his nick name of Boy George!

Victor Southern

October 5th, 2010 1:18pm Report this comment

Much as I detest Brown I remember very clearly that at the conclusion of that budget speech he did say something about equalisation of tax bands now possible so the 10P rate would be abolished.

The fact that it took the essentially innumerate House of Commons a whole year to cotton on to its impact is another matter.

I posted on the Boulton & Co blog [then partailly used by civilised beings] that same day to point out what it really meant. I am sure that others also realised what was happening.

I find it impossible to understand the comments that Osborne's announcement came as a great shock. It was widely bruited about for at least the past 2 months. It is only the nitty gritty that needed clarification.

AG

October 5th, 2010 1:58pm Report this comment

I think that some of you are missing the point because our government is using the deficit as cover for a policy that is neat socialism. Socialists believe in increasing the tax on the 'rich' to give to the poor but we know from the Laffer curve what a dead end that is at current levels of taxation and all the rest. Go and look at Paul Waugh's blog if you don't believe me. GO is removing the 'relief' for stay at home mothers with higher income partners and that will produce less tax take overall because it removes reward for effort in the group that pays for most of everything including child benefit. This is designed to placate Labour's clients at the expense of natural Conservatives and therefore is comparable to the 10p tax blunder where Bruin turned on his own.

RKing

October 5th, 2010 2:10pm Report this comment

It's ironic that people are talking about the advantages of not combining income for couples with children but pensioners are penalised because they are NOT allowed to combine their incomes.
As it stands the person with the biggest pension is taxed to the max but often the spouse doesn't have a big enough pension to reach the threshold.
And for those of you who are not aware any pensioner earning above approx. £20,000 pa is taxed at about 33% (not sure of the actual figures).
Also the unemployed are to receive up to £500 per week max.
Many pensioners, who have contributed to their pension, rarely reach that figure even with combined pensions.

michael

October 5th, 2010 2:26pm Report this comment

With the potential gulf between gets and the don't gets so large, there's going to be a lot of 'fiddling'.... Accountants must be rubbing their hands.

Jobs for your boys George?

libertarian

October 5th, 2010 3:00pm Report this comment

WRONG,

It is the 10p blunder only worse. This is sound bite "power to the workers" lefty politics at its worst.

They hadn't got a clue of the ramifications of this off the cuff announcement. It shows what a total dog's breakfast our benefit/taxation system is.

Flat tax, remove all paybacks, welfare as a safety net only

AuldCurmudgeon

October 5th, 2010 3:20pm Report this comment

"One income of 44k bad, two incomes of 43k good, simple enough for even you to understand."

It isn't fair. It isn't even remotely fair. And no amount of double dutch, equivocation or patronising drivel will prevent people in marriages penalised by Conservatives from blaming Conservatives for it.

What made the Brownian 10p moment, the moment it became, was the inexorable slide from fury, into denial, into grudging acceptance, into retreat. Are Conservatives too stupid to retreat or too stupid to do it quickly?

Cheery Soul

October 5th, 2010 3:54pm Report this comment

I pity the minister who asked James 'reliable' Forsyth anything that didn't entail full-on Roonery. Oh for the days when the Speccie's political editor weren't clients of the leadership.

David Bouvier

October 5th, 2010 4:07pm Report this comment

So lets get some actual numbers out there...

A family with two people just below the threshold with 2 x £43,875 pay £14,960 of income tax. One person on £87,750 pays £25,030 of income tax or nearly ten thousand pounds more.

Not to mention NI, tax credits etc. that will increase the difference.

Equally, one person just over the threshold on £43,876 pays £7,840 in income tax, while two people on the same total income e.g. 2 x £21,938 only pay £6,185 of income tax, so are already better off by more than child benefit for one child.

If you actually care about the big picture rather than just obeying the dumb political rule that all change is bad, then you have to look at the big picture and evaluate overall the fairness and efficiency of the whole system - which is hopefully with universal credit will do.

And if you believe fundamentally in household benefits or individual benefits lets argue it through. And lets consider, fraud, abuse and incentives while we are at it.

But if I hear another person on a 90th percentile wage moaning about child benefit rather than criticising the state for taxing too much overall, I may loose my temper.

Widmerpool

October 5th, 2010 4:26pm Report this comment

Maybe a bit of special pleading in the press by all the Journos who £44k +?
See link below
http://www.thefirstpost.co.uk/69604,news-comment,news-politics,why-tory-hacks-have-got-it-in-for-george-osborne-and-his-child-benefit-reforms?DCMP=NLC-daily

Leo McKinstry

October 5th, 2010 6:58pm Report this comment

Using the means-tested criteria of household rather than individual income - as many of Osborne's critics have suggested - could produce even more unfairness. You would have a situation where someone on £43,000-a-year, with a partner who chooses not work, would be entitled to receive child benefit, yet a couple, both holding down low paid jobs on just £22,000-a-year, would receive nothing. We have to make a start somewhere in cutting benefits and reducing the deficit.

TGF UKIP

October 5th, 2010 7:28pm Report this comment

Bang on Alan Campbell, the Spectator now exists entirely as a house magazine plugging not just the Cameron Clique but this farce of a coalition - just see the increasingly brown-nosed posts of the Dear Editor.

Objective and dispassionate analysis has been suspended for the duration.

Kennybhoy

October 6th, 2010 12:51am Report this comment

"Flat tax, remove all paybacks, welfare as a safety net only"

Equals Labour in power for a generation.

Paul Hawkins

October 6th, 2010 7:18am Report this comment

and of course no changes are planned until 2013,so it could be that the detail will change before then.

I suppose at least Cameron has apologised' for the misleading manifesto content...perhaps Labour could try the same thing? Could be a lengthy apology.

stephencameron37@aol.com

October 6th, 2010 9:57am Report this comment

I was a young boy when Child Benefit was first introduced. I was one of three brothers. My father was the senior parner of a successful firm of solicitors. He worked all the hours God sent and was reasonably prosperous although not "rich".
He did not go down to the pub on a Friday night and blow his wage packet in one fell swoop.
I eventually qualified as a solicitor,married and had three children
I did not go down to the pub and blow my wages in one fell swoop.
I always regarded it to be ridiculous that my mother and my wife received Family Allowance and/or Child benefit and I still do.
No doubt the arrangement kept several Civil Servants in non-jobs and does to this day.
Well done DC

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