The chances of a Brown comeback
Peter Hoskin 9:01am
Some good reading material in today's Economist. Bagehot charts the recent attacks and apologies that have coursed through Labour, concentrating on the case of Frank Field. Here's the concluding paragraph:
“But for Labour to revive, and maybe for Mr Brown to survive, it will take more than a semblance of unity and the odd crowd-pleaser. It will (among other things) require the prime minister to change: his style, his demeanour, the way he treats his ministers—the very things Mr Field apologised for criticising. In fact, beneath the hostility, and perhaps partly explaining it, the two men are oddly similar. Both are hard-working, religious ascetics who care about the poor. Both are (or were) more respected than liked. Both have been thought of as stubborn and prickly. Mr Field managed to swallow his pride; Mr Brown needs to renounce his altogether. Sometimes, saying sorry is not enough.”
Whilst it's more bad news for the Prime Minister elsewhere in the magazine. This article tots up the fiscal clouds on the horizon, and ends thus:
“As the economy suffers from falling growth and rising inflation, it will be hard for Mr Brown to mount a sustained fightback. As Eden discovered, voters are especially unforgiving when a prime minister fails his special subject.”
Combined, the two points indicate just how difficult it is for Brown to relaunch himself. On the one hand, he's got to change his essential nature – stop disingenuously saying that we have “low inflation”, for example. And, on the other, he's got to hope that things don't get too bad with the economy. However unlikely, the first of these is achievable for our Prime Minister. What will worry him is that the second is increasingly out of his hands.



Previous






Water
May 16th, 2008 9:46am Report this commentApologies are all very well and personally I couldn’t care less for them it sounds pathetic. The article from the Economist (which largely concentrates on Field) states that Brown needs to swallow his pride, not at all Brown needs to make his pride well justified for at the moment it is not.
TrevorH
May 16th, 2008 10:32am Report this commentCorrect, Water.
Brown has nothing to crow about - the economy is in poor straits and looks like staying there.
If apologising for cock ups was all that was required then John Major would still be Prime Minister.
Perry
May 16th, 2008 10:35am Report this commentMz. Prudence of Noo-Lie-Bore : the femme-fatale of fatuous finance.
Water
May 16th, 2008 10:55am Report this comment"Noo-Lie-Bore" hahaha
Perry
May 16th, 2008 11:14am Report this comment[OT]
What can this mean on this day of all days?
The Noo Statesperson solicits my money with an eerily cheap offer.
Water
May 16th, 2008 11:33am Report this commentLet us hope he's not picking up habits from Olmert.
Tanuki
May 16th, 2008 11:51am Report this commentPerry: whatever cheap offers they make for New Statesman, I will continue to use Andrex.
Blue Moon
May 16th, 2008 12:11pm Report this commentAs chancellor he wallowed in the strong economy that he inherited from Kenneth Clarke and it never seemed to dawn on him that as he began to pile up the mountain of debt in 2001, one day he and his government would be buried in the avalanche that would follow when the mountain collapsed. It is frightening to hear him still asserting that his policies were somehow responsible for the benign world economic conditions of the last decade, When will he come to realise that it was those very policies that have reduced our first quarter annualised growth rate to a meagre 1.6% compared to a healthy 6% in Germany and given us a 3% Government deficit, compared to a 0.6% surplus in Germany. I don't hear him lecturing anymore to the Europeans about how to manage their economies!!
Mr Mhena
May 16th, 2008 1:11pm Report this commentWater & Perry.
The hell are you two on about?
Frank Pulley
May 16th, 2008 3:48pm Report this commentI'm disappointed that none of the insider journos have come up with the real reason Frank Field performed that nauseating grovel last week, accompanied by the knowing evil leer from the Govern Gargoyle. What skeleton did Jock Broon rattle in which cupboard, I wonder? Or what promises as to the future were made? I think we should we told, but it's unlikely that we will be.
Nicholas
May 16th, 2008 4:41pm Report this commentI also noticed the truly repulsive smirk on Brown's face referred to by Frank above when Frank Field apologised. I have noticed too that Ms Abbott on 'This Week' is getting cocky again.
It is a measure of how vacuous and superficial this government is that such small concessions make them believe their troubles are over. Their troubles are only just beginning because the socialist cat of old Labour has been well and truly let out of the bag.
It is a truism that the party in government can hold the centre ground merely by stealing and implementing opposition ideas and no doubt Brown's teenage oik spinners have put him on this path but two factors queer their pitch. One, they are hopelessly incompetent and two they have a socialist skeleton pushing its way out of the closet.
I still believe this government is conducting a party political campaign instead of governing and that course of action is at the expense (literally) of the people of Britain, who deserve more, especially at this time.
It is ironic that Labour have accused DC of being a chameleon and having no substance. Nothing has been more chameleon-like than Brown's twists and turns in response to polls and popularity, perceived and presumed rather than proven. And there is very little substance in budgets and policies that can be changed on an unfunded whim when the New Labour machine fears for its electoral survival.
Stepping back and taking a historical view, this is the most dangerous government in British political history. Entirely without scruples, integrity or honesty, self-serving and cynical to an unbelievable degree, incompetent where it is not cunning and cunning where it is not incompetent, with secret policies of the most extraordinarily subversive social engineering and totalitarianism.
John Page
May 16th, 2008 5:24pm Report this commentAs Jon Snow said to Frank Field on Channel 4 News, "But you were right, weren't you".
And he was.
Water
May 16th, 2008 5:53pm Report this commentMr Mhena check out the newstatesman today you'll get an idea.
Fergus Pickering
May 17th, 2008 11:02am Report this commentThere is one important difference between Broon and Field. Field doesn't tell lies. Broon tells lies all the time.
Abraham Mehti Anthony
May 17th, 2008 12:19pm Report this commentI can't say I'm too fond of Brown. For a while, he seemed like a really good economist, but as time goes by, more and more of his mistakes are revealed. His short term policies have finally backfired but let's make one thing clear, it is not entirely the fault of lying incompetent corrupt politicians. The economic problems that everyone has been complaining has been linked to housing problems in America, mortgage problems in this country, overspending as a result of bad budgeting from ordinary citizens, oil prices skyrocketing as a result of foreign intervention in the Middle East, money being spent on war… The list goes on. It’s so easy to blame the government, because they cheat, lie, make bad decisions etc, but we often forget that we ourselves are partially to blame for the economic problems and before you go about trying to refute this, look at the amount of debt that people have accumulated which could have easily been avoided had people spent less on clothes, expensive cars, the latest technology and other luxuries. With inflation as bad as it is, it is a struggle to purchases the food we need. We all have to cut down. Further more, we need to save more energy. You don’t have to be a hardcore environmentalist to belt that one out. If we don’t do something, we’ll be screwed long before global warming tears us apart (that is assuming that it is directly linked to our actions).
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