Subscribe to The Spectator

Saturday 26 May 2012

Latest issue

Buy the current issue

Jobs at Telegraph

Monday, 21st March 2011

The Yemeni domino totters

Peter Hoskin 12:42pm

Call it the domino effect, if you like. After Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya, Yemen is the latest country to drag its rulers to the precipice — and it could push them over, too. The latest news is that several Yemeni generals have joined the protesters in calling on President Saleh to stand down. One source tells al-Jazeera that 90 per cent of the army could do likewise by this evening. The broad consensus is that the current regime is wheezing to a close.

So what next? From this vantage point, Yemen is certainly one of those countries where change should be greeted warily. It's not so much the emerging prospect of a military junta, but more the encroaching presence of al-Qaeda in the margins (aka "the mountains"). A US state department official recently described the Yemeni offshoot of the terror group as "the most significant risk to the US homeland" — and they have made their poisonous presence felt over the past few weeks. The worry is that they capitalise from the current disarray, either by converting protestors to their cause, or by securing a more friendly regime in Sanaa.

While despots like Saleh and Gaddafi are similarly despicable, it is sobering to remember that both more or less helped the West in the fight against al-Qaeda. The dominoes may be tumbling in the Arab world, but the national security implications will be felt elsewhere. 

Filed under: Al-Qaeda (48 more articles) , International politics (737 more articles) , Islamism (124 more articles) , Libya (295 more articles) , Middle East (272 more articles) , Military (271 more articles) , Security (41 more articles) , Terrorism (298 more articles) , Yemen (15 more articles)

Blogs: Martin Bright | Susan Hill | Alex Massie | Melanie Phillips | Faith Based | Cappuccino Culture

Actions: Email to a friend  |   Permalink   |   Comments (13) | Subscribe

Post this entry to:   del.icio.us | Digg | Newsvine | NowPublic | Reddit

Comments Post comment

Jez

March 21st, 2011 12:56pm Report this comment

What next?

An Islamist takeover in a state controlling the mouth of the Red Sea.

Al Qaeda is also most probably going to be a far higher factor ther also.

Hugo Chav

March 21st, 2011 1:06pm Report this comment

Peter,

Are you a Liberal Jihadi?

I cancelled my Tory Party membership this morning.

I think the elite have lost leave of their senses with this Libyan campaign.

It is The Blair Clone Project.

It is totally unbelievable that they've not learnt the lessons of Afghanistan and Iraq.

I'm well Chaved Off.

Noa

March 21st, 2011 1:24pm Report this comment

The West's intervention in Libya appears to have resulted primarily in accelerating, rather than cauterising, the spread of unreast across the Arab world.

Verity

March 21st, 2011 1:33pm Report this comment

No visas. No "asylum".

No involvement by the West. These are domestic issues and should be settled without any action by the Bedfordshire Police.

Verity

March 21st, 2011 2:12pm Report this comment

Hugo Chav is correct. This is the Blair Clone Project, which is par for Cameron, who has had a pash on Blair for years.

Cameron needs to be replaced as Conservative Leader stat. He is stupid, self-admiring and destructive.

justathought

March 21st, 2011 2:17pm Report this comment

You can add Assad of Syria as the next on the list to be booted out of office. Read his interview in the WSJ where he likens his people to bacteria. Four decades of control by his family and still he blames the west for his present predicament.

The argument that you make is the same as Mubarak and every other despot in this region attempt to hide behind, that this or that extremist may take control. It is like suggesting collective punishment is justified on the population because of the misdeeds of extremist.

These populations have live in open prisons where every contact with an official was met with bribery and corruption. Despicable regimes gorging themselves on the oil wealth while the population went without education, health services nor gainful employment. Obama and others should understand that this is slavery by another name.

Baron

March 21st, 2011 3:00pm Report this comment

the well chaved off: what does a Liberal Jihadi do then? Blogs at the Spectator or what?

staying away from Libya wasn’t an option, it would have allowed the colonel to carry on, do untold harm not only in-house, outside Libyan borders, too, he has to be got rid of, sooner or later you’ll come to side with me on this, a man like him, plenty of money, a narcissistic streak, a massively boosted self-confidence, hard to say what he may get up to if you consider what he did when he was just irritated, not angry as he’s now.

what’s wrong ain’t that we interfere, what’s wrong is the way we carry out the interfering. We still cling to the sanitized view of a military conflict, you know, TV crews on top of building recording blasts, talking bollocks, lawyers having sleepless nights what with having to be consulted 24-7. Instead, if we’ve bred a statesman somewhere, someone who carried the respect of the unwashed as near globally as possible, he or she would address the conflict saying what good old George Orwell have hinted at: in real life, we don’t have the option of choosing between good and bad, we are forced to choose between two evils. Doing nothing would have been evil, yes, even for Hugo Chav who may not have liked it if the price of petrol were to hit couple of pounds a litre, prices of everything else shooting up, too, since oil happens to be a part of the cost make-up across the board. Our having to interfere is the other side of the coin of globalisation, you cannot have one without the other, just fish a coin from your pocket, try to separate the two.

hitting the nutter would finish the phase one within days, he’s the ‘Libyan State’, the largest part of it anyway, he’s run the country as his own fiefdom, there isn’t any coherent idea for the construct endorsed by the populace, even the army, except for a regiment or two, is made up of a ragtag band of warriors held together by lies, bribes, naked intimidation. If we get the equivalent of the 38 parallel in Korea, we will regret it, regret it alot.

MaxSceptic

March 21st, 2011 3:14pm Report this comment

The Tribal Thug is dead.

Long live the Tribal Thug.

And to think that this land was once Felix Arabia....

Baron

March 21st, 2011 3:36pm Report this comment

justathought @ 2.17:

well said, sir, you may have gone further a notch or two: as those enslaved didn’t have a say in anything, have been kept impoverished, prosecuted, they blamed us, the West, for de jure, de facto accepting such an arrangement of things, their leaving the gulags, arriving here to better their lot has been causing the resentment amongst the Western unwashed even if the newcomers didn’t engage in plotting against our way of life.

the longer the pocket of the Dark Ages lasted, the more painful would have its inevitable collapse been.

Victor Southern

March 21st, 2011 3:50pm Report this comment

Yemen has been a barely functioning state for many years.

Hugo Chav has been UKIP as long as he has been posting here.

JohnBUK

March 21st, 2011 6:18pm Report this comment

Perhaps the English will rise up and slay the EUSSR which has been holding sway here for the past few decades with only a figleaf of democracy covering it's behind. But then again East Enders is on the box so maybe not.

Hugo Chav

March 21st, 2011 8:55pm Report this comment

Victor Southern,

Never been attracted to UKIP.

Europe is not a big issue for me.

Now plan to join the Taxpayers Alliance.

Patricia Shaw

March 22nd, 2011 3:31pm Report this comment

The best outcome would be for the rational, unsullied, patriotic but worldwise, youth of Israel to do the same.

Rid their country of its zealots and build a new consensus with their new neighbours.

That or trust their futures to AIPAC and a Palin Presidency.

Post comment

Back to top

Cartoons

Tag Cloud

Coffee House archive

sponsored links

Spectator recommends

Spectator classifieds

THE PRESENT FINDER

1,700 Unusual Christmas Presents Request Catalogue 01935 815 195 Quote SPEC10 for 10% discount www.presentfinder.co.uk

OLIVE BRANCH FLORISTS

Pimilco based Florist with online ordering Web: www.olivebranch.net Tel: 020 7630 1868 Fax: 020 7233 8844

RUFFS Bespoke Signet rings

62 Shore Road, Warsash, Southampton, SO31 9FT Telephone: 01489 578867 Web site: www.ruffs.co.uk