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Michael Henderson

Michael Henderson suggests


Rove's map has Obama reaching 270 without any of the toss-up states

Saturday, 26th July 2008

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As Obama prepares to fly back to the US, Karl Rove’s electoral map—based on average of publicly available polling—has Obama passing the magic 270 mark without any votes from the toss-up states. (To be fair, as First Read points out, the map doesn’t include various state polls which came out at the end of this week which were more favourable to McCain.)

The map gives you an idea of how much work McCain has to do. It also helps explain why Obama is advertising in some traditionally Republican states, if he can force McCain to play defence there he can stretch McCain’s already thin organisation even further.

Once the impact from Obama’s trip has sunk in, the next big theme dominating the campaign is going to be VP selection. Looking at this map, it is clear that McCain needs his to do more than Obama’s.


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THX1138

July 26th, 2008 9:35pm

This is a much better real time map

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Sat 26-Jul-08

Obama 292

McCain 195

Ties 51

The polls next week after the European trip will be very interesting but he hasn't had much of a bounce so far, I'm not surprised American's don't care much about foreign policy it's the economy, stupid

Perhaps more worrying for McCain Rasmussen's have Obama tracking back in Florida.

THX1138

July 27th, 2008 4:38pm

Gallup's daily National tracker has Obama by 7

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109099/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Retains-Lead-48-41.aspx

& Rasmussen has him ahead by 6

http://tinyurl.com/2zlw2z

Verity

July 27th, 2008 5:59pm

McCain would get one hell of a bounce if he could persuade Bobby Jindal to join him on the ticket. Handsome, a Rhodes Scholar, Indian immigrant parents, a beautiful, charming wife (that gives him one up on Obama's sour shrew right there) and only 37. He appeals to the young vote.

My bet is on Jindal, not Mitt Romney.

Hal

July 29th, 2008 12:53pm

If McCain picks Jindal, how does he then argue that Obama lacks the experience to be president?

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