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Saturday, 6th October 2007

Tories 3 points ahead in the country as a whole

James Forsyth 7:49pm

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It just keeps getting better and better for the Conservatives and worse and worse for Gordon Brown. A new YouGov poll shows that the Tories are now 3 points ahead of Labour—a remarkable turnaround from last Saturday’s YouGov poll which had them 11 points behind.

The only potential dampener on Tory spirits tonight is the fact that the Lib Dems might now move against Ming seeing as there is almost certainly to be an election until 2009. As Tim points out, Lib Dem support has collapsed—it is down to a mere 11 percent. One has to imagine that pretty much any Lib Dem leader would do better than Ming with Nick Clegg being especially likely to appeal to voters in those southern Tory / Lib Dem marginals.

One other thing to watch for is whether any of the Blairite vanguard start coming out with helpful suggestion as to how Gordon can get his groove back. I’m sure that Peter Mandelson could be persuaded to proffer an opinion or two.

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Comments

Craig Strachan

October 6th, 2007 8:08pm

Yes, but if Ming Campbell goes then so does Gordon Brown's insurance policy for a hung Parliament.

Dave Bartlett

October 6th, 2007 9:00pm

Given that Nick Clegg came up with the Lib-Dem plan for an illegal immigrant amnesty, I wouldn't be too sure of him 'being especially likely to appeal to voters in those southernn Tory/ Lib Dem marginals'

Owen Meredith

October 6th, 2007 10:36pm

Where is this poll? The only one I can find shows a 3 point lead for Labour.

James Forsyth

October 6th, 2007 10:44pm

Owen. t's mentioned here: http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article2603956.ece

Jonathan Sheppard

October 6th, 2007 11:38pm

Agree with the comments re Ming. Something I wrote about about a couple of days ago here:- http://www.toryradio.com/node/3174 Now Brown has indicated he is playing the long game, surely the time is up for Ming

WonderfulForHisAge

October 7th, 2007 12:17am

and.... England beat the Aussies & France beat the Kiwis. As the song goes: 'Things can only get better'........ I hope.

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